Meanwhile, here's the case mortality rate using confirmed cases.
| Country | Total cases | Total Deaths | Case Mortality Rate | Prev Day CMR |
| World | 803,126 | 39,032 | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| USA | 164,435 | 3,175 | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Italy | 101,739 | 11,591 | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Spain | 94,417 | 8,189 | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| China | 81,518 | 3,305 | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Germany | 67,051 | 682 | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Iran | 44,605 | 2,898 | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| France | 44,550 | 3,024 | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| UK | 22,141 | 1,408 | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| State | ||||
| New York | 67,325 | 1,342 | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| New Jersey | 16,636 | 198 | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| California | 7,426 | 149 | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| Michigan | 6,498 | 184 | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Massachusetts | 5,752 | 56 | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Florida | 5,704 | 71 | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Washington | 5,250 | 210 | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| Illinois | 5,057 | 73 | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Pennsylvania | 4,154 | 51 | 1.2% | NA |
| Louisiana | 4,025 | 185 | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Source: Worldometers 3/31/2020 approx 8am CST | ||||
| PA is not available, only because it didn't make yesterday's list, and I didn't save everything. | ||||
| CMR is increasing in most cases. Many possibilities. |
That’s meaningless without an accurate case figure, and no one has such a figure.
Only ill with flu like symptoms tested, generally.
10% of those are hospitalized and 10% of those die.
Mortality rate based on number sick not population. It’s a created statistic. It’s not wrong. It’s just a half truth.
Stop posting your bogus stats. You aren’t including South Korea which has the single most accurate statistic because they’ve had the most widespread testing. And they are right around the 1 and a fraction percent this article states. But this article is absolutely right that the true death rate absolutely has to go down once asymptomatic cases are factored in.
We live in East King County where this thing first took off in the country when it hit the vulnerable population at the Life Care Center in Kirkland, a place that my wife and I used to go to frequently both as volunteers and for pay.. While deaths and serious illness are still increasing in the rest of the state things have levelled off here and in Snohomish County where the person with the very first case in the country was discovered.
I was talking to my best friend on the phone last night. He is a battalion chief on the fire department that I retired from, but he also works for FEMA on a regular basis. For the past two weeks he has been working in the regional command center 7 days a week, for 12 hours a day. He has access to better tracking information than is released to the press and the public about hospital capacity, capability, and the numbers of beds available.
One of the interesting things that he told me was about the number of persons currently infected on the fire department that I used to work for. One person was infected from contacts off the job and developed symptoms. He came to work anyway despite having attended classes and reading special orders that instructed people not to do this. He was also socializing and even went on a day long car trip with other members of the department. This one person managed to infect over ten other persons on the fire department. He is the only one in this group who tested positive that has developed any symptoms so far, but all of them are now under quaranteen and unable to work.
One of the things that my friend mentioned was that the death rate here was turning out to be far lower than what was originally expected. And then I saw this thread this morning. As I mentioned, only one of the people infected on the department has any symptoms and the majority will no doubt test negative soon without ever developing symptoms. They were only tested because of their proximity to one other employee, so most would never have been counted in a study of lethlity.
I guess you’re taking a Rick Astley approach to the panic!
Never gonna give you up
Never gonna let you down
Never gonna run around and desert you
Never gonna make you cry
Never gonna say goodbye
Never gonna tell a lie and hurt you
Great info.
I would add that our case rate is based on targeted testing.
In other words, our testing is not random but targeted to the very sickest people.
This means that the mortality rate for the sickest people is about 1-2%.
This means that the percentage death rate will indeed be much lower. Even without asymptomatic cases it would be much lower.