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Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Admits He Was Wrong, Drastically Revises Model
DailyWire.com ^
| March 26th, 2020
| Amanda Prestigiacomo
Posted on 03/26/2020 10:52:24 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.
H. L. Mencken
21
posted on
03/26/2020 11:02:19 AM PDT
by
BwanaNdege
( Experience is the best teacher, but if you can accept it 2nd hand, the tuition is less!)
To: polymuser
Were models purposely inaccurate for leftist political purposes? Is the Pope Communist?
22
posted on
03/26/2020 11:02:25 AM PDT
by
dfwgator
(Endut! Hoch Hech!)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Wheres Gomer when you need him?
Surprise surprise surprise!!!
To: Rurudyne
I knew something was amiss when the flu line on his graph was flatlined.
ALL viruses rise and decline in a curve. Corona, flu, etc.
24
posted on
03/26/2020 11:03:53 AM PDT
by
Buckeye McFrog
(Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
I guess we wont be seeing the FEARPERS posting too much on this!
25
posted on
03/26/2020 11:04:10 AM PDT
by
dowcaet
To: aMorePerfectUnion
So, all the good news starts to come out as soon as the bill passes?
26
posted on
03/26/2020 11:05:00 AM PDT
by
calljack
(Sometimes your worst nightmare is just a start.)
Comment #27 Removed by Moderator
To: aMorePerfectUnion
He must have the same math skills as Brian Williams and Mara Gay.
28
posted on
03/26/2020 11:05:55 AM PDT
by
rightwingintelligentsia
(Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
29
posted on
03/26/2020 11:06:00 AM PDT
by
M Kehoe
(DRAIN THE SWAMP! Finish THE WALL!)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
I’m shocked, I tell you. Shocked!
30
posted on
03/26/2020 11:06:08 AM PDT
by
MayflowerMadam
(Immigrants with tuberculosis and polio are welcome, but youÂ’d better be able to prove your dog is v)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Revised model from over 2,000,000 to now 20,000?
What's a couple of zeros in scientific modeling?
Oh, wait, from my stats class, I think those are...."ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE"!!!
31
posted on
03/26/2020 11:06:27 AM PDT
by
G Larry
(There is no great virtue in bargaining with the Devil)
To: z3n
The sky had to be falling iot sink the Trump economy, at least here in the US.
Several, many, of us stayed this would attenuate to approximately how influenza stands. Do we get a double portion of the bankrupt stimulus package? Maybe only half?
Evil walks anmong us and it isn’t a virus....
32
posted on
03/26/2020 11:06:36 AM PDT
by
Manly Warrior
(US ARMY (Ret), "No Free Lunches for the Dogs of War")
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Regardless of the damage done, it’s only the last thing he says that counts.
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Imma wait and see if he revises it again in a couple days before commenting :)
To: G Larry
Interesting bit to me is the part about “old and sick who would have died anyway”. It is possible that this thing took Italy’s entire elderly death total for 2020 and just compressed it into the space of a few weeks.
35
posted on
03/26/2020 11:09:00 AM PDT
by
Buckeye McFrog
(Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
To: KevinB
36
posted on
03/26/2020 11:09:14 AM PDT
by
polymuser
(It's discouraging to think how many people are shocked by honesty and so few by deceit. Noel Coward)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
37
posted on
03/26/2020 11:09:31 AM PDT
by
1066AD
To: aMorePerfectUnion
38
posted on
03/26/2020 11:09:42 AM PDT
by
eclectic
(Liberalism is a mental disorder)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Models are only as good as the data used to produce them. Garbage in equals garbage out. This is the same result as the man-made global warming models. Except this guy had the integrity to change his.
39
posted on
03/26/2020 11:10:34 AM PDT
by
deweyfrank
(Nobody's Perfect)
To: aMorePerfectUnion
Fergusons model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve. How could anyone with half a brain even believe that sh*t?
If China, where it all started as far back as December last year, and which has a population of a massive 1.4 billion, only has 82,000 infected IN TOTAL(infected mind, not dead), how the heck do you come up with a staggering 2.2 million dead in the US with a population of only 330 million?
Yet the so called “concern trolls” right here on Freerepublic, kept posting these garbage figures, 24/7 week after week for months.
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