Posted on 03/26/2020 10:52:24 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.
However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments.
Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.
Kind like the Hockey Stick model?
I was saying it back in February! This one seems to have a strange combination of short duration before contagiousness but long duration before symptoms appear.
The one (possible/hopeful) good thing is that a lot of people do not have severe symptoms.
I still think it’s terrible to risk the elderly.
We probably need to work toward gettign the tests out there and lifting these lockdowns/quarantines ASAP.
We also need to institute very strong safeguards for our elderly/at-risk populations at the same time.
A certain FluBro was on here positing that such might be the case.
But I digress.
OH NO! OUR PLAN IS NOT WORKING!
It’s backfiring!
25 times less “or far more”
Well, he only cost the US $2-6 trillion. Where should we send the bill?
Well, except this guy isn’t hiding the decline.
Exactly!
Were Fusion GPS and/or Christopher Steele involved?
No prob. It’s just costing us 6 Trillion Dollars. PBS is well funded,too!
opps.
It's the flu, it always was the flu and it's still the flu and this was a huge attempt at a power grab by the global left. I hope all the chicken little Freepers will sit down and shut-up for a while.
“Team Apocalypse” is a new tag I saw in the comments that was kind of interesting.
I think he accidentally used the Global Warming Model.
Inaccurate models causing the gov’s panic?
Were models purposely inaccurate for leftist political purposes?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3828076/posts
Yeah, unlike our media.
Quote
“The Imperial College report was also the basis for the modeling used by the website COVID Act Now, which local and state officials in the U.S. then used to issue “shelter-in-place” mandates. COVID Act Now, which was founded by a handful of Democratic activists in Silicon Valley, is an online mapping tool that generates models predicting coronavirus hospitalizations, which have also already proved to be wildly inaccurate.”
Well I’m shocked> Just shocked I tell you to find out a group of Rats are behind this.
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