Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trump passes coronavirus test with flying colors
NY Post ^ | March 11 2020 | Michael Goodwin

Posted on 03/12/2020 12:24:37 AM PDT by knighthawk

Big and bold, optimistic and compassionate. President Trump’s Oval Office address was exactly what America needed to hear

This is what it looks like when a president rises up to meet a crisis head-on.

With fear and panic spreading across the land and threatening to take down the economy, Trump is facing the greatest test of his presidency. Although battle-hardened by brutal fights with Democrats, the biased media and foreign adversaries, he is presented with problems of a different magnitude with the coronavirus.

It is a global menace that has declared war on America. Truth be told, sometimes in recent weeks, the president has appeared to be a reluctant commander in chief.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19; michaelgoodwin; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkpost; sarscov2; trump

1 posted on 03/12/2020 12:24:37 AM PDT by knighthawk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

I thought (no joke) that this was about him taking the medical test for the virus.


2 posted on 03/12/2020 12:47:45 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

If you would like on or off a ping list for these reports, let me know. Thanks.

COVID-19 Update As of 03/11/2020 23:13 PST

These numbers include Mainland China and All Others globally

The good news this morning is that yesterday 03/11/20 mid afternoon PDT, Taiwan began reporting it's
own numbers again. Hong Kong and Macau's numbers are now reported with Mainland China's numbers.

I had trust in Hong Kong and Macau's numbers. Now, not so much.

Global Trends.

         Declared Cases
         .         Declared Deceased
         .         .       Declared Recovered
         .         .       .        Declared Resolved
Date     .         .       .        .        Cases Remining Active
-----------------------------------------------------------------
03/03:    93,160   3,198   50,690   53,888   39,272
03/04:    95,425   3,286   53,399   56,685   38,740
03/05:    98,387   3,383   55,441   58,824   39,563 
03/06:   102,188   3,491   57,389   60,880   41,308
03/07:   106,165   3,977   59,965   63,559   42,606
03/08:   110,041   3,825   62,000   65,825   44,216
03/09:   114,452   4,026   64,169   68,195   46,257
03/10:   119,132   4,284   65,776   70,060   49,072
03/11:   126,258   4,638   68,284   72,922   53,336
Daily Global Growth

Numbers for the last nine days:

03/03:  2,223
03/04:  2,265
03/05:  2,962
03/06:  3,801
03/07:  3,977
03/08:  3,876
03/09:  4,411
03/10:  4,680
03/11:  7,126
Lets face it, the numbers of new reported cases is overwhelming at the moment.
We have new fertile ground, and it has basically four times the populace as the
original body of people of China. I can't predict how large the daily declarations
will be, but today's 7,000 plus cases was bad enough. Look at how much they have
grown in the last few days.

Today, the John's Hopkins University site reported out half the recovered numbers
by noon, and more by late afternoon PDT. It was reasoned, and for the first time
in ten days, appropriate.

The last column there shows the numbers of active cases. You will note how
they were dropping, then started increasing again. Here are the last nine days
drop & then growth numbers.

03/03:   -494 
03/04:   -532 
03/05:    823
03/06:  1,745 
03/07:  1,298
03/08:  1,610
03/09:  2,041
03/10:  2,815
03/11:  4,264
Observations:

As you can tell, the active cases are heating up. With this type of daily
growth, we will top the old peak of 58,809 active cases within thirty-six
hours. The previous peak was reached on 02/17/20, so we had 23 days to
enjoy lower numbers. Later today on the 12th, or possible in the early
morning hours of the 13th, we will be in uncharted terriotry again.

The mortality rate that went as low as 5.65% on the 7th, has now
grown back up to 6.36%. The majority of new cases are coming from outside
China. Again, in a few days, we should see the lag upswing in recovered
patients growing considerably. When that happens, it will take some of the
pressure off the growth in activecases, and the up-ticks in the mortality rate.

There was an uptick in resolved cases today. I hope we are beginning to see
ripe cases bearing recovery fruit. It will take a day or two to see if these
elevated numbers remain, or if that was a single day fluke.

COVID-19 cases outside China now make up 72.10% of global active cases.
The growth rate of active cases today was 5,608 active cases.

The numbers and percentages of resolved cases has continued to hold up pretty
well. On 03/07 at 18:03 PST the percentage peaked at 59.918% of all documented
cases having been resolved. As of the EOD 03/11, that percentage had slid to
57.756%. With these massive 'out of control' reports of new cases popping up,
it's a wonder we're still talking about over 55% of all declared cases having
been resolved.

These numbers address the cases outside of Mainland China.

Outside Mainland China Trends

        Declared Cases
        .        Declared Deceased
        .        .       Declared Recovered
        .        .       .       Declared Resolved
Date    .        .       .       .       Cases Remaining Active
-----------------------------------------------------------------
03/03   12,890     217     837   1,054   11,836
03/04   15,015     279   1,222   1,501   13,514
03/05   17,832     341   1,685   2,026   15,806 
03/06   21,537     421   1,986   2,407   19,130
03/07   25,470     497   2,871   3,368   22,102
03/08   29,285     706   3,389   4,095   25,190
03/09   33,696     890   4,258   5,148   28,548
03/10   38,176   1,122   4,206   5,328   32,848
03/11   45,326   1,466   5,404   6,870   38,456
You'll see a dip in the declared recovered numbers on the 10th. I believe that
was related to Hong Kong, Macao, and Tiawan's numbers exiting into the Mainland
China Numbers. Today Taiwan started reporting out it's own numbers again. I
like that.

Daily Outsdie Mainland China Growth

Numbers for the last nine days:

03/03:  2,223
03/04:  2,265
03/05:  2,962
03/06:  3,801
03/07:  3,977
03/08:  3,876
03/09:  4,411
03/10:  4,480
03/11:  7,150
The last column there shows the numbers of active cases. Here are the last nine
days change in the amount of active cases outside Mainland China.

03/03:  2,015 
03/04:  1,678 
03/05:  2,292
03/06:  3,324
03/07:  2,972
03/08:  3,088
03/09:  3,358
03/10:  4,300
03/11:  5,608
The United States saw growth of 26.52% of new cases on 03/11. I would like to see
that slow down, but I'd like to see a lot of things I don't get to.

The Process

JHU says there are about 116 nations reporting right now. I'm tracking eight other
entities that have dropped off their reports. I'm not sure why this happens, but I
don't want to have the numbers I've captured, deleted. They'll remain in my database.

There have been various head-aches with JHU data reporting recently.

1. JHU was reporting out New Cases and Deaths early, then waiting ten hours to post
recovery numbers. That changed today, after ten days. A large number of recovery
numbers were released before noon PDT, and then again before 18:00. Much better.

2. JHU seems to have more than one person entering data. A nation will be entered
as follows. South Korea. An new tech comes in and sees numbers for the Republic
of South Korea and enters them under that name. Sometimes they have two listings for
one nation. Other times they'll delect the old name listing, enter the data under the
new name. The next day the other person comes in and balks at the change, and changes
it back. What a major pin. I'm deleting and adding in new entities constantly.

3. Today they cleaned up their files and deleted about five entities. I've been keeping
records for those entities for a few days or for up to a week or more. All of a sudden
the entity isn't on the list. Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

I have manipulate the data to post rigth under where I need to update. As I go along,
the data lines up. All of a sudden it doesn't. Entities are added, they disappear, or
they are relocated. I've come up with a pretty decent way to deal with this. Before I
had done so, it took me over an hour to process one update that generally takes just ten
minutes or so.

4. Then there is the issue of the three main numbers they post. Total Cases, Deaths, and
Recoveries. Lets say they update at 23:23. (Side note: They almost always post the
new report on the threes. That doesn't always happen, but you can look at the spread
sheet and see it happens what seems like 90% plus of the time.) JHU will put up a new
report. A few minutes after that report, they start updating the main numbers.

The problem is, I downlod the death numbers list. I download the recovery numbers list.
I also download the list of nations and their declared cases.

If I don't catch it just right, they update things before I've completed capturing the
data. And it only takes me a minute or two to do that.

As of today I am beginning to update from the lists. Nations, deaths, and recoveries.

In this manner, I can match up the data. I have to do that so that I can make sure I've
entered my data accurately. I use check sums, and have the computer add sums so that I
can check them manually.

When JHU, changes things, it causes my proces to go squirrely. And I have enough issues
with that on my own. LOL

Hot Spots

Let's look at how those numbers have changed over the last nine days.

                             South
           Italy     Iran    Korea   France    Spain  Germany   U.S.A.

03/03:
03/04:     3,089    2,322    5,756      285      222      262      159
03/05:     3,858    3,513    6,294      423      282      545      233
03/06:     4,636    4,747    6,767      653      401      670      338
03/07:     5,883    5,823    7,134      949      525      800      433
03/08:     7,375    6,566    7,382    1,209      673    1,040      554
03/09:     9,172    7,161    7,513    1,412    1,231    1,224      754
03/10:    10,149    8,042    7,755    1,784    1,695    1,565    1,037
03/11:    12.462    9,000    7,869    2,284    2,277    1,966    1,312
These seven nations/entities account for 82% of the global numbers outside China.
Just above you were able to review their growth progression.

Here's the amount and percentage for each, and the accumulative total
percent of all Outside Mainland China cases they account for.

12,462 27.49% Italy
 9,000 19.86% Iran
 7,869 17.36% South Korea
 2,284 05.04% France
 2,277 05.02% Spain
 1,966 04.34% Germany
 1,312 02.89% the USA
-------------
       82.00% of all cases outside of China...
This explains how many people there are to one case in these entities:

Globally      :  145,680
Mainland China:   93,145
Outside China :  202,049
The U. S. A.  :  261,599
Good night...

All data below sourced from Johns Hopkins University: LINK

I have been downloading three to five reports per day since 01/27. I have then
worked up numbers that should give a very good representation of numbers that
have been provided to the public via that site.

In my spreadsheet linked below, you'll find global numbers including China. You
will find a separate section addressing just the Outside China figures. Then
there is now also a section with just the United States stats in there. There
are also a lot of special stats broken out for you to browse. The history of
115 nations and their numbers from day one of their reporting.

You're welcome to it.

COVID-19 Spreadsheet using JHU data

File XLSX

File XLS

I now have an XLS file again, but it is for viewing only. I had to do a wrap-
around to get it to fit in the XLS file format. On the top right you will see
nations 1-70 listed. I cut and pasted nations 71-115 under them. You'll
see what I mean.

3 posted on 03/12/2020 1:45:20 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Beware Hillary Clinton and the 25th Amendment.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Thank you for the great summary. Like yourself, I’ve been tracking this. Your work is helpful.

FReegards, ‘Pod


4 posted on 03/12/2020 1:51:18 AM PDT by sauropod (David Horowitz: “Inside every progressive is a totalitarian screaming to get out.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: sauropod

Good. I’m glad.

Thank you.


5 posted on 03/12/2020 2:00:58 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Beware Hillary Clinton and the 25th Amendment.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

He should get an extra term because this isn’t his fault.


6 posted on 03/12/2020 3:06:04 AM PDT by Lisbon1940 (No full-term Governors (at the time of election))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Well done!! Keep up the good work!!


7 posted on 03/12/2020 3:14:45 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

Here is the scoop on Testing - The Federal Government is sending out TONS of tests that identify CV RNA in a sample.

The problem is - local labs have to use their own supplies to extract the RNA from the sample. Every Hospital lab does this thing regularly. BUT - they do not have a stockpile of the Reagents necessary. So - they complain they are not getting test kits when thousands of Test Kits are available.


8 posted on 03/12/2020 3:56:03 AM PDT by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

My President did a great job last night. He is always up front,out front and right!
In the case of the overhyped pandemic Trump is doing the right thing by going all in.
It’s damn if you do damn if you don’t respons, but driven by and for the dimmocrats all in against him . Well played


9 posted on 03/12/2020 3:59:45 AM PDT by Recompennation
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Please put me on your ping list.


10 posted on 03/12/2020 4:20:48 AM PDT by sauropod (David Horowitz: “Inside every progressive is a totalitarian screaming to get out.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

Trump passes coronavirus test with flying colors


11 posted on 03/12/2020 4:26:42 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Hillary Clinton: Just like Joe with only half the dementia.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk

Ooooo, he has their approval.

Isn’t he the lucky one?

And what made them think they were such experts on life that they can say stuff like this????


12 posted on 03/12/2020 4:28:41 AM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PghBaldy
Ditto. 😆
13 posted on 03/12/2020 6:02:24 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader
Thank you

d":^)

14 posted on 03/12/2020 12:17:28 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Beware Hillary Clinton and the 25th Amendment.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: sauropod
d":^)
15 posted on 03/12/2020 12:29:49 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Beware Hillary Clinton and the 25th Amendment.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: knighthawk
Thankfully, as of Wednesday night, that reluctance is history, replaced by a president who left no doubt that he is all in on the battle against this deadly scourge. Now effectively a wartime president, Trump’s repeated assurances of victory were music to the ears of a rattled nation.

On the other hand, Major Garrett is curled up under his desk crying in fear.

16 posted on 03/12/2020 12:33:12 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PghBaldy

Same thing here.


17 posted on 03/12/2020 12:39:24 PM PDT by Rebelbase
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson