Posted on 03/01/2020 4:42:01 PM PST by TECTopcat
There is no need, however, to panic. If you're feeling in any way anxious about the coronavirus outbreak, here are five facts to help assuage your worries.
1. The number of cases in China is already falling significantly 2. The vast majority of cases are mild, and the death rate is likely lower than reported. 3. It is not that contagious. Only one out of every 1,000 people in Hubei Province has contracted the coronavirus. 4. There have been no reported deaths in young children. 5. The world already survived another pandemic just ten years ago
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearscience.com ...
The COVID-19 coronavirus that emerged in Wuhan, China back in December 2019 is now spreading globally and will undoubtedly be declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) very soon. Its ascendance has already rattled stock markets, disrupted the daily lives of millions, and resulted in the heartbreaking deaths of nearly 3,000 people, including the first in the United States on February 29th. With COVID-19's spread now picking up steam outside of China – it has now arrived in at least 60 countries and new cases are rising almost every day – we can expect its outbreak to get worse before it gets better.
Make no mistake, COVID-19 is a grave pathogenic threat which must be taken seriously. According to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC):
More cases are likely to be identified in the coming days, including more cases in the United States. It’s also likely that person-to-person spread will continue to occur, including in the United States. Widespread transmission of COVID-19 in the United States would translate into large numbers of people needing medical care at the same time. Schools, childcare centers, workplaces, and other places for mass gatherings may experience more absenteeism. Public health and healthcare systems may become overloaded, with elevated rates of hospitalizations and deaths. Other critical infrastructure, such as law enforcement, emergency medical services, and transportation industry may also be affected. Health care providers and hospitals may be overwhelmed.
The CDC's warning is frank and unnerving. It is an impetus for sober and reasoned action. Stock up on a week's worth of frozen/canned food. Restock your medicine cabinet. Practice proper hygiene. Stay home if you're feeling sick. There is no need, however, to panic. If you're feeling in any way anxious about the coronavirus outbreak, here are five facts to help assuage your worries.
1. The number of cases in China is already falling significantly. Where once the graph of coronavirus cases in China showed an exponential climb, it has now leveled off substantially. Just three weeks ago, China was recording more than 3,000 new cases per day. Officials are now consistently reporting fewer than five hundred, with the number still dropping. Seeing much-improved conditions on the ground, big companies like Starbucks and Apple in China are resuming business activities. The latest (Feb. 29th) World Health Organization (WHO) situation report revealed 435 new cases in China in the previous 24 hours.
2. The vast majority of cases are mild, and the death rate is likely lower than reported. A large study of 72,000 confirmed COVID-19 patients in China found that 81% of cases were mild, another 14% were severe (characterized by difficulty breathing), and 5% were critical. Overall, the death rate was 2.3 percent. More recently, the WHO reported a death rate of 3.8% in China, but noted that it is rapidly falling as standards of care quickly improve. Early on, the city of Wuhan (where the disease originated) was inundated with patients and hospitals could not provide proper care due to overwhelming demand. For Chinese patients whose symptoms started after February 1st, the death rate is just 0.7 percent. (For comparison, the U.S. death rate from 2019-20's annual flu oubtreak is between .06 percent to 0.1 percent. SARS a similar virus to COVID-19, had a death rate of 9.6 percent.) The death rate could be even lower, as very mild cases of COVID-19 that resemble a common cold likely go unreported.
In this photo released by Xinhua News Agency, nurses work at an ICU ward specialised for patients infected by coronavirus in Wuhan in central China's Hubei Province. (Xiao Yijiu/Xinhua via AP) 3. Only one out of every 1,000 people in Hubei Province has contracted the coronavirus. There have been 66,337 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China's Hubei Province, where the outbreak began in December. That sounds like a lot, but keep in mind that the population of Hubei is 59,170,000. The province is slightly smaller than Nebraska, but with thirty times as many inhabitants. With this sort of population density, it's a positive sign that just .11% (roughly 1 in 1000) of the population has caught COVID-19. Even if there were 53,000 unreported cases, that would mean only one out of every 500 people in Hubei caught the virus. Given the population density in most other countries is significantly lower than in China, we can expect that the coronavirus will have a much harder time spreading in much of the world.
4. There have been no reported deaths in young children. Though the outbreak has endured for more than nine weeks, there still have been no fatalities in children under the age of nine, with almost all infected simply experiencing cold-like symptoms. Moreover, only 2.4% of cases are in individuals under the age of 18. Kids and teenagers have been surprisingly resistant to the virus.
The death rate for people aged 10 to 39 currently stands at just 0.2 percent. Those genuinely at risk from COVID-19 are the elderly. People aged 80 and up have a 14.8% to 21.9% chance of dying if infected.
5. The world already survived another pandemic just ten years ago. Remember H1N1, more commonly known as Swine Flu? This was the most recent pandemic (besides HIV/AIDS, which is still considered a pandemic). It began in early 2009 and lasted through late 2010. Between April 2009 and April 2010, there were approximately 60.8 million cases, 274,304 hospitalizations, and 12,469 deaths in the United States alone! Globally, it likely infected between 700 million and 1.4 billion people, resulting in 150,000 to 575,000 fatalities. While this loss of life was tragic, more than a decade later, many scarcely remember Swine Flu. The same will hopefully happen with COVID-19.
*Updated Mar 1
That ruins the whole narrative around here!!
:)
End of Days will have to wait.
I am over 70, have diabetes and high bp, and, are you telling me I don’t have to get my affairs in order?
Only 5 reasons!?
The Freeper Littles can name a 1,000 reasons to be worried.
Quarantine Las Vegas so you don’t have to blame it on Chinese tourists. Natural mountain barriers...and only a couple of interstates to shut down. Nellis AFB near iif things get out of control...or use The Aerodrome Eldorado Droneport for purposes needed. Hey let’s get ahead of this thing. Rod’s sis Nancy at CDC might agree.
https://lasvegassun.com/photos/galleries/2016/feb/08/aerodrome-eldorado-droneport-boulder-city/#/6
“I am over 70, have diabetes and high bp, and, are you telling me I don’t have to get my affairs in order?”
You had better get your affairs in order with or without COVID-19!
Here are a couple links,
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
and
https://www.worldometers.info/
Oh no. Right out of the gate. False premise = false conclusion.
Look at the curve of dropping cases reported out of China since Feb 3rd. We are supposed to accept the premise that Xi stopped the virus dead in its tracks with one meeting. This isn't breaking news, it's Chicom propaganda for morons.
I can give you a single reason not to panic. We are all gonna get it and it will be around for at least a year or more. Chickenpox party time. Acceptance. All this government over reaction over this is plain silly.
#1. REPORTED cases have fallen. This could be influenced by the government telling the doctors that reports of more cases would not be tolerated.
#3. It really is not as contagious as reported. It is much MORE contagious.
#4, Nope, none REPORTED, but there is a video of 3 children being stuffed into the same body bag.
#5. Irrelevant. This is a different disease.
Don’t forget the black swan! Or red heifer! Or is it red angus? I can’t keep up.
Most of the “facts” in this article are totally wrong.
Heck, we only had 11 years anyway!
Black swan burgers for everybody!
>> It began in early 2009 and lasted through late 2010. Between April 2009 and April 2010, there were approximately 60.8 million cases, 274,304 hospitalizations, and 12,469 deaths in the United States alone! <<
For comparison, if that many people were infected with COVID-19, 12 million people would be hospitalized and 1.2 million people would die.
lol
Exactly. China is lying. The South Korean example is what we need to follow closely. Or, now, Washington state.
This presumes China is providing accurate numbers....
Only if your BP is out of control, your A1C is through the roof, and your on chemo for lung cancer.
Got quite a few emails from different medical associated groups this week and they are down playing the severity of this bug.
Also keep in mind that the CDC is a FEDERAL agency, so I suspect it’s going to have a percentage of swamp creatures too like all the other federal agencies.
I am also in my 70s, do not have high BP or diabetes, but make sure my affairs are in order on a daily basis.
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