Posted on 02/27/2020 4:44:36 AM PST by karpov
Former Vice President Joe Biden is reclaiming his frontrunner status in Florida, according to a survey released on Thursday by St. Pete Polls.
The poll shows Biden pulling ahead of the pack in the Sunshine State with 35 percent support. Meanwhile, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg fell into second place with 25 percent support.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who has taken the lead in polls nationally after back-to-back wins in the New Hampshire primary and Nevada caucuses, is running in a distant third in Florida. The St. Pete Poll pegged his support in the state at 13 percent, a sign that the recent traction he has enjoyed in other states isn’t translating in Florida, where voters will cast ballots on March 17.
No other candidate registered double-digit support in the survey. Former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg finished with about 8 percent support, while Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) registered 5 percent and 4 percent, respectively.
The St. Pete poll, conducted from Feb. 25-26, suggests that Bloomberg’s political stock has taken a hit in the wake of the Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas last week, when he came under frequent attack from his rivals and struggled to fend off criticism of his mayoral record, treatment of women and controversial past comments.
A St. Pete Poll released just before the Las Vegas debate showed the former New York City mayor in first place in Florida, with 32 percent support. Within a matter of days, that support slipped 7 points, the new poll shows.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
In 76, Brown & Church won 8 late primaries. It forced Carter to fight to the end.
His June victories in NJ OH, saved his campaign
Of course, the rank & file voters were disgruntled with Jimmy. That’s not happening with Bernie.
The BIG difference is that CA is Super Tuesday, not flag day. Front loading was supposed to clear the field. It will be too muddled without enough time to get momentum.
Yer prolly right
Early voting has really changed the game. And it seems like not every candidate has been fully cognizant of that fact. In Nevada it was what, 2/3s that voted early? That really hurt Warren, she did get a bounce from kneecapping Bloomberg but it was too late.
I know you’ve expressed opposition to it in the past. Do you think it could hurt us in the general election?
I’ve started doing it, I used to go on election day right at 6 AM. I just wish jerks passing out pamphlets had been aware. ;-p
Of course Early Voting will hurt us in the GE. Anything that increases turnout among college students and people on the dole will help the Democrats.
But my opposition to Early Voting is primarily due to the fact that it does away with the basic democratic principle that the government should be elected by a majority at a particular moment in time with the same information available to all.
I’m very unprincipled lately ;-D
But I care a lot about the hurting us part. Come to think of it didn’t Trump win or almost win Nevada on election day? Ralston said he’d “already lost” by then because of the early votes.
An example of how early voting in Super Tuesday states will help Bernie win the nomination:
Southeast 2.6 m
SouthCentral 1.9 m
West 5.9 m
North 2.6 m
13 million votes will be cast, total 3/3.
2 million already voted
Yes.
I just read an article from two days ago that said that a bit over 1 million Democrats had voted early in Texas alone. Add the fact that around a week ago 20% of all California Democrats who had been sent absentee ballots had returned them, and I have to believe that a heck of a lot more than 2 million Democrats from Super Tuesday states voted prior to Biden’s SC victory (not to mention prior to Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer dropping out).
Will try to search for a better estimate
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