Posted on 02/22/2020 11:58:12 AM PST by PghBaldy
Live Now | AREA OF THE BALLROOM WHEN THE CAUCUS BEGINS.
BELLAGIO HOTEL BALLROOM, LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA - People gather in community center to choose their preferred Democratic candidates in 2020 presidential race. SCHEDULE: 1800GMT - #NevadaCaucus meetings begin 2000GMT - Voting expected to begin 2200GMT APPROX - Voting expected to end
Lookner reporting people having trouble calling in results
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aAvwq-cn6Dg
The Bern will win the plurality (but not the majority) of the delegates going into the convention.
_Then_ the DNC steals it.
_Then_ the Bernie folks riot.
_Then_ _hopefully_ the lefties go third party and President Trump wins in a landslide against the devastated remains of the Democratic Party.
It’s Nevada.
That’s where people think they beat the House.
Holly Otterbein
@hollyotterbein
·
12m
Still here. Sanders was the only viable candidate on first alignment. Now people are arguing about how to allocate delegates — something I witnessed in Iowa. “You’re not counting correctly!” a man says.
https://twitter.com/hollyotterbein?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
Sounds good to me!
Yup.
The Democrats are _so_ predictable...like two year old kids who think the other kid stole their candy.
On MSNBC, James Carville is still despondent.
He’s somehow hoping for a miracle change in the wks to come. Says he won’t panic until then.
Just tuning in.
This is delicious...
This is panic time for the DNC. To stop Angry Berd, they need to shrink the field to 2 viable candidates for Super Tuesday, plus Soda Boy and Angry Berd for a total of 4. That way they can hope to dilute the Angry Berd vote to keep him from an outright majority. Then after Super Tuesday, narrow it to 2 plus the Angry Berd to further try to dilute it, and keep it that way all the way to the convention.
That is the only hope the DNC has of preventing Angry Berd from getting an outright majority so they can steal it from him using the brokered convention “rules”, and saying Angry Berd is not “electable” because he couldn’t get a majority = addition by subtraction. Bloomberg will probably be one of the other 2 because he has the money to stay in the race. So the only question is who is the other one that will get the majority of the DNC resources.
Super Tuesday is the make on break on stopping Bernie. Right now that isn’t looking good.
Lookner: by this time in 2016 we had half of the official results
If Bloomberg sticks around he will be followed around by hostile womyn until he folds his lecherous tent.
This is basic game theory—there is no incentive for any of the top seven candidates to drop out before the convention.
They either have leverage at the convention if it goes to a second ballot—or they do not.
You need delegates to have a seat at the table...
Biden tossed a life preserver. A second place finish keeps him in the race at least thru Super Tuesday.
A couple of things to keep in mind about the Nevada caucus: 1) only the Demonrats have a caucus today; and 2) while touted as a “closed caucus,” a person can declare or switch their party affiliation the day of the caucus and vote in it.
There is no telling how many people engaged in Operation Chaos activities. It will be interesting to see the numbers on how many people were eligible to vote 4 years ago and didn’t or voted in the Republican caucus (or primary?) then. But I doubt these numbers will be available today.
Thirdly, an awful lot of people early voted in Nevada, which could legitimately make it difficult to call 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place today if not many votes separate each.
The key to Nevada was the early voting.
This made it very difficult for any coherent opposition to Bernie within a precinct, since the early voter second and third choice votes _could_ _not_ _be_ _changed_ for any early votes.
The Democrats really shot themselves in the head on this one...
There is nothing to lose (for all the candidates) by sticking it out until Super Tuesday.
They will all re-assess the day after that.
Most of them have no ads in the Super Tuesday races because the are low on funds. Bernie, Bloomberg, and Biden are the only real viable candidates. SC will end some of the campaigns.
James Carville Says People Who Think Bernie Will Beat Trump Are as ‘Stupid’ as Climate Deniers.
Pretty soon the Cajun is going to blow. lol
I agree Soda Boy looks weak right now, but no one knows for sure until he is on the ballot, and that won’t happen till Super Tuesday. No one should underestimate how his money could “influence” the vote...after all...we are talking about demonrats, and illegal voting is a way of life for them.
You are right, it will be about delegates. That is why 2 candidates need to start amassing delegates quickly so combined they get the “majority” versus Angry Berd plurality. A 2-person race is just like 2016 all over again, and Bernie wins outright with the new rules. Same for a multi-candidate split because the next 2 combined will still be even weaker then Bernie. The sweet spot for the DNC has to be a total of 3 candidates = 2+Bernie.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.