Posted on 02/21/2020 3:59:27 PM PST by nuconvert
Lol.
The word from inside Iran is that people are frightened.
No one trusts the information they’re getting from the regime. Everyone thinks the numbers are much higher. There are rumors that at least 9 people are dead (not 4).
As far as I’ve heard, there are only 4 British people from that ship who have tested positive and have been removed to Japanese hospitals (?)
That’s not a lot to medevac out.
Yea, no kidding. But I suspect if Iran tried forcibly sending their carriers here on purpose, those people would spill the beans, once out of the long reach of the Imam himself.
“The word from inside Iran is that people are frightened.
No one trusts the information they’re getting from the regime. Everyone thinks the numbers are much higher. There are rumors that at least 9 people are dead (not 4).”
As far as I can remember, Iran is the ONLY country other than China that is now vectoring-out carriers. God only knows how bad it must now be there.
Just use the usual x10 multiplier, I guess.
I think 100 to 1000 is closer for a multiplier, in places where they’re vectoring-off people. It doesn’t mean, necessarily, that they’re intentionally under-reporting (although that can certainly be some or most of it), but they may just be so overwhelmed or the bug is so quiet in most people (not showing symptoms, yet) that they don’t even intend to give out crappy numbers.
They may well only have only a few more than the few symptomatic examples they’ve cited. But it’s in the wild, scattered in a nation without border control, and limited medical facilities. It is unlikely to stay that way with few cases for long.
I hope and pray you are right. It is interesting watching this unfold but I’ve already gotten through the denile phase.
“Just use the usual x10 multiplier, I guess.”
Yup. Good rule of thumb
Baghdad Bob... ‘no tanks’ he’d say - - while tanks could be seen in the background. Third world barker...
I of course will overlook your unwarrented suggestion of shallow thinking on my part regarding the situation, which as I’ve stated travelers can and do risk finding themselves in when traveling abroad...and when so it’s generally considered ‘unusual’ situations. All the more if they’re elderly folks.
(BTW The Brits did send a plane to get their people out.)
.....”It just appears to be media generated histrionics”.....
Thank you I agree... it’s one thing to be concerned it’s another thing to report 24/7 and have phone interviews etc. that just adds to the “sky is falling” hype that’s out there.
Gosh it’s in Iran - now the goats and camels are gonna get it.
It must be that, in the second and third week of January, that any businessmen and mid-level party officials who had an excuse to leave China “on business” did so.
It would be interesting to know how many sons of Central Committee members remain in China today.
Iran Bans Travelers from China, Crippling Plan to Boost Chinese Tourism
Tourism.
Riiiiight...
“The Iranian tour guide said he recently had traveled with one Chinese group from Iran into neighboring Turkey. “
Most of them came thru Turkey. Turkey didn’t stop its flights from China until about 2 wks ago.(I think Feb 4th)
UPDATE: Iran confirms 10 new cases, 5th death
Update 6:15 a.m. EST Feb 22: The numbers might sound low, but the surge in diagnosed novel coronavirus cases in Iran is boosting concerns among global health officials the outbreak could soon reach pandemic levels.
Iran’s health ministry confirmed 10 new cases of the virus – bringing the country’s total to 28 – and a fifth fatality.
The ripple effect among travelers, however, is sounding alarm bells among infectious disease experts.
According to the New York Times, cases confirmed in both Canada and Lebanon have been traced to travel to and from Iran.
“The cases that we see in the rest of the world, although the numbers are small, but not linked to Wuhan or China, it’s very worrisome,” Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of the World Health Organization, said Friday at a news conference at the agency’s headquarters in Geneva. “These dots are actually very concerning.”
Kianoush Jahanpour, Iran’s health ministry spokesman, said that of the 10 latest reported cases, two were diagnosed in Tehran and eight are in Qom.
According to The Associated Press, two elderly patients died in Qom Wednesday and the two Tehran patients either visited or had links to Qom.
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