24615 . 494
It seems almost all the cases are in China, probably in the Wuhan area.
It really hasn’t spread much.
Every time we speculate on how much the infection has spread, we should wonder about why it seems to have been made in a laboratory.
And who did it.
Hubei only
2-5 2328 serious 756 critical
2-4 1809 serious, 711 critical
2-3 1567 serious 576 critical
In US
11 positive cases
206 suspected cases found to be negative.
That’s 5% of suspected cases being positive.
76 suspected cases, testing pending. Based on 5% that’d be 4 more positive cases.
I’m sure there will be more.
Live updates site
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
2/5
“Mothers may pass coronavirus to unborn children: Chinese doctors”
“Newborn was reportedly given a test 30 hours after birth and confirmed to have the virus”
https://news.yahoo.com/mothers-may-pass-coronavirus-unborn-121019834.html
CDC: 80,000 people died of flu last winter in U.S., highest death toll in 40 years
https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/
CoronaVirus was a proven bio weapons germ gone bad. China had intended to infect the USA, New York or Los Angeles.
Prepare accordingly.
These are targeted towards or race or men.
Death rate appears to be about 2%.
Bkmk
2/4
WHO Director Overseeing Coronavirus Response Covered Up Cholera Epidemics In 2013
Did you see the report from Tawain about 127K infected and 25K dead?
marker
UPDATE - Canadian Flight - delayed 24 hours - weather delayed plane getting into Hanoi staging area by 4hrs and CCP wouldn’t allow the flight to proceed during daylight hrs.
New instructions: arrive no later than 5pm Feb 6 for early early morning flight on Feb 7. Those already in route contact embassy (or camp at the airport I guess? seems more logical than playing ground-hog day? )
presser:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bhp7ZHFT1Ww
CDC: Today the test kits will start shipping to the over 100 US public health labs, each of these labs is required to perform international verification for CLIAA compliance prior to reporting out. This process is expected to take a few days. Initially 200 test kits will be distributed to US domestic laboratories and another 200 will be distributed to selected international laboratories. Each test kit can perform 700 to 800 patient samples. What that means is that by the start of next week, we expect there to be much enhanced capacity for laboratory testing closer to our patients.
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2020/t0205-coronavirus-update.html
Patient dies of an UNDETERMINED strain of coronavirus..
https://mobile.twitter.com/ABSCBNNews/status/1225343708637253632
Does anyone know if the 2 Americans diagnosed on the Japanese cruise ship go towards US case count or Japans?
Reputable source, too.
Single Mutation Could Significantly Enhance Wuhan Coronavirus
By AMERICAN SOCIETY FOR MICROBIOLOGY FEBRUARY 2, 2020
Decade-long structural studies by Fang Li of the University of Minnesota, et al. have shown how the SARS virus (SARS-CoV) interacts with animal and human hosts in order to infect them.
<SNIP>
Alarmingly, our data predict that a single mutation [at a specific spot in the genome] could significantly enhance [the Wuhan coronaviruss] ability to bind with human ACE2, the investigators write. For this reason, Wuhan coronavirus evolution in patients should be closely monitored for the emergence of novel mutations at the 501 position in its genome, and to a lesser extent, the 494 position, in order to predict the possibility of a more serious outbreak than has been seen so far.{emphasis mine.}