Posted on 01/21/2020 7:37:55 PM PST by TexasGurl24
With 4,310 voters showing up to the polls today, the results are in and clear. Harry Arora is the winner of the contest to replace Fred Camillo as the State Representative from the 151st.
Arora, who ran on a fiscally conservative, no tolls platform, has won with almost 55% of the vote, a margin of 360 votes; winning every polling district with the exception of district 1.
The Republican won with 55% of the vote.
Greenwich is a traditionally conservative town....lots,and lots,and *lots* of $$$ there.
This district is trending relentlessly Democratic.
https://ballotpedia.org/Connecticut_House_of_Representatives_District_151
In 2012, the previous incumbent won 66%. The new guy got 54%.
In recent years, the urban areas of Bridgeport, New Haven, Hartford, Waterbury, etc., have overwhelmed the rest of the state.
A Republican hold, not a pickup of a Dem seat.
Even so, in the Acela corridor a hold is a win.
Can someone give a straight answer if this was a good win or not as good as last time and who had it last time, a D or an R?
i’m confused!
Republican hold. Specials can be iffy things percentage-wise and can vary widely depending upon which side managed to get their people out. I don’t know if the counting is done, but it’s apparently slightly less than what the prior Republican got in Nov 2018. A win is still a win, though.
I was noticing Fairfield County has undergone a transformation, and not for the better. In 1988, the last time the GOP carried the state for President, it was the most Republican county in the state, voting 59% for Bush, Sr. Even in 1992, he still carried it with 42.8%.
By 2016, Fairfield had the singular distinction of being the only county that moved to the left of its 2012 performance (44% for Willard, 38% for Trump). All the remaining 7 counties trended Republican overall. Fairfield became the 2nd most Democrat county in CT in 2016, with Hartford being only 1% more pro-Hillary Dem (and Hartford dropped from 62% Obama in 2012 to 59% Hillary in 2016).
Trump carried 2 counties, Litchfield (54%), now the most Republican in the state (and the only other county Bush, Sr. carried in 1992) and Windham (51%), the first time it went Republican since 1988 (Trump got the same % Bush, Sr. did that year). At that rate of anti-Dem decline, Trump should also win New London and Tolland Counties this year, although not quite enough to win the state overall (but you never know).
Yep. If you want to see Ferraris, Aston Martins, Rolls Royces, Bentleys, Lamborghinis, etc., just stroll down Greenwich avenue on a weekend (particularly Saturdays). They'll be there.
It is a Republican hold, but the PVI of this seat is D+7. The Democrat was favored to flip it, not only did the Rats fail, the GOP won 55% of the vote here.
It’s curious, the Republican who won today performed almost identically to when his predecessor first ran for it in 2008... 55.7% for Arora (’20) and 55.36% for Camillo (’08).
https://www.ourcampaigns.com/ContainerHistory.html?ContainerID=21883
The PVI sounds overtilted to the Dems, and probably because Hillary overperformed in this district, too. It’s pretty clearly Republican at the state House level, so I can toss out that D+7 conclusion as false. The last time there was a close race in 21 years was in 2006 when the incumbent won by just 1.7%.
The Hillary result would definitely affect the PVI.
This is actually probably one of the richest State House seats in the nation. This isn’t a 1% area, it’s more like a 0.1% area.
We’re behind the Iron Curtain. Zero conservative local media.
Fairfield is pro-abort Republicans. Probably was a great place for Kasich vote.
Imagine if Pig Vomit had been the nominee. He would’ve been swimming in stories of his sexcapades with his Eskimo Brother Gary Condit.
Connecticut is Massachusetts without the charm.
NY should annex it and be done with it.
I think it’s spelled Fagfield.
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