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We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future — and It’s Not as Bad as It Once Looked
nymag.com ^ | 12/28/19 | David Wallace-Wells

Posted on 12/28/2019 11:28:35 AM PST by NoLibZone

For once, the climate news might be better than you thought. It’s certainly better than I’ve thought.

You may not have noticed it, amid the flood of bad news about the “Emissions Gap” and the collapse of the COP25 climate conference in Madrid, but over the last few weeks a new narrative about the climate future has emerged, on balance encouraging, at least to an alarmist like me. It is this: As best as we can understand and project the medium- and long-term trajectories of energy use and emissions, the window of possible climate futures is probably narrowing, with both the most optimistic scenarios and the most pessimistic ones seeming, now, less likely.

That narrowing contains both good and bad news — what was recently the best to hope for now seems vanishingly unlikely, and what was the worst to fear much less likely, too. But let’s start with the good news, since there is typically so little of it.

A few weeks ago, the International Energy Agency released its annual World Energy Outlook 2019. The IEA is not known to be optimistic, at least to climate advocates, who have, for years, mocked its projections for future renewable growth: Every year, the agency basically predicts a plateau for renewable use, and every year renewables keep dramatically growing. This made the most noteworthy prediction in this year’s report even more so. According to the IEA report, given only current carbon policies, which nearly everyone studying climate considers terribly weak, the world is on track for about 3 degrees Celsius of warming by 2100, which could, if existing pledges were implemented, be brought down as low as 2.7 degrees — about one and a half degrees less warming than is suggested by the U.N.’s IPCC reports in ...

(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: churchofwarming; climatechange; climatechangefraud; climatechnge; globalwarminghoax; globlwarming; greennewdeal; nlz
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We must thwart movement of people from low energy carbon societies to those with higher energy use.

Allowing immigration from poor low energy carbon nations to those nations with higher energy use- threatens the world.

They had been living low carbon lives.

1 posted on 12/28/2019 11:28:35 AM PST by NoLibZone
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To: NoLibZone

Do were not going to die in 11.12 years?


2 posted on 12/28/2019 11:31:10 AM PST by Raycpa
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To: NoLibZone

Somebody check Greta - make sure she’s not taking it too hard.


3 posted on 12/28/2019 11:33:16 AM PST by I want the USA back (If free speech is taken away, dumb and silent we are led, like sheep to the slaughter: G Washington)
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To: NoLibZone

So now we have, what, 13 or 14 years to live?


4 posted on 12/28/2019 11:34:23 AM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: NoLibZone

This is good news. As slow as goobermints move, there’s no way they’d get those bridges built over the oceans in 12 years.


5 posted on 12/28/2019 11:38:24 AM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: I want the USA back

cya time as it becomes more and more obvious the doomsday BS that have been peddling is not going to happen they have to adjust the narrative. They are giving it up they will just retool the message to reflect the obvious.


6 posted on 12/28/2019 11:38:46 AM PST by gibsonguy
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To: Raycpa
According to Algore we are already supposed to be dead.
7 posted on 12/28/2019 11:39:31 AM PST by dhs12345
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To: NoLibZone
cock·a·ma·mie /ˈkäkəˌmāmē/ Learn to pronounce adjectiveinformal•North American adjective: cockamamie; adjective: cockamamy ridiculous; implausible. "a cockamamie theory" Cockamamie pretty much covers anything of the left. Gibberish is another specifically their writings.
8 posted on 12/28/2019 11:40:24 AM PST by rockinqsranch ("Democratic" party sold out to the ICP. It is now the Communist Party USA.)
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To: NoLibZone
For once, the climate news might be better than you thought. It’s certainly better than I’ve thought.

The idiots at NYMag are going "Huh? Whadda you know!". At least some idiots who believe in "Global Warning" are beginning to wake up. But they'll never admit they're wrong!

9 posted on 12/28/2019 11:41:30 AM PST by roadcat
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To: NoLibZone

The climate future is exactly as it will be. The idea that we can change it is absurd.


10 posted on 12/28/2019 11:42:03 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: rockinqsranch

climalarkey! CLIMAGEDDONISTS?


11 posted on 12/28/2019 11:43:00 AM PST by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: gibsonguy

“We’ve averted it... for now.”

Like the end of some sci-fi film.


12 posted on 12/28/2019 11:51:44 AM PST by a fool in paradise (Recall that unqualified Hillary Clinton sat on the board of Wal-Mart when Bill Clinton was governor)
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To: NoLibZone

“Clearly the progress we’ve made toward world socialism has paid major dividends already. Forward, comrades!”


13 posted on 12/28/2019 11:54:22 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: rockinqsranch

“We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future — and It’s Not as Bad as It Once Looked”
**************************************

But...But......can we trust this this time????? Y’think????
;(
***
GyG@PlanetWTF?/WNW!
SemperTRUMP.45!
+++++++++++++++++++


14 posted on 12/28/2019 11:55:43 AM PST by gunnyg ("A Constitution changed from Freedom, can never be restored; Liberty, once lost, is lost forever...)
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To: rockinqsranch

“We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future — and It’s Not as Bad as It Once Looked”
**************************************

But...But......can we trust this this time????? Y’think????
;(
***
GyG@PlanetWTF?/WNW!
SemperTRUMP.45!
+++++++++++++++++++


15 posted on 12/28/2019 11:55:47 AM PST by gunnyg ("A Constitution changed from Freedom, can never be restored; Liberty, once lost, is lost forever...)
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To: NoLibZone

[[We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future]]

Man NEVER was responsible for changing the global climate

plus we have a guaranteed 1007 more years of life on earth- and very likely much longer- but at the very least- 1007 more years-


16 posted on 12/28/2019 12:00:33 PM PST by Bob434
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To: roadcat

“ At least some idiots who believe in “Global Warning” are beginning to wake up.”

They’ve spent too much time and money brainwashing two generations in the West. They aren’t giving up this easily.


17 posted on 12/28/2019 12:01:03 PM PST by Scott from the Left Coast (It's the corruption, stupid)
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To: I want the USA back
...make sure she’s not taking it too hard.

Nope. They need to get Greta's peer review of this analysis and, if it doesn't meet with her approval, withdraw it immediately. How could they have missed getting her peer review in advance of publication? Idiots!

18 posted on 12/28/2019 12:10:41 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: NoLibZone

Even though nobody saw or did anything, Al Gore still thwarted ManBearPig, and we are all a safe, thanks to him... until we need him again!


19 posted on 12/28/2019 12:11:02 PM PST by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: NoLibZone

You read the comments on the original article and it’s obvious that the author is a BLASPHEMER!!!! A HERETIC!!!! BURN THE WITCH!!!! THROW HIM IN THE POND!!! FEEDBACK LOOP!!!! SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS!!!! WE’RE DOOMED!!!!


20 posted on 12/28/2019 12:11:42 PM PST by jonascord (First rule of the Dunning-Kruger Club is that you do not know you are in the Dunning-Kruger club.)
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