Posted on 12/08/2019 4:26:24 PM PST by Zhang Fei
The Chinese communist regime is heading towards disintegration and the West needs to be prepared to manage the fallout, according to a leading China scholar.
Arthur Waldron, China historian and Lauder Professor of International Relations in the Department of History at the University of Pennsylvania, made the remarks in a recent interview on The Epoch Times American Thought Leaders. He shared his views on the Chinese Communist Partys (CCP) imminent collapse, U.S. foreign policy on China, and the relentless Hong Kong protests that have posed a major challenge to Beijings rule. CCPs Disintegration
The CCP has started on a path of decline and is headed towards a similar fate as the Soviet Union when it collapsed in 1991, the professor said.
I believe that China is in this stage of disintegration or jie ti (解體), and its something that you dont see immediately, said Waldron.
The Chinese regimes practice of forced organ harvestingwhich results in an estimated tens of thousands of prisoners of conscience killed every year to supply its organ transplant marketand its treatment of Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities in the northwestern region of Xinjiang, made it the most evil regime since the Nazi Germany, Waldron said.
He recalled a conversation with an unidentified person, who is a close advisor to Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
He said to me, Arthur, what the hell are we going to do? Everybody knows that this [political] system doesnt work. We have reached a si hu tong (死胡同), said Waldron said, explaining that the Chinese phrase means a dead-end street.
The advisor continued: But what we dont know is what is the next step to take because
there are mines everywhere and if we take a step, we may set off a terrible explosion.
(Excerpt) Read more at theepochtimes.com ...
I dont see where China has any reason to disintegrate, although it may have some turmoil around succession if Xi is forced from office.
If China runs out of communists, can we send them ours?
What happens when 1 billion people try to run through the eye of a needle? It’s not pretty.
It’s not as if we haven’t heard this “Chicoms are doomed” predictions before from so-called expert China observers.
One of the most notoriously wrong “expert” is Gordon Chang who actually lived in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
He predicted a collapse of the Chinese economy as far back as 2004. He even wrote a book entitled, THE COMING COLLAPSE OF CHINA.
Didn’t happen. Yet, here we are in 2019, Gordon Chang is still being given column space in our newspapers and even airtime by Fox, and he’s still predicting a collapse! How many times should a man cry wolf before we ignore him?
They’ll invade Taiwan
I just can’t see this ending well.
Wow, just think if Chinese communism were to collapse under Pres. Trump just as Soviet communism collapsed under Pres. Reagan! But, alas, it’s highly unlikely . . . The wicked Democrat Party wouldn’t allow it.
He correctly identifies China as the Nazis of our day.
4. Red China may artificially resemble the old feudal kingdom’s but with modern weapons, transportation, communications and control of, plus a massive police force/Military, the Red Chinese Communist Party and it’s enforcement arms ,will crush as any opposition in blood and not give a Damn. After all, Michael Bloomturd and Joe Biden deny that RC is threat.
[The Party controls the Army and the Army has all the guns.]
The Man with the Gold makes the Rules, i.e., in the long run, economics triumphs over politics, even if the two influence each other. As China diversifies wealth and economic resources into many hands, and thus many power-centers, inevitably a central authority cannot maintain control over politics. When and how the CCP collapses is the real question.
The Chinese people, including especially those who hold substantial wealth, have historical reasons to fear the chaos that would ensue without the CCP anchoring the system, even of that anchor is a millstone dragging them down. Uncertainty about what would follow (national disintegration?; back to warlords and constant civil war with foreign powers intervening?; how would economic structures and institutions work?; would a Chinese model of self-government work?) This will act as a brake, since many will have to weigh the advantages of “freedom” against potential anarchy. I find a lot of zigzagging and fraying at the edges more likely than a precipitous collapse.
[One of the most notoriously wrong expert is Gordon Chang who actually lived in Shanghai and Hong Kong.]
IMHO, this qualifies as “Fake News”...
Not on point.
Feudal governments can always crush dissent.
But that’s not a “feature” of feudalism... it’s a “bug”!
Feudal regimes end up going “too far”.
only if there is an economic collapse first
Very good interview. What I found rather amusing though is through out the interview Dr. Waldron makes the point that time & time again people were mistaken about how China would not change as they perceived, in their delusions, that China would change. Then he ends it all saying he hopes China will change themselves. Almost as if he too has delusions himself. 8>)
[Then he ends it all saying he hopes China will change themselves.]
But I really enjoyed it. The truth is though most countries do not change on their own. Russia did, and the U.S. may end up doing the same. But the list of those who did is quite short, I'm sure. I don't see China adding its name to that list. 8>)
C’mon now. Our eugenicists/puppets were trying to catch Islam’s, Russia’s and theirs.
[The truth is though most countries do not change on their own.]
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