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Are We Headed Toward a Second Civil War?
Townhall.com ^ | November 18, 2019 | Scott Morefield

Posted on 11/18/2019 4:47:55 AM PST by Kaslin

Next to a nuclear strike, foreign invasion, or global pandemic, it’s hard to imagine something as bone-chillingly terrifying as a second hot Civil War. The first one was bad enough, what with the endless carnage and the deaths of over 620,000 soldiers in a time when the U.S. was sparsely populated and wartime technology was in its relative infancy, at least compared to today. Even if the military withheld its most destructive weapons, a modern hot civil war would be disastrous on a scale that’s barely imaginable.

It’s a prospect no sane person wants, even on the fringes of the right or the left. Yet, in today’s polarized age, most people now genuinely believe civil war to be a very real possibility. An October Georgetown Institute poll found that the average American believes we are “two-thirds of the way to the edge of a civil war,” while a solid majority believes that “political, racial, and class divisions are getting worse.”

From where I’m sitting, it sure seems that way, and it’s a topic that’s getting an increasing amount of coverage in the media from both conservative and liberal perspectives.

The Atlantic devoted its entire December issue to the topic of “How To Stop A Civil War.” Interestingly, it includes an article relating how marriage counseling techniques can help bring some sense of mutual understanding to people on both sides of the political spectrum. Because in truth, the kind of ‘contempt’ that research says ends marriages for good, the kind that left and right clearly have for each other these days, could very well end our nation.

In an article for The American Conservative titled, “Civil War Begins When The Constitutional Order Breaks Down,” Michael Vlahos writes of a “daily torrent of unfiltered evidence” that suggests that “our constitutional order is fissuring before our eyes.”

Leftist author Joseph Natoli, writing for CounterPunch about the “Looming Shadow of Civil War,” sardonically but accurately described how conservatives see the ideological opposition: “Liberals retain the old tax and spend/baby killing on demand profile, taking from working Americans and giving to lazy shirkers and on the way killing babies. The profile grows darker: gay marriage, gender choice, LGBTQ rights, amnesty to illegal aliens, open borders, confiscation of guns, cars, cattle, Jesus, Robert E. Lee and white privilege. The ‘extreme Left’ and Progressives have a thinner profile: Communists.”

The left, then, according to Natoli, sees Trump supporters as being motivated by “ignorance and stupidity at the top of the list, followed by racist, bigoted, misogynist and homophobic. In brief, if you voted for Trump, you were a troglodyte with a gun.”

Now, which of those characterizations appears more accurate and which are just a personal attack? Does the left not favor abortion, tax and spend, gun confiscation, and open borders? Don’t they, for example, incessantly yammer on about the ridiculous, nonexistent concept of “white privilege?" The only thing slightly offensive to some might be the “Communist” label, but many on the more extreme left likely only publicly eschew that label for fear of turning people off.

Trump supporters, of course, don’t cotton to the idea of being labeled as “racist, bigoted, misogynist and homophobic,” not to mention "ignorant" and "stupid," by condescending, virtue signaling leftists full of their own self-defined "morality." Yet, at least for now, we are all in the same boat, as HBO host Bill Maher pointed out in a somewhat-joking, mostly-serious “Real Time with Bill Maher” segment on Friday night. To Maher, the “single shining truth about democracy” is “sharing the country with assholes you can’t stand” in the same way families don’t typically choose their Thanksgiving dinner guests. (Sure, we all know who he’s talking about when it comes to “assholes,” but that doesn’t negate the overall point).

“You don’t get to choose the guests, because those freaks are your family,” Maher joked. “Think about that the next time you think you can own someone politically. Think about how you can see politics so differently from people who share your very blood.” The HBO host lamented the desire, on both sides, to “own” the opposition - a tactic that never actually changes minds - before grimly observing that, while a second civil war may sound “impossible,” it is actually “is not.”

Then the comedian, like Natoli, juxtaposed how both sides see each other: “We all talk about Trump as an existential threat, but his side sees Democratic control of government the exact same way. And when both sides believe the other guy taking over means the end of the world, yes, you can have a civil war.”

“We are going to have to learn to live with each other or there will be blood,” Maher soberingly concluded.

“We are going to have to learn to live with each other or there will be blood,” Maher soberingly concluded. 

Is he right? It’s a bit lengthy, but I highly recommend read this article titled “How America Ends.” In it, Atlantic senior editor Yoni Appelbaum acknowledges both the demographic plight faced by the political majority in America – something “no rich and stable democracy has ever experienced” – along with the fact that democracy is imperiled when one or the other side feels hopeless at the prospects for future electoral victory. A 2020 Trump defeat, writes Appelbaum, would “only deepen the despair that fueled his rise, confirming his supporters’ fear that the demographic tide has turned against them.”

“When a group that has traditionally exercised power comes to believe that its eclipse is inevitable, and that the destruction of all it holds dear will follow, it will fight to preserve what it has—whatever the cost,” he continued. Appelbaum’s ‘solution,’ as it were, is for the rise of a center-right party that embraces immigrants and minorities in the same way the Democratic Party expanded its tent in the 30’s.

The article truthfully lays out the landscape in a way that few liberal publications have acknowledged, but the ‘solution’ it offers is simply more of the same. Can America survive when its elites are, against the will of a majority of Americans, importing millions of immigrants from cultures that have little to nothing whatsoever in common with that of the current citizenry? To Maher’s analogy, we may not “choose” our family any more than we “choose” our country-mates, but imagine the tension at Thanksgiving if said “family” included different members every year brought in at random with absolutely nothing culturally in common with the original members. At what point does the concept of assimilation, something that predictably isn’t mentioned in the article but has always been the key to a stable country, become impossible? Still, just turn some into right-of-center conservatives, Appelbaum smugly advises, and all will be well.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m all for recruiting minorities of any stripe into the conservative tent. Hispanics and African Americans who are courageous enough to outwardly support President Trump, despite the pushback they get from their own communities, have my unending respect and gratitude. However, when has ANY conservative leaning party been able to recruit even Hispanics, the group with which they have arguably forged the greatest inroads, at a level that could equal electoral victory in a Hispanic-dominated state? Even George W. Bush, for all his pandering, only managed to win 40 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004. Most political analysts concede that even Texas will go blue by 2024, if not sooner. What chance will Republicans have on a national scale then?

Thus, the apocalyptic concerns of Michael Anton mentioned in the Atlantic article, laid out in his seminal 2016 essay “The Flight 93 Election,” are even more concerning now than ever. And contrary to Appelbaum’s contention, it is in fact Trump and his supporters who are trying to save America from collapse by curbing immigration to manageable levels. Because as daunting as the prospect of a civil war may be, many conservatives would choose that and all that goes with it – if some form of extreme federalism or non-violent secession doesn’t work – any day of the week over the even more disturbing prospect of being dominated by the political left for the foreseeable future.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: civilwar; civilwar2; civilwarii; cw2; cwii; no; toolazy
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To: Governor Dinwiddie
As one freeper said last week, we are already in CW2.

It just hasn't gotten hot....yet.

101 posted on 11/18/2019 8:13:36 AM PST by ealgeone
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

I’ve heard the same thing where I live. If we need the workers and they want to work, bring them in but NO form of welfare.


102 posted on 11/18/2019 8:13:48 AM PST by Wm F Buckley Republican
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To: KavMan

My husband and his friends (USMC MARSOC ret) all say that they intend to finish the job if they have to get started. I suspect they represent a fair number of our nations veterans.


103 posted on 11/18/2019 8:20:15 AM PST by MeganC (There is nothing feminine about feminism.)
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To: Erik Latranyi

The Hard Left would use Antifa, as well as street gangs, to act as the equivalent of the Basij in Iran


104 posted on 11/18/2019 8:27:13 AM PST by Fred Hayek (The Democratic Party is now the operational arm of the CPUSA)
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To: Ancesthntr
Wait until a Dem President and Congress begin confiscating guns, or just red-flaggin hundreds of gun owners every day. That’ll change the equation.

No, it won't.

Abortion clinics massacre unborn babies and sell their organs with impunity in this country. If you think more than a few dozen people are willing to "change the equation" over guns, you're sadly mistaken.

I suspect what MIGHT happen in this country is a long, ongoing, "guerrilla" type political conflict where more and more people simply stop giving a sh!t about what their government tells them ... and more and more government officials refuse to enforce many laws because the risk to their own personal safety is too great.

I can tell you for sure: You'd be hard-pressed to find even a solid majority of FREEPERS who are willing to engage in a civil war if it means jeopardizing their Social Security checks and their Medicare coverage.

105 posted on 11/18/2019 8:34:12 AM PST by Alberta's Child ("In the time of chimpanzees I was a monkey.")
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To: Dr.Deth

Spot on analysis.


106 posted on 11/18/2019 8:35:57 AM PST by neverevergiveup
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To: All; Soul of the South
Might I remind you what Soul of the South wrote many years ago.

"The flyover folks (read: the better armed Americans) won't stand for this crap."

The flyover folks won't stand for 50 million babies being aborted.
The flyover folks won't stand for government controlled healthcare.
The flyover folks won't stand for federally mandated school curricula.
The flyover folks won't stand for homosexual marriage.
The flyover folks won't stand for private property to be seized by the government and given to other private entities for development (Kelo decision).
The flyover folks won't stand for open borders.
The flyover folks won't stand for Christian symbols to be removed from public spaces while Islam is celebrate in public spaces.
The flyover folks won't stand for Islamic terrorists infiltrating the federal government.
The flyover folks won't stand for social welfare benefits to be extended to people in the country illegally.
The flyover folks won't stand for restrictions on free speech.
The flyover folks won't stand for local police swat teams breaking down doors of people’s houses.
The flyover folks won't stand for voter fraud.
The flyover folks won't stand for money printing and currency debasement by the Federal Reserve.
The flyover folks won't stand for their tax money to be used to bail out big banks or bankroll economically unsound green energy companies.
The flyover folks won't stand for increased marginal tax rates.
The flyover folks won't stand for eliminating the work requirement from welfare.
The flyover folks won't stand for bureaucratic imposition of carbon limits resulting in the shutdown of coal fired power plants.
The flyover folks won't stand for the federal government banning incandescent lighting, requiring engine ruining ethanol in their gasoline, eliminating phosphates from their laundry detergents, or limiting the amount of water their washing machines and toilets can use to the point they cannot perform their function.
The flyover folks won't stand for . . .

Based on their track record to date the majority of the flyover folks will walk down to the collection points and turn in their guns when they are told to do so.
107 posted on 11/18/2019 8:40:47 AM PST by tenger (Why only 435 representatives for 330 million people? Why did they stop raising the number in 1929?)
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To: JPJones

I went to UMASS/Amherst...in the Happy Valley. I know what you mean.


108 posted on 11/18/2019 9:07:03 AM PST by qaz123
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To: Erik Latranyi

“Anyone who thinks a Civil War would be the armed and skilled against the unarmed snowflakes is fooling themselves.”

It will start because the left will unleash their “brownshirts” (i.e., urban gangs recruited for the purpose) upon their perceived enemies. At that point you will see just how savage the “mild-mannered” and peaceful American people can become, especially if their kids are harmed. I’m 68, but harm my family and I will go Comanche on your ass.


109 posted on 11/18/2019 9:58:54 AM PST by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: Kaslin

ping


110 posted on 11/18/2019 10:08:07 AM PST by Lowell1775
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To: Kaslin
We are in a not-so-civil-civil war.

The leftist are losing their minds. Election night/day after when Trump is re-elected should prove to be interesting.

111 posted on 11/18/2019 10:09:55 AM PST by servantboy777
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To: Vaquero

>>I’m too old to fight.<<

No your not. I don’t care what age you are...you have a purpose. I know a couple of older folks that would be lethal as hell if called upon.


112 posted on 11/18/2019 10:13:43 AM PST by servantboy777
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To: servantboy777

We are in a CW that started last year.


113 posted on 11/18/2019 10:25:27 AM PST by abbastanza
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To: eastexsteve
"So, this is what all the hunters and fishermen are now doing in the off-season."

Yes, there are a whole lot of hunters who are exercising our Second Amendment constitutional right to hunt and train for hunting, and we are interested in our ability to hit a deer-sized target at 600 yards. That is after all what the Second Amendment is for, and we are taking that right increasingly seriously in these stressful times. Hunting is likely to be our form of stress relief if the coup gets much more stressful.

114 posted on 11/18/2019 12:00:17 PM PST by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: Alberta's Child

“I suspect what MIGHT happen in this country is a long, ongoing, “guerrilla” type political conflict where more and more people simply stop giving a sh!t about what their government tells them ... and more and more government officials refuse to enforce many laws because the risk to their own personal safety is too great.”


That is a civil war of sorts - a 4th generation conflict. No front lines, like in the past. That kind of civil war is the one that I least expect.

Oh, there will be a lot of government officials who change their minds on a permanent basis, as the surviving family and friends of someone victimized by them (or their like) exact some vengeance for their deaths.


115 posted on 11/18/2019 2:07:08 PM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt, The Weapons Shops of Isher)
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To: Pollster1
Yes, there are a whole lot of hunters who are exercising our Second Amendment constitutional right to hunt and train for hunting, and we are interested in our ability to hit a deer-sized target at 600 yards. That is after all what the Second Amendment is for, and we are taking that right increasingly seriously in these stressful times. Hunting is likely to be our form of stress relief if the coup gets much more stressful.

Hunting with firearms is definitely a benefit of the 2nd Amendment, but don't forget the 2nd Amendment wasn't to allow hunting, it was to allow for our personal defense against a tyrannical government.

116 posted on 11/18/2019 5:41:20 PM PST by eastexsteve
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To: Vermont Lt
People are not going to fight in a civil war.

That's a sweeping statement. Care to hedge it?

117 posted on 11/18/2019 8:58:35 PM PST by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: Hiddigeigei
One side would have armor, artillery, an air force, a built-in logistics system...

Really? Which side is that?

118 posted on 11/18/2019 9:06:29 PM PST by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: Crusher138
So how does this start?

Do they remove Trump from office and conservatives start shooting liberal politicians?

I'm unsure what part you play in that.

119 posted on 11/18/2019 9:11:07 PM PST by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: bert
And yet, the cause of the suffering, those in power, are not opposed in sufficient numbers to prevail against them.

The opposition is unarmed.

120 posted on 11/18/2019 9:14:21 PM PST by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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