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Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions
Competitive Enterprise Institute ^ | September 18, 2019 | Steven J. Milloy

Posted on 09/18/2019 9:34:37 AM PDT by grundle

Modern doomsayers have been predicting climate and environmental disaster since the 1960s. They continue to do so today.

None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.

What follows is a collection of notably wild predictions from notable people in government and science.

More than merely spotlighting the failed predictions, this collection shows that the makers of failed apocalyptic predictions often are individuals holding respected positions in government and science.

While such predictions have been and continue to be enthusiastically reported by a media eager for sensational headlines, the failures are typically not revisited.

1967: ‘Dire famine by 1975.’

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Source: Salt Lake Tribune, November 17, 1967

1969: ‘Everyone will disappear in a cloud of blue steam by 1989.’

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Source: New York Times, August 10 1969

1970: Ice age by 2000

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Source: Boston Globe, April 16, 1970

1970: ‘America subject to water rationing by 1974 and food rationing by 1980.’

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Source: Redlands Daily Facts, October 6, 1970

1971: ‘New Ice Age Coming’

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Source: Washington Post, July 9, 1971

1972: New ice age by 2070

6.png

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Source: NOAA, October 2015

1974: ‘New Ice Age Coming Fast’

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Source: The Guardian, January 29, 1974

1974: ‘Another Ice Age?’

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Source: TIME, June 24, 1974

1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life’

10.png

But no such ‘great peril to life’ has been observed as the so-called ‘ozone hole’ remains:

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Sources: Headline

NASA Data | Graph

1976: ‘The Cooling’

12.png

Source: New York Times Book Review, July 18, 1976

1980: ‘Acid Rain Kills Life in Lakes’

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Noblesville Ledger (Noblesville, IN) April 9, 1980

But 10 years later, the US government program formed to study acid rain concluded:

14.png

Associated Press, September 6, 1990

1978: ‘No End in Sight’ to 30-Year Cooling Trend

15.png

Source: New York Times, January 5, 1978

But according to NASA satellite data there is a slight warming trend since 1979.

16.jpg

Source: DrRoySpencer.com

1988: James Hansen forecasts increase regional drought in 1990s

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But the last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.

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Source: RealClimateScience.com

1988: Washington DC days over 90F to from 35 to 85

19.gif

But the number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.

20.png

Source: RealClimateScience.com

1988: Maldives completely under water in 30 years

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Source: Agence France Press, September 26, 1988

1989: Rising seas to ‘obliterate’ nations by 2000

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Source: Associated Press, June 30, 1989

1989: New York City’s West Side Highway underwater by 2019

23.gif

Source: Salon.com, October 23, 2001

1995 to Present: Climate Model Failure

24.jpg

Source: CEI.org

2000: ‘Children won’t know what snow is.’

25.png

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Source: The Independent, March 20, 2000

2002: Famine in 10 years

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Source: The Guardian, December 23, 2002

2004: Britain to have Siberian climate by 2020

29.png

Source: The Guardian, February 21, 2004

2008: Arctic will be ice-free by 2018

30.gif

Source: Associated Press, June 24, 2008

2008: Al Gore warns of ice-free Arctic by 2013

31.png

But… it’s still there:

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Source: WattsUpWithThat.com, December 16, 2018

2009: Prince Charles says only 8 years to save the planet

33.png

Source: The Independent, July 9, 2009

2009: UK prime minister says 50 days to ‘save the planet from catastrophe’

34.png

Source: The Independent: October 20, 2009

2009: Arctic ice-free by 2014

35.png

Source: USA Today, December 14, 2009

2013: Arctic ice-free by 2015

36.png

Source: The Guardian, July 24, 2013

The paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02550-9 (open access)

Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming

Abstract

Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.

2013: Arctic ice-free by 2016

37.png

Source: The Guardian, December 9, 2013

2014: Only 500 days before ‘climate chaos’

38.png

But…

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TOPICS: Miscellaneous; US: Vermont
KEYWORDS: berniesanders; climatechange; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; fake; fraud; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; hoax; mediabias; mediawingofthednc; partisanmediashills; paulweyrich; presstitutes; scam; smearmachine; vermont
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1 posted on 09/18/2019 9:34:37 AM PDT by grundle
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To: grundle

Amazing, we are still here, and I’m wearing a vest since it is 61 degrees at 9:45 PDT in N. California.


2 posted on 09/18/2019 9:46:32 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (The line that separates satire and Democrats and Stupidity has vanished. (thanks to jonascord)!)
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To: Grampa Dave

I was 7 when the 1975 famine report came out.

I was so sure I would die of one of a million things once, maybe even from a global freeze.

Now at 51, it seems I have a chance of dying of old age.

Ain’t that a kick in the head :)

And each generation will have its speakers of doom telling them what will destroy the earth and humans and cats and dogs and goldfish and...


3 posted on 09/18/2019 9:57:04 AM PDT by dp0622 (Bad, bad company Till the day I die.)
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To: grundle
We live a 600 meter walk from the beach, probably half that distance as the crow flies, and we've been waiting patiently for it to become beachfront property. If we're a millimeter closer I can't tell. I feel cheated.

20190702-171307

4 posted on 09/18/2019 9:58:09 AM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
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To: grundle

ping to mail to my congressmen later. pong to keep for the next generation to prove how stupid people can be. ping again for kids that abort children because they don’t want them to die because we vote Republican.


5 posted on 09/18/2019 10:00:54 AM PDT by chuckles
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To: grundle

The Earth is not fragile. An omnipotent God is in charge.


6 posted on 09/18/2019 10:03:51 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: grundle

Bump for future reference.


7 posted on 09/18/2019 10:19:33 AM PDT by Maceman (Trump Trumps Hate!!!)
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To: grundle

Bump for future reference.


8 posted on 09/18/2019 10:19:46 AM PDT by Maceman (Trump Trumps Hate!!!)
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To: grundle
The GretaTm will be leading the Hoax on Friday in DC.
How many dims will grab the mike to herald Chicken Little?
9 posted on 09/18/2019 10:23:56 AM PDT by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything, it's that history rarely teaches anything.)
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To: grundle
(when did BHO stop believing in CC?)

What is the Truman quote about becoming wealthy in Washington, D.C.........

10 posted on 09/18/2019 10:40:57 AM PDT by yoe (.)
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To: grundle
None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.

NOT ONE... Not one itty bitty little one...not one... zip, nada, zero... NONE of them have ever come true...

11 posted on 09/18/2019 10:43:08 AM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okrent HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: grundle

Sad thing is that the result of all those nonsensical predictions, is the fact most people now ignore reasoned warnings.

And then when something happens, these folks that missed on tens of thousands of fake predictions, then claim they predicted it before hand.

Yep, they predicted hundreds of bad things, and came close once.

That’s what I consider possibly actionable prediction malpractice.


12 posted on 09/18/2019 11:20:53 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: grundle

The left never changes, look at the picture of Dr. Paul Ehrlich, a lot like that water color portrait of Obama or perhaps it should be reversed.


13 posted on 09/18/2019 11:23:28 AM PDT by DarkWaters ("Deception is a state of mind --- and the mind of the state" --- James Jesus Angleton)
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To: dp0622

We have relatives who were farmers and ranchers when that bs came out about everyone starving.

They and their off spring said that it was bs then,and they say the same thing, when it is polished up as the latest end of the world.


14 posted on 09/18/2019 11:34:42 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (The line that separates satire and Democrats and Stupidity has vanished. (thanks to jonascord)!)
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To: yoe

Dear Mr. & Mrs. Obama:

I have a small favor to ask.

Could you exchange your “Black Magic” for my “White Privilege”?

Yours Truly,

Brian Griffin


15 posted on 09/18/2019 11:56:21 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: grundle

For thousands of years, people have been claiming and asserting ‘the end is nigh’......anyone expecting a change or for such to stop are hilarious historically ignorant and utterly hilarious......


16 posted on 09/18/2019 12:08:20 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Grampa Dave

67 and partly cloudy , cool and a bit breezy here on The Jersey Shore.


17 posted on 09/18/2019 12:48:25 PM PDT by jmacusa ("If wisdom is not the Lord, what is wisdom?)
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To: grundle

Awesome post. Is there any way I can archive this????


18 posted on 09/18/2019 1:28:29 PM PDT by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
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To: grundle

If we’re ever right, you won’t be around to kick us around anymore, but neither will we. Believe us, ths sky is galling!


19 posted on 09/18/2019 2:05:50 PM PDT by Theophilus (Ich bin ein Hong Konger)
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To: jmacusa

Gorebull warming here at 77 with 48% humidity. Wind at 16 mph from the WSW.


20 posted on 09/18/2019 3:00:13 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (The line that separates satire and Democrats and Stupidity has vanished. (thanks to jonascord)!)
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