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GOP wins crushing victory in 2 Special Elections (PA & SC).
PA votes ^ | 08/20/2019 | PA SOS

Posted on 08/20/2019 7:58:22 PM PDT by TexasGurl24

Remember in 2017-2018 when the media hyped every special election as a disaster for the GOP. Remember when certain Freepers would post "THE SKY IS FALLING" on every special election?

Well...

Two GOP won two state legislative special elections tonight by crushing margins:

Republican David Rowe Defeated Democrat Jennifer Rager-Kay in the 85th Legislative District in Pennsylvania by a 62.62%-37.38% Margin. This is a R+18 seat, and Rowe won by 25 points.

Republican Patrick Haddon defeated Democrat Carrie Counton 60.99% - 39.01% in South Carolina Legislative District 19. This is a R+13 seat, and Haddon won by 21 points.

While these are both GOP holds, in both of these elections, the GOP massively overperformed the partisan voting index for these seats.

The media will not even mention these wins.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Connecticut; US: Kentucky; US: Minnesota; US: Pennsylvania; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: connecticut; davidrowe; elections; kentucky; minnesota; patrickhaddon; pennsylvania; southcarolina; winning
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To: SeekAndFind

If the R won by 1%, in a district where they win by 15% on average, you wouldn’t be concerned? I sure would be. If you agree, then why doesn’t winning by 25% in that same district mean something? Likewise, if R’s have lost any special elections by a lot less than R’s normally do in some districts, that also means something.

Why R’s are doing well in these races is still open to interpretation. Maybe what we thought might happen last year is now occurring, i.e. many Democrat leaning voters perceive the party’s been captured by lunatics. We can hope anyway.


21 posted on 08/20/2019 9:30:15 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: Conserv

It’s about getting the vote out. Something the Dems are really, really good about.


22 posted on 08/20/2019 10:25:51 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: SeekAndFind

These are not battleground districts. More registered Republicans than Democrats.

Nothing to be impressed about.

*****

What a wet blanket!

So glad Trump doesn’t have piss poor attitudes like many that frequent FR!


23 posted on 08/20/2019 10:45:39 PM PDT by Artcore (Trump 2020!)
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To: TexasGurl24

I’d caution giving too much weight to a small number of local races with low numbers of voters. Completely local issues and individual candidate qualities dwarf the effects of national sentiment in these cases.


24 posted on 08/20/2019 10:58:26 PM PDT by thoughtomator (... this has made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move.)
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To: SeekAndFind

They were beyond the level of GOP support for that district, even though it is Red. Shows high enthusiasm among the base.


25 posted on 08/20/2019 11:20:42 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: lasereye

Good point, underperforming would be a sign of concern. The base is motivated and ready to vote!


26 posted on 08/20/2019 11:22:29 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: thoughtomator

No one is overestimating the wins, we just see that the voting base is motivated to vote for the GOP. These are local elections, show the voting should smaller not larger in terms of % then the norm.


27 posted on 08/20/2019 11:23:49 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: SeekAndFind

“These are not battleground districts. More registered Republicans than Democrats. Nothing to be impressed about.”

Early in Trump’s term, there were a number of Republican Congressmen that joined his administration, and therefore left open their seats. Trump tried to only pick people from ‘safe’ seats, and Republicans held most of them, despite huge Democrat efforts to flip them. But some of them were VERY CLOSE. We didn’t hold our margins. I think we also lost one or two, and not to mention the Alabama Senate seat, although I attribute that to running Roy Moore.

BUT, in those 2 elections last night, we EXPANDED our margins...and that is something to celebrate - at least for people who don’t want to turn over the country to Democrats.


28 posted on 08/21/2019 2:32:08 AM PDT by BobL (I eat at McDonald's and shop at Walmart - I just don't tell anyone.)
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To: TexasGurl24
In 2019, as of August, six seats flipped as a result of state legislative special elections. Seats flipped from D to R: Minnesota State Senate District 11 (February 5) Connecticut State Senate District 6 (February 26) Connecticut House of Representatives District 99 (February 26) Kentucky State Senate District 31 (March 5)

Seats flipped from R to D Pennsylvania State Senate District 37 (April 2)

Seats flipped from R to I Louisiana House of Representatives District 62 (March 30)

Don't forget the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat back in the spring where was all the polls showed the democrat winning by double digits against a pro traditional marriage conservative Christian Republican. Until the votes were actually counted and the Republican won.

29 posted on 08/21/2019 3:12:36 AM PDT by apillar
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To: TexasGurl24

30 posted on 08/21/2019 3:13:02 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: catnipman

it tells me that voters are sick to death of the dying lying leftist fake stream enemedia hysterical lies and propaganda and are NOT buying one iota of it ...
...............................................
Agree 100%! What’s discouraging, however, is that there are so many people in this country who simply cannot imagine that the news and entertainment media, the education systems, the unions, and many of the churches and synagogues are indoctrinating them 24/7 with Democrat, Socialist, Communist, globalist anti-American propaganda.


31 posted on 08/21/2019 3:15:43 AM PDT by fortes fortuna juvat (Bombings and beheadings will soon be as common as murdering babies.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What does this election have to do with Trump?

It has to do with turnout, because even in a safe Republican district, turnout is key to an overall win in a state for Trump.


32 posted on 08/21/2019 4:20:24 AM PDT by Flick Lives (MSM, the Enemy of the People since 1898)
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To: FreedomPoster

bump


33 posted on 08/21/2019 4:35:07 AM PDT by tom paine 2
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To: SeekAndFind

34 posted on 08/21/2019 5:33:09 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (AOC: The brain of a tea bisquit)
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To: TexasGurl24

Tax-It-All Tommie Wolf is back on the warpath, doing brazenly Leftist things. He had gone into stealth mode for a time after losing some bloody initial battles with the GOP legislature.

The more he acts-up and reminds Pennsylvanians how Liberal he is, the more GOP prospects improve.


35 posted on 08/21/2019 5:53:04 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: COBOL2Java

A concern is a concern is a concern.
And it’s called being -— REALISTIC!


36 posted on 08/21/2019 6:24:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: Flick Lives

Let me add one additional factor many gave not considered-— THE FRAUD FACTOR.

In NY, we have a law that allows illegals to obtain driver’s licenses.

To register to vote, all you need is a LEGAL identification. Guess where this takes us...


37 posted on 08/21/2019 6:26:43 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: TexasGurl24

Thanks. Just posted your data on Twit, reframed, along with the article.


38 posted on 08/21/2019 6:37:26 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: rfp1234

Is that a flip or an open?


39 posted on 08/21/2019 6:37:50 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind

Au contraire. CT was a blue district. And the margin of all these victories was higher than in 2016. Plus the LA local seat went R for the first time in decades.

This is in fact the same trend we ignored in 2018, except reversed.


40 posted on 08/21/2019 6:39:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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