Skip to comments.Republicans Have A Great Opportunity In Louisiana
Posted on 08/18/2019 3:56:17 AM PDT by Kaslin
In 2016, President Donald Trump carried Louisiana with 58 percent of the vote. Every Louisiana statewide elected official, except one, is a Republican. The Louisiana Legislature has a strong Republican majority and the state’s six-member congressional delegation has only one Democrat.
Clearly, Louisiana is a conservative, Republican state but it is led by Governor John Bel Edwards, who is a Democrat. Edwards was elected in 2015 because of his opponent’s personal and political baggage, which is why his victory has been called a fluke by many political observers.
As Governor Edwards runs for re-election this fall, he has amassed over $10 million in his campaign war chest. However, he will have to answer for increasing the size of state government, supporting tax increases and an anemic record of job creation. In fact, last year, Louisiana was the only state in the nation to lose jobs and, not surprisingly, was one of only eight states in the nation to suffer a loss of population, which is mostly due to the anti-business policies of the governor.
According to a wide variety of measures, Louisiana, under the leadership of Governor Edwards, is doing very poorly. For example, the latest report by SeniorLiving.org places Louisiana 47th among states on possibly the most important ranking. The standard life expectancy in Louisiana is 75.6 years, three years below the national average. The researchers pointed to cancer and heart disease as the cause for 90 percent of the deaths in the state.
The personal finance website Wallethub regularly provides state rankings on a range of issues. In recent months, Louisiana ranked as the worst state in the nation for women based on economic, health, safety, and social well-being factors. It is most likely the worst state in the nation for men as well.
On the issue of economic performance, Wallethub listed Louisiana as 50th among the states. It also ranked the state as the most environmentally unfriendly state in the nation. In their most depressing survey, Wallethub discovered that Louisiana is the most stressed state in the nation. Obviously, the people of Louisiana are worried about the bad economy, the high crime rate, the poor environment, the inadequate health care and the crumbling infrastructure.
On other important metrics, the results under Governor Edwards have been horrific. Currently, the state of Louisiana is saddled with the highest sales tax rate in the nation, the second highest incarceration rate, and ranks as the most violent state in the country.
Despite all these problems, some analysts believe Edwards will win a second term because he is conservative on some social issues. In his campaign commercials, the governor often touts his pro-Second Amendment and pro-life record. Politically, one of the reasons that the governor openly expresses his pro-life views is that he knows the position is popular with constituents.
A recent poll by the Public Religion Research Institute discovered that Louisiana is the most pro-life state in the nation with 60 percent of the respondents maintaining that abortion should be illegal. The survey showed a mere 34 percent of the participants support abortion rights in “most or all cases.” The nationwide results are much different with only 40 percent supporting a pro-life position and 54 percent supporting the pro-choice viewpoint.
On this issue, the people of Louisiana are at odds with the rest of the nation, while Governor Edwards is at odds with the Democratic Party, especially those leaders located outside of Louisiana.
In his re-election campaign, Edwards will need to have the strong financial backing of national Democrats who are pro-choice. He will also have to convince more liberal pro-choice Democrats in Louisiana to support him despite his pro-life views, while, simultaneously, persuading more moderate Democrats, Independents and Republicans that he is truly pro-life and to support him as well.
It is a balancing act that will require tremendous campaign skills, but we have seen impressive political dexterity from Edwards in the past few years. Nevertheless, one surefire way for his opponents to score political points against Edwards is to tie him to the unpopular views of the national Democratic Party. Surely, Edwards will have to support the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party. This nominee, whether it is former Vice President Joe Biden or any of the other candidates, will be staunchly pro-choice.
His opponents can ask how Edwards can be truly pro-life? He will support a Democratic Party presidential nominee, who, if elected, will advocate abortion rights and will nominate pro-choice U.S. Supreme Court judges to make sure it will always be a legal right in this country.
This may be one of the many issues that Edwards will have to address in the weeks ahead as he attempts to win a second term. He certainly has the power of incumbency, the support of the liberal statewide media, and an impressive war chest. Nonetheless, one of his major liabilities is that he is a member of a political party that is unpopular in Louisiana. If his opponents can closely tie him to that liberal party platform, and the progressive candidates that lead the Democratic Party, he will be in danger of losing the election.
last year, Louisiana was the only state in the nation to lose jobs...
That should be a good point to drive home for the R running against him.
This guy sounds like a fustercluck of the highest degree.
He is, but every member of the teacher’s union and every deadhead state employee is 100% on his side. And that’s a bunch of voters.
I can’t imagine voting in lockstep with others on the orders of a cynical, overpaid lesbian leftist in NYC or DC who lives high on the hog courtesy of union dues but the teachers do it every election.
And these are so-called educators.
I was disappointed the author didn’t identify who Edwards’ opponent might be.
That union has GOT to be busted up. These people, who often are otherwise decent, vote exclusively their self-interest. It matters not what the other issues are.
Indeed! Just google "Randi Weingarten salary" and you will find she makes well over $400,000 plus benefits and perks.
And that’s where democracy runs into trouble.
When hordes of people start voting to get THINGS.
More money, free money, food etc.
Union stooges seem to think that losing a game means they should change the referee (president) rather than their own head coach (Weingarten).
Without realizing it they only confirm that they want a rigged game.
With respect, I don’t even think self-interest enters the picture.
I had dozens of teacher friends/family foaming at the mouth about Betsy DeVos overnight...most of them had no idea who she was.
Similarly, I asked coal miners in 2008 if they were voting for radical greenie Obama and his anti-coal madness. They meekly nodded yes because the UMWA said so. Then the layoffs began.
Teachers moan about curriculum and claim to be opposed to LGBT propaganda but all they do is guarantee more of the same with their mindless voting patterns.
However, they do serve as a model for the pols who want the illegal vote. Herd them all into the same pen.
I get to be around teacher types for a couple of hours every month. I go to the local school board meetings and write about it in my newsblog.
They are EXPERTS at manipulating public opinion in their favor because “it’s for the children.”
The emotional blackmail is what makes the government school cartel so tough to crack...along with otherwise sane suburbanite teachers who lose their minds. The sad violin music never changes when school levies are proposed...
The two frontrunner Rep’s are Eddie Rispone and Ralph Abraham, both very capable.
“He is, but every member of the teachers union and every deadhead state employee is 100% on his side. And thats a bunch of voters.”
1. Teacher’s union has very little or no power in the state of Louisiana.
2. There are not enough democrat voting teachers to swing any election in Louisiana. He gave the teachers a $1,000 pay raise lately, their first in about eight years. They should be sufficiently insulted to vote against him. The “dead head” state employees will still have a job no matter who wins.
3. Edwards won because not many people voted in such a nasty election. Trump got more votes than Vitter and Edwards got combined.
4. The media are firmly in the tank for Edwards and censor any bad news about him, such as this article.
“The two frontrunner Reps are Eddie Rispone and Ralph Abraham, both very capable.”
Thank you. It sounds like it will be a race worth following.
The teacher’s union has plenty of power. Legislators are scared spitless of them. They put Bel Edwards in office.
I was disappointed the author didnt identify who Edwards opponent might be.
I was, too. It was a perfect opportunity to float a name of someone.
Public Unions should be outlawed. I expect some flack for this. These unions are a direct conflict of interest to the taxpayers. Louisiana is solid Repub, yet the Unions swing to the Dems.
Governors dont follow the same political direction. I was shocked to see a democrat governor in Louisiana as I was to see a republican in Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut and Vermont. Doesnt make any sense.
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