Posted on 08/14/2019 10:51:15 AM PDT by robowombat
Russian Nuclear Accident Highlights New Cruise Missile Moscow silent on radiation spike in northern Europe
Bill Gertz - AUGUST 14, 2019 5:00 AM
An explosion in northern Russia last week highlights Moscow's continued work on a new strategic cruise missile powered by a nuclear reactor.
The blast took place off the coast of Nenoksa, a naval missile test site, on Aug. 8 and killed five people while briefly spreading radiation in the region.
The site of the accident is near the port of Severodvinsk where Russian nuclear submarines are serviced.
President Trump said Monday the United States is "learning much from the failed missile explosion in Russia."
"We have similar, though more advanced, technology," he tweeted. "The Russian ‘Skyfall' explosion has people worried about the air around the facility, and far beyond. Not good!"
The nuclear-powered cruise missile has been designated the SCC-X-9 Skyfall.
Nuclear-powered cruise missile Nuclear-powered cruise missile
The Pentagon has not said anything publicly about the incident. The Defense Intelligence Agency declined to comment.
A defense official said civilian experts who follow Russian military developments offered useful insights into the incident.
"Those insights, along with delayed and contradictory official statements by Russian officials and concerns expressed by citizens in social media there, appear to tell us something significant occurred," the official said.
The Russian government initially lied about the incident, saying no radiation was released from the blast.
After increased radiation levels were detected outside Russia, Moscow changed its story and admitted that the explosion was caused by a failed test of the new nuclear-powered missile.
News reports also stated that emergency workers treating people injured from the blast were wearing radiation protective suits.
The secrecy in handling the event echoed the initial reaction to the nuclear explosion at Chernobyl in 1987 that was dramatized in a recent HBO series.
Authorities in the city of Severodvinsk, located near the test site, initially reported radiation levels had increased by between 16 times and 20 times normal levels on the day of the explosion.
The explosion included the ignition of liquid rocket fuel on the launch platform in Dvinsky Bay, a waterway that leads to the White Sea.
Mark Schneider, a former Pentagon nuclear weapons policymaker, said the admission that the blast involved a nuclear-powered engine means the likely candidate for such a weapon is the Russian Burevestnik, or Storm Petrel cruise missile.
The SCC-X-9 was first unveiled in a speech by Russian president Vladimir Putin in March 2018. Russian reports identify the missile as 9M730.
The weapon is one of two new "super weapons" capable of delivering nuclear strikes. The second is an underwater drone submarine code-named Kanyon by the Pentagon that will carry a megaton-class warhead.
Putin said the new missile will have unlimited range because of its nuclear-fueled engine.
"A low-flying, difficult-to-spot cruise missile with a nuclear payload with a practically unlimited range and an unpredictable flight path which can bypass lines of interception is invincible in the face of all existing and future systems of both missile defense and air defense," Putin said.
He noted that the cruise missile is powered by a "compact, highly powerful nuclear-powered missile engine."
"The missile launch and a complex of tests on the ground make it possible to transition to a completely new type of weapon: a strategic nuclear armaments complex with a missile powered by a nuclear plant," Putin said to applause.
Russian press reports have suggested the missile is powered by compact heaters linked to onboard reactor. Air entering the engine is heated to several thousand degrees and converted to propellant that is discharged, producing thrust.
The missile has been tested several times since 2017.
The Washington Free Beacon reported in April 2018 that the new missile was tested twice and that both tests were failures.
The newsletter "The Diplomat" reported in February that the Skyfall was tested Jan. 29 with partial success and was the 13th test of the weapon.
Mark Schneider, a former Pentagon nuclear weapons official, said the Russian admission of a failed nuclear-powered missile test indicates it was probably the Skyfall.
"Of all Putin's nuclear superweapons, this is the craziest one," Schneider said. "Even a successful launch of this missile results in nuclear reactor destruction and radiation release."
Schneider said the test firing of Skyfall from a sea-based platform may have been an attempt by Russian weapons testers to reduce radiation damage from failed tests.
"What scares me most about this missile is not the threat it poses to us but the mentality behind it," Schneider said. "It is dangerous and its threat is made much worse by anti-nuclear deterrence views of inside the beltway Washington establishment."
Russia boasted on Tuesday of winning a new strategic arms race to build new nuclear arms despite the explosion last week.
Rosatom, the state nuclear agency of Russia announced the blast took place on a sea platform in the White Sea.
The agency said arms development would continue despite the deaths and injuries caused by the failed test.
Asked about Trump's comments, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "Our president has repeatedly said that Russian engineering in this sector significantly outstrips the level that other countries have managed to reach for the moment, and it is fairly unique."
The new Russian strategic weapons, as well as other new strategic systems, have prompted the Trump administration to say it is unlikely to negotiate an extension of the 2010 New START arms treaty because Moscow has refused to include the new arms in a revised treaty.
Russian news agencies reported that residents of Nenoksa were advised by authorities to leave the area during clean-up work, Reuters reported from Moscow.
The evacuation order was later rescinded.
U.S. intelligence officials who have studied the new missile say it is powered by some type of high temperature thruster powered by a small nuclear reactor.
The United States in the late 1950s worked on a nuclear reactor-powered scramjet engine for missiles but abandoned the project in the 1960s.
Experts who have analyzed the new missile have questioned whether it will be capable of penetrating advanced missile defenses.
Also, the heat generated by the missile's reactor would render the weapon vulnerable to countermeasures.
The Russian missile is said to be under development by the Russia's OKB Novator that builds long-range cruise missiles.
The company is building a missile designated 9M730 that is believed to be the Skyfall.
The Washington Post reported Tuesday that the new missile is being developed by the Russian Federal Nuclear Center, according to the center's director, Vyacheslav Soloviev.
"We're analyzing the whole chain of events to assess both the scale of the accident and to understand its causes," Soloviev said.
And if it is an open cycle design leaving behind a trail of radiation.
New Cruise Missile that the US stopped developing in the 1960’s because it was CRAP ?
The moon landing 50 years ago must’ve been crap, since it was dropped as well.
Dropped because the exhaust was radioactive air. Also, ICBMs and SLBMs were considered to be more effective.
And ICBM’s made it impractical.
Seems like an AWACS could detect it pretty easily.
The pendulum has swung on that. We have decimated our air defense system (ADC, Nikes, etc) in favor of strategic missile defense oriented towards intercepting ballistic missiles.
That has left the low level missile attack envelope virtually undefended. The only real defense we have for that now is ANG groups with a few airplanes on alert at selected bases. Each airplane has about 4 AA missiles (AIM-9x/Aim-120) to contend with a barrage of cruise missiles.
At best we likely can put up about 30 airplanes on two coasts and the gulf. Even then, there are some areas that lack defensive radar coverage instead relying on ATC radars. Not so good if cruise missiles don't squawk an ident code.
I think Putin’s new “superweapons” amount to two things;
-A way to circumnavigate New Start in addition to cheating. Neither appear to have consequences to deter Russia in this case of nuclear weapons.
-mostly hype to appeal to his political base involving concepts invented and rejected during the Cold War, with the possible exception of hypersonic weapons.
Long range dirty bomb. Ought to reply with Cobalt laced ICBMs... Of course you have to be soulless to field dirty bombs.
Communists are such a-holes.
Not so much today with ABM and INF proliferation. ICBMs are becoming somehow slow.
I think this stuff is pulled back from closet as a sort of asymmetrical response to ABM and INF proliferation.
A part of ICBM based MAD doctrine is that ICBMs has relatively long flight time to target which allows precedures to verify the info on incoming strike and to consider and authorize counter-strike.
With ABMs you would not be able to mount an effective second strike and INFs largely reduce the time for response.
There are two solutions to the problem for nations relying on ICBMs for defence.
First to shorten response procedures by automating second strike or to shift responsibility to immediate officers on duty in charge of early warning system.
That’s one difficult decision considering false alarms took place.
Another variant is to have weapon to launch immediately under susicion of enemy attack which has an ability to stay on station for quite some time to hit its target if the attack was real or terminated if not.
That's simply NOT true. Nuclear powered cruise missiles still require a propellant to exhaust from the engine to generate thrust. The high heat of a nuclear reaction can generate more thrust than with conventional propellants, but the supply is certainly not "unlimited". This high heat also creates the types of failures that the Russians are having.
This is contrasted with a nuclear powered ship or boat, where the "propellant", steam, can be condensed and recycled. The nuclear fuel, and thus the propulsion in such a ship, lasts for years. The whole concept of a nuclear cruise missile is simply a scare tactic to give Putin credibility to the uninformed.
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