Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Election model that predicted 2018 blue wave has Trump losing, liberal voters ‘terrified’
Washington Examiner ^ | 07/01/19 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 07/01/2019 8:29:04 PM PDT by lasereye

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 141-150 next last
To: lasereye

“...election model that predicted the blue wave in the House in 2018 almost to the seat is predicting a big loss by President Trump next year...”

election model that predicted Hillary Clinton would win easily in 2016 is predicting a big loss by President Trump next year


81 posted on 07/01/2019 10:03:56 PM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

Who is that one professor that predicted Trump victory in 2016 and got the EV with a few points??


82 posted on 07/01/2019 10:08:42 PM PDT by snarkytart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

If not for fraud, the Dems would not have gained so many seats. Election fraud needs to be stopped. If DJT is not elected in 2020, it will be due to even more fraud.


83 posted on 07/01/2019 10:09:03 PM PDT by greeneyes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

“predicting a big loss by President Trump”

Is that why he draws HUGE crowds and at the teeny tiny Biden and Beto rallies people are looking at their cell phones....

Now those who are promising to pay off college loans... I had $7K in college loans and today that would be equal to $50K. I do hope they will pay me back for my college loans, at today’s value! LOL

Adjusted for inflation, $7,000.00 in 1969 is equal to $49,538.90 in 2019...

We made about $1K a month, lived in an apartment for $125 a month, drove a 1967 VW Beetle, rented furniture... Saved up and two years later we bought a house and a new car while still repaying my loans.

Today’s youngsters are shocked that they must repay their loans, and they can’t buy a house or a car... Well we did it all at the same time. Buckled our belts, lived on a budget, and paid our bills and my loans. I don’t think today’s snowflakes are interested in doing that!

They want it ALL and they want it NOW!

One of the demoncrat candidates promises to get rid of daylight saving time. I want DST ALL year not just in summer. I LOVE it. My body stays on it all year. I wouldn’t vote for him.

They are all pro abort, I won’t vote for them.

They want to give free medical care for life to illegals... Until recently 5 of our kids didn’t have health insurance. They couldn’t afford $2K a month premiums, through their employer. And they always had had insurance before ObamaCare... I won’t vote for any of the demoncrap candidates.

And a lot of the crazies out there, the loud ones, putting Trump down, they don’t even vote.


84 posted on 07/01/2019 10:09:30 PM PDT by buffyt ( It's not a choice, it is a child. FETUS means CHILD or OFFSPRING!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: steve86; lasereye
Rachel Bitecofer, November 6, 2018:

If Democrats have a big night, look for the partisan breakdown in the exit polling. It will reveal a significant surge in the Democratic share of the electorate.

If the Democrats underperform expectations it will almost certainly be because the partisan surge didn’t manifest. Under that scenario, Democrats may still have enough juice to flip the 23 seats they need for a majority, but the large wave will not happen.

If the Democrats struggle to win their House majority, this will also mean a much tougher night in the Senate elections.

Right now, the consensus is that Republicans may gain 1 or 2 Senate seats and if Democrats surge enough to pick up 40 or more seats, they may actually take control of the Senate too. Stay tuned!

She was wrong about the Senate, because the House "surge" was a combination of cheating and RINO NeverTrump retirements.

The Republicans gained two solid seats, and had Arizona and Montana stolen out from under them.

Her model doesn't account for Democrat vote fraud shenanigans.

85 posted on 07/01/2019 10:11:20 PM PDT by kiryandil (Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 75 | View Replies]

To: snarkytart

https://forward.com/fast-forward/425167/president-trump-2020-election-prediction/

I pray he’s right.


86 posted on 07/01/2019 10:19:24 PM PDT by Salamander (Death makes angels of us all, and give us wings where we once had shoulders, smooth as ravens' claws)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: snarkytart

https://theunitedstatesblues.com/prediction-professor-allan-lichtman-dems-can-only-win-in-2020-if-they-impeach-trump/


87 posted on 07/01/2019 10:22:13 PM PDT by Salamander (Death makes angels of us all, and give us wings where we once had shoulders, smooth as ravens' claws)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: Williams

I think they’re laying the groundwork for massive election fraud.


88 posted on 07/01/2019 10:34:08 PM PDT by Califreak (If Obama had been treated like Trump the US would have been burnt down before Inauguration Day)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

What a vast bowl of piss.


89 posted on 07/01/2019 10:37:03 PM PDT by Gargantua (Never leave home without it... ;^)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Williams
Unfortunately I think the rationale is plausible.

It's plausible but WHY are they terrified of Trump? Are they terrified of a good economy? No new wars? More jobs? Low inflation? If they are terrified, it's because THEY HAVE TOLD FED THEMSELVES LIES.

There's no REASON, as of today, that Trump should not be reelected POTUS.

90 posted on 07/01/2019 10:55:59 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Vote Giant Meteor in 2020)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: lasereye
Holding Wisconsin may not be possible.

Mitt Romney got more votes in Wisconsin than Trump got, but Romney lost the state by 7% to Obama.

If the Democrats turn out in 2020 like they recently turned out in 2018, Trump and the GOP are in deep trouble.

91 posted on 07/01/2019 11:05:21 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tennmountainman

stop spreading misinformation. 31 Republican incumbents were defeated in 2018. Even if no Republicans retired, we would have lost the House.


92 posted on 07/01/2019 11:13:15 PM PDT by nbenyo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

This is not a threat just an observation but if the left wins and a large amount of Americans doubt the election results, people will begin using extra-democratic methods of redress.


93 posted on 07/01/2019 11:26:31 PM PDT by McCarthysGhost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: McCarthysGhost; lasereye
This is not a threat just an observation but if the left wins and a large amount of Americans doubt the election results, people will begin using extra-democratic methods of redress.

The radical Left has been contesting the election results of 2016 and using extra-democratic methods of redress, see Antifa.

94 posted on 07/01/2019 11:37:48 PM PDT by thecodont
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies]

I remember this HACK's name!!!! She has been saying TRUMP will lose the 2020 Election forever!!!

Don't believe this TRUMP hater! Just go check out her Twitter feed!!!



95 posted on 07/01/2019 11:46:45 PM PDT by KavMan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 94 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

If democrats win in 2020, it will be from massive, outright election fraud like we’ve never seen before.


96 posted on 07/01/2019 11:47:23 PM PDT by fwdude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kickass Conservative

I agree.


97 posted on 07/01/2019 11:49:38 PM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isnÂ’t common anymore.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
I'll hang my ass out a little here, and tell you, President Trump will carry Michigan in 2020, regardless of what happens to the undercard. The radicalization of the Demagogic Party has had a striking effect on most of the lifelong Demwits I know (which is most people I know, even here in western Michigan). Watch the (fake) news coverage for Michigan turnout and such be broadcast from a live street feed in Dearborn (that's a side prediction, not really important).

98 posted on 07/02/2019 12:10:55 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: McCarthysGhost
Re: if the left wins and a large amount of Americans doubt the election results, people will begin using extra-democratic methods of redress.

The Democrats don't need to cheat.

They have enough LEGAL voters to win any national election they want to.

In 2020, one third of ELIGIBLE voters will be non-white.

They consistently vote 75%-80% Democrat.

If the Democrats get 40% of the white vote, the election will be a toss up.

If the Democrats get more than 40% of the white vote, Trump will lose.

99 posted on 07/02/2019 12:22:01 AM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies]

To: lasereye

I guess the 40+ house republican retirements in 2018 had nothing to do with the democrats win?


100 posted on 07/02/2019 1:14:41 AM PDT by jospehm20
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 141-150 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson