I think we will head into the 2020 election with this:
1) North Korea basically solved
2) Immigration crisis managed, solid way forward to cut this off.
3) Deep State indictments actually out in the open, with juicy tidbits from on-going trials available for public consumption.
4) Economy solid as China trade war is resolved.
Post #4- Seems to be a good simple forecast. Hope it works that way.
Thanks
The GOP seems either unwilling or unable to do anything about it.
I think we will head into the 2020 election with this:
1) North Korea basically solved
2) Immigration crisis managed, solid way forward to cut this off.
3) Deep State indictments actually out in the open, with juicy tidbits from on-going trials available for public consumption.
4) Economy solid as China trade war is resolved.
Great summary. Will expose the Dems as the party of “ join us and get freebies” at the expense of the rest of you who will pay for it....
Those issues affect everyone. Rich or poor. The dems only know identity politics and appeasements as it comes to enemies.
I have never read Trumps book, but if I could relate his strategies to earlier career training, I would say what he is best at is what is called “shaping the battlefield” in military planning. He has spent the last two years on multiple fronts (immigration, courts, foreign policy) not necessarily fighting battles directly, but shaping/creating/managing the environments and assets to make it clear to adversaries that they have the choice of cooperating to find mutually beneficial solutions, or going into a battle (literally or politically) they will clearly lose catastrophically.
I don’t think Korea will be solved by this election cycle, but the shaping of the battlefield is clear to see. I don’t think immigration will be solved until we get both houses of congress back, but that is what this election cycle need s the ‘shape’. The deep state indictments I think will come in their own time. The economy and China are part of the same shaping of the Korea issue. Likewise Iran.
I’m concerned about both parts of number 4. I don’t trust China and the 2nd quarter GDP estimate at the end of July may show the economy slowing down and Pres. Trump doesn’t have the Fed. Reserve’s support (imo) like Obie did. I almost think they will not lower the interest rates or do anything to help the economy because they hope to get a dem in the White House in the 2020 elections. It seems like it’s President Trump against the world.
Good list.
The bottom line for me about PDJT: Real, Effective, American Leadership.
Can you at least commit now to what that will look like? DPRK gives up nuclear weapons? Allows international inspections to monitor whether their program has been for now shut down? Having a few more summits where the two leaders say nice things about one another? What exactly does this mean?
2) Immigration crisis managed, solid way forward to cut this off.
Again, how are we recognize this? Illegal immigration from the south way down? If all we will have is a “solid way forward to cut this off,“ how will we know it’s “a solid way forward?”
3) Deep State indictments actually out in the open, with juicy tidbits from on-going trials available for public consumption.
This at least is easy to test. Which indictments, assuming they happen, would qualify as being of members of the Deep State? Does anyone have specific people in mind, so that the absence of their indictments would qualify as falsifying this prediction?
4) Economy solid as China trade war is resolved
Well there might be some disagreement about the definition of “economy solid“ (manufacturing jobs way up versus merely higher Dow Jones and good GDP numbers), I think there is general agreement about this part. But the second part maybe not so much. Again, are you willing to commit in advance to what “resolved“ looks like? The Chinese government committing to buy a bunch of grain, getting the trade surplus down for a year or so, without changing their basic economic model? Violations of the intellectual-property rights of American companies verifiably going way down? For we can decide whether we have succeeded, it’s important to commit to what success looks like.