Posted on 05/21/2019 6:23:04 PM PDT by T Ruth
From Penna's Department of State web site, early results:
Keller (R) 7577
Friedenberg (D) 3297
Bret Baier is a member of the media and I have no doubt people over at CNN & MSNBC proclaimed this a referendum on Trump as well. This is a typical scenario for them: blow it up as a referendum and then when the results are the opposite of what is predicted, bury the story.
If it was a done deal, I don’t understand why he had to have his rally in Keller’s district. He could have had a rally in one of the more dicey of the 18-19 districts. But he didn’t.
Apparently the Dems could not come up with another Conor Lamb who is capable of playing a Conservative on TV.
LOL - yep, it's a mystery alright...
Just looked at The New York Times from last week. Yep, they were calling it a referendum on Trump, lol.
Double the previous margin ? Keller won 2% more of the vote than Marino did in November ‘18. I don’t know what you’re referring to with “double.”
As for California, you know my opinion on that. The Dems have stolen countless federal races and have never allowed a Republican to defeat an incumbent since 1994. Ever since then, we’ve made the presumption that when the Dems take a seat, we’ll get it back at the next term. That has yet to happen 25 years hence. I think once stolen, they stay stolen. This will not change until the Feds go into California and investigate from top to bottom and start indicting officials en masse. Start with Xavier Becerra.
As for IA and Loebsack, it looks like IL ex-Congressman Bobby Schilling, who represented the seat just across the Mississippi, is looking to run for the open seat here. If he wins, he’ll be the first person since Ed Foreman to represent two different states in Congress (he first won a West TX seat in 1962, got wiped out in the LBJ massacre of 1964, moved just across the border to NM and won the adjacent district in 1968, alas losing it to a Conservative Dem in 1970).
My no. #1 priority there would be to simply get the federal government to stop counting illegal aliens as "residents" of a Congressional district since they have no right to live there in the first place. If they only changed the rules so congressional districts only count AMERICAN CITIZENS as residents, it would cause vast demographic and population changes in California congressional districts and they'd probably lose at least four RAT Congressman outright.
That is a start, but I don’t trust either the vote totals or who counts the votes in California, period.
LOL = they've dropped that like a hot potato now that Trump's guy won...
That’s Pennsyltucky thank you very much. ;^)
Heavily GOP district, even with the nasty little chunk of Penn State U. I don’t think the comrades over at 538 even covered it. If this was last year the democrats would have made more of an effort but now they are too busy playing defense, some of their freshman are desperate to avoid impeachment.
For the NC seats, the 3rd (dead RINO Jones) is safe, consider it a GOP pickup since Jones was almost a democrat.
The 6th I’d call a tossup. Our nominee State Senator Dan Bishop is attacked for the tranny bathroom thing but in 2016 he managed to get elected even as Hillary took his district and was reelected in 2018, he’s a strong candidate.
Good news on the redistricting front as the Sup Court has stayed commie judge coup attempts in MI and OH, pending the results of the current NC and MD case.
My thought is if Trump is winning he’s winning the majority of districts and I see no reason for much ticket splitting so we would win it back, though it may be uncomfortably close.
UPDATE: Bishop now apparently up about 6. One of my sources (who was, admittedly wrong as I was about the House in 2018) thinks Bishop wins.
This would put us at 200 seats, down 35. Whittle, whittle. One seat at a time. Yes, could be a wave based on what happens in the next year,but don’t count on it. Count on the ebb and flow moving back to the Rs.
One thing: we are recruiting superb candidates in OK5, NY, MI senate (James has a stronger shot there than last time).
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