Heavily GOP district, even with the nasty little chunk of Penn State U. I don’t think the comrades over at 538 even covered it. If this was last year the democrats would have made more of an effort but now they are too busy playing defense, some of their freshman are desperate to avoid impeachment.
For the NC seats, the 3rd (dead RINO Jones) is safe, consider it a GOP pickup since Jones was almost a democrat.
The 6th I’d call a tossup. Our nominee State Senator Dan Bishop is attacked for the tranny bathroom thing but in 2016 he managed to get elected even as Hillary took his district and was reelected in 2018, he’s a strong candidate.
Good news on the redistricting front as the Sup Court has stayed commie judge coup attempts in MI and OH, pending the results of the current NC and MD case.
My thought is if Trump is winning he’s winning the majority of districts and I see no reason for much ticket splitting so we would win it back, though it may be uncomfortably close.
UPDATE: Bishop now apparently up about 6. One of my sources (who was, admittedly wrong as I was about the House in 2018) thinks Bishop wins.
This would put us at 200 seats, down 35. Whittle, whittle. One seat at a time. Yes, could be a wave based on what happens in the next year,but don’t count on it. Count on the ebb and flow moving back to the Rs.
One thing: we are recruiting superb candidates in OK5, NY, MI senate (James has a stronger shot there than last time).