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Why ageing China won’t overtake the US economy as the world’s biggest – now or in the future
South China Morning Post ^ | 03/28/2019 | Yi Fuxian

Posted on 03/28/2019 5:11:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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1 posted on 03/28/2019 5:11:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Demographics ultimately determines the winners and losers in history and today’s world.


2 posted on 03/28/2019 5:19:57 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Trump Tweeted his way out of the Deep State's grip. 23 Mar 2019 | Mark Steyn!)
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To: SeekAndFind

My read is that economies like China’s continue to grow only as long as Americans buy more and more of their stuff. That ceases to work when their economy begins to grow larger than America’s.

They could, in principle, continue growing, if they transformed themselves into another America, but I don’t think they want to. Celebrating personal initiative and individual liberty is just a bridge too far for them.


3 posted on 03/28/2019 5:24:20 PM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-)
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To: SeekAndFind

China’s biggest obstacle is its communist government.


4 posted on 03/28/2019 5:27:37 PM PDT by Moonman62 (Facts are racist.)
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To: rightwingcrazy

I agree. China has grown by providing slave labor for the West, manipulating trade, and stealing intellectual property. That can’t last forever, and with Trump it may already be over.


5 posted on 03/28/2019 5:29:26 PM PDT by Moonman62 (Facts are racist.)
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To: SeekAndFind

and why is Africa still in the Stone age ?


6 posted on 03/28/2019 5:33:58 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: butlerweave

https://brainstats.com/average-iq-by-country.html

Look at the map on the page and note Africa. It is kind of self evident though it just can not be said out loud.


7 posted on 03/28/2019 5:47:02 PM PDT by LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget (TRUMP TRAIN !!! Get the hell out of the way if you are not on yet because we don't stop for idiots)
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To: butlerweave

> and why is Africa still in the Stone age? <

Much of the problem is due to national boundaries. Those boundaries were drawn by the Europeans. There was no concern for tribal boundaries. Different tribes were thrown together in the same nation.

Consider this. Suppose that back in 1900 some great power had formed a country in eastern Europe. And suppose that this country was 1/3 Russian, 1/3 Polish, and 1/3 Prussian. That country would be a mess. A total, ongoing mess.

That’s exactly what happened in Africa.


8 posted on 03/28/2019 5:53:14 PM PDT by Leaning Right (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: SeekAndFind
China can only fix its demographic problem by having more children. It has already eliminated its one child per family policy, but family size is not increasing much and is still below replacement levels. The design of their cities to cram people into high density mega cities will ensure the birth rate stays below replacement.

On the other hand, we have a higher birthrate, but also immigration, which China will never have. We can stay younger than China for the foreseeable future.

9 posted on 03/28/2019 6:00:01 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: Leaning Right

You nailed it...


10 posted on 03/28/2019 6:01:23 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: SeekAndFind

My lovely wife is from China, “from” being the key operative word. She is in the process of becoming a citizen of the United States. She doesn’t understand how people here can support DemocRATS, she grew up hearing this crap day in and day out from the Chinese government.


11 posted on 03/28/2019 6:16:56 PM PDT by wjcsux (The hyperventilating of the left means we are winning! (Tagline courtesy of Laz.))
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To: Moonman62

I still remember as a kid that Japan would overtake the US. Same time I heard Russia would nuke the US. Same time I heard L.A would be underwater by 1998.

The US is the supreme superpower. The country at 200 plus years is still young by empire standards...


12 posted on 03/28/2019 6:47:58 PM PDT by max americana (Fired libtards at our company for the past 12 yrs at every election. I hope all liberals die.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yeah, us old people never come up with wortnhwhiile new ideas!’

Still,the Chins dynamica are not encouragnig.


13 posted on 03/28/2019 6:53:04 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: SeekAndFind

They have 4 times as many people. Of course they will surpass us on TOTAL GDP. But on PER CAPITA GDP, no. Not unless they reduce their population considerably.


14 posted on 03/28/2019 6:56:08 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Leaning Right

good point @ post 8

Tribalism is a nation killer.


15 posted on 03/28/2019 6:57:19 PM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: max americana

Yes, but if we do not get control of our debt and spending we will become a poor nation with a lot more problems than we have now.


16 posted on 03/28/2019 6:58:17 PM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: max americana
Reminds me of an interesting exchange I heard on TV during the 1992 Winter Olympics. Midori Ito of Japan was the favorite to win the gold medal in women's figure skating, and one of the TV announcers suggested that it was just one more example of Japan overtaking the U.S.

The other announcer said something to this effect:

"I don't believe that's true. I think OUR Japanese are better than THEIR Japanese."

Sure enough, Kristi Yamaguchi -- an American of Japanese descent -- won the gold medal.

And Japan has never caught up to us after all. Go figure.

17 posted on 03/28/2019 6:59:33 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("In the time of chimpanzees I was a monkey.")
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To: SeekAndFind

Killing a generation of women has consequences? Who knew?


18 posted on 03/28/2019 8:03:30 PM PDT by lurk
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To: LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget
Look at the map on the page and note Africa. It is kind of self evident though it just can not be said out loud.

We have enough stupid people here, why are we importing them. We should be importing people from Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, etc.)

If we want to stay on top, we need smart people not idiots, morons, and imbeciles.

19 posted on 03/28/2019 8:14:47 PM PDT by rllngrk33 (Time for all patriotic Americans to boycott liberals and all SJW/PC bullsh*t.)
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To: wjcsux

Your wife has lived it.

our home grown communists have learned from book- two separate experiences.
You wife knows the outcome- the home grown ones need to learn the outcome.

Problem is they will drag the rest of the country down as well- bunch dumbasses


20 posted on 03/28/2019 8:23:58 PM PDT by Nailbiter
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