Posted on 11/09/2018 6:47:33 AM PST by ek_hornbeck
There has been a remarkable global decline in the number of children women are having, say researchers.
Their report found fertility rate falls meant nearly half of countries were now facing a "baby bust" - meaning there are insufficient children to maintain their population size.
The researchers said the findings were a "huge surprise".
And there would be profound consequences for societies with "more grandparents than grandchildren".
How big has the fall been?
The study, published in the Lancet, followed trends in every country from 1950 to 2017.
In 1950, women were having an average of 4.7 children in their lifetime. The fertility rate all but halved to 2.4 children per woman by last year.
But that masks huge variation between nations.
The fertility rate in Niger, west Africa, is 7.1, but in the Mediterranean island of Cyprus women are having one child, on average.
(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.com ...
Muslims reproduce in volume, and export.
____________
Too many girlie men/boys coming out of the pussified schools.
Doesn’t seem to affect Mexicans.
Unfortunately, the declining birth rates are mostly (though not entirely) occurring in the developed world, while birth rates are high as ever among Mexicans, Central Americans, Arabs, and Sub-Saharan Africans. And as another poster said, they're all exporting in bulk.
The biggest problem facing the world isn’t that birth rates in developed countries are low. The real problem is that birth rates in the world’s worst societies remain sky high by comparison.
It has nothing to do with fertility. It’s by choice.
Abortion?
Sounds stupid but you fix that by getting someone in the Royal Family pregnant. When Diana was carrying her first baby, all the chicks were showing up preggers. Yes, it sounds stupid but just watch the next time it happens - instant baby boom.
The word "fertility" has two definitions - there's the biological one (i.e. whether an individual produces eggs and sperm that work) and a demographic/actuarial one, which is how many children people have, regardless of whether it's biology or choice. Both uses are valid.
I don’t think that an epidemic of teen pregnancies or single mothers inspired by a celebrity role model is a good thing for society either.
Thy wife as a fruitful vine, on the sides of thy house. Thy children as olive plants, round about thy table.
Psalm 128:3
The strongest predictor of how many children there are per woman is the average level of female education in a country - it’s an even stronger predictor than average income or anything on the men’s side of things. That’s why relatively poor eastern European and former Soviet block countries have low fertility rates more like those in wealthy western European countries than like similarly poor Latin American ones. Even though their average income is more like Mexico or Brazil’s, their average education level is more like England or Germany’s.
I took a Western Civ class in 1978. The professor at the noted - in 1987 - that we were doomed. He noted then that the...shall we say underclasses in these 3rd world cesspools popped out 10X as many kids the developed world.
“Too many girlie men/boys coming out of the pussified schools”
I think it’s because there (a) whites tend to have less babies out of wedlock, and (b) married white couples have no time for children and view them as an expensive pain in the neck who are no value to them when grown up (won’t work in the family business, etc.).
When can we stop panicking about “overpopulation,” then?
Actually birth rates are way down in Mexico and the rest of Latin America. Not as much as here, but not what they used to be. When people have the option of birth control many will use it. Here’s a site where you can graph the birth rates of countries around the world. These are just from 2000 but the longer term trend is the same.
https://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=mx&v=25
The birthrate in Mexico is now below replacement. Fertility for Mexicans in the U.S., whether citizens or not, is slightly above replacement, average around 3.2, iirc.
This is no surprise. It has been known for a long time that civilized countries like the USA, France, Italy, Russia are not making babies.
It has been known for a long time that non-producing, uncivilized societies make a lot of babies.
The non-producers recently found out that they can go to the civilized countries where their non-productivity is rewarded by the guilty, hard-working fools who allow that to happen.
When it comes to casual sex, it takes two to tango. Plenty of girls out there spend their youth pursuing casual sex just as many young men do, and a decade or so later as middle age approaches, they wonder why nobody wants to marry and support them.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.