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House of Representative, Election Prediction, Update 11/01/2018
11/01/2018 | self

Posted on 11/01/2018 4:44:24 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

RealClearPolitics has 204 "safe" seats for the Democrats and 197 "safe" seats for the Republicans. They have 34 seats in the tossup category.

Based on a reasonable analysis, I predict Democrats win 7 and Republicans win 27.

The totals for the next Congress being, Democrats 211 and Republicans 224. Republicans lose a total of 17 seats from 2016 high.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: campaign; elections; trumpwinsagain; vote
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To: Scarpetta

Non-stop Ads.


41 posted on 11/01/2018 5:59:08 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Nicojones

Fl 27?

Betting money is on Shalala, giving her 73% chance to win.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3738/Which-party-will-win-the-2018-House-of-Reps-race-in-Florida’s-27th-district

If I’m wrong, you will see it in my post election followup posting.


42 posted on 11/01/2018 5:59:29 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: ncalburt

I hope you’re right but I put that seat in the D column. I can’t imagine that ugly Shalala winning.


43 posted on 11/01/2018 5:59:53 PM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: ncalburt

“Yes , Maria is wow.”

Now, I have to go look up some photos...


44 posted on 11/01/2018 6:01:20 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: tcrlaf

Never set foot out of the house without a sidearm. Bring the heat, liberals.


45 posted on 11/01/2018 6:02:59 PM PDT by VideoPaul
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To: 103198

I have VA10 flipping to D, unfortunately.


46 posted on 11/01/2018 6:03:11 PM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

PA-7? That was that RINO seat. Charlie dent. Don’t see that seat on your list.


47 posted on 11/01/2018 6:04:09 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Yep, she looks nice. Lets hope for the upset.


48 posted on 11/01/2018 6:04:30 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Where did you get the poll number for VA-7?


49 posted on 11/01/2018 6:06:18 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Repubs will pick up 6-12 seats in the House thanks to the Donald.


50 posted on 11/01/2018 6:07:36 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: mrs9x

Oh sorry, up 4.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/virginia/7/


51 posted on 11/01/2018 6:07:57 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: 103198

Sorry up 4.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/virginia/7/


52 posted on 11/01/2018 6:08:45 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: 103198

VA7, up 4 not 7. sorry.

Comstock will be looking for a new job.


53 posted on 11/01/2018 6:10:10 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: Alberta's Child

“Do you have the GOP losing both NJ-7 and NJ-11?”

Started with RCP’s ratings to analyze tossups.

RCP has NJ7/11 as Dem.


54 posted on 11/01/2018 6:12:10 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: janetjanet998

Last poll, D+14


55 posted on 11/01/2018 6:14:09 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I would consider this a big win!


56 posted on 11/01/2018 6:14:15 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: napscoordinator

“PA-7? That was that RINO seat. Charlie dent. Don’t see that seat on your list.”

RCP has it in the D column. I analyzed tossups.


57 posted on 11/01/2018 6:15:55 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

My gut tells me Brat will win by 3-5 points in VA-7.

There are two flips in Minnesota toward Republicans. I have also read that MN-7 might be in play. Rural district that voted for Trump by 30.


58 posted on 11/01/2018 6:18:19 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Know of any early-reporting races in E KY or Indiana that have been polled?
Their results come in very early and would be a great indicator- at least their reports were in the last election.

Appreciate your research, but anxious for some verification early on election night


59 posted on 11/01/2018 6:21:30 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: mrs9x

2 flips in MN and NV3.


60 posted on 11/01/2018 6:21:54 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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