Posted on 10/23/2018 6:59:46 AM PDT by mandaladon
Sure, there’s probably some Kavanaugh effect at work here. Plus a little red-state effect.
Plus a little “Heidi Heitkamp’s campaign committed one of the great unforced errors in recent political history” effect.
Either way, it’s ballgame in North Dakota.
In an exclusive poll by KVLY, KFYR and Strategic Research Associates of 650 likely voters in North Dakota conducted between October 12 – 19, 2018, Republican challenger Kevin Cramer leads incumbent Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp 56% to 40%, increasing his lead since Gray Television’s September poll, in which Cramer held a 10-point advantage. Heitkamp’s support appears relatively fixed. Only 5% of those supporting her say that they might change their mind, compared to 17% of Cramer supporters who say they may still change theirs.
Heitkamp is viewed favorably by 37% of North Dakota voters and unfavorably by 52%, with 7% holding a neutral opinion and 4% unfamiliar. That unfavorable number represents a significant increase since September, when only 41% held an unfavorable view of her. Her challenger is viewed favorably by 53% of likely voters (a 7-point increase over September) and unfavorably by 38%, with 5% holding a neutral opinion and 4% unfamiliar with him.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
She is toast
Yet 270 to win still lists TN, ND, and TX as only “lean R”.
Her Kavanaugh vote was the game changer. Had she played the long game and voted “Yes” she might still be in the running.
“of 650 likely voters in North Dakota”
That must be a pretty high percentage of the registered voters in North Dakota.../s
RCP probably has it listed as “leaning GOP”....
Nope they have it as “likely.”
A loss here, pretty well guarantees a GOP Senate.
Absent fraud on a scale that would embarrass even Dimocrats, this seat is going GOP.
Well bye!
Good news! Hope it can carry throughout the region. Matt could use a push in Montana.
I think we might pick up 2 to 3 seats
If someone has Texas as “lean R” they are smoking some pretty stout stuff.
Cramer supporters should work and vote like he’s the one 16 points behind.
She basically resigned her seat the day she announced he no vote on Kavanaugh.
I tried some the other day and it was. It almost made Beto look good for a second.
Almost.
They moved it to “likely GOP” this morning.
Check out the default map for yourself. Tell me this isn’t a subtle attempt at demoralization.
https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/
The dumb ass outed victims of sexual abuse without their consent.
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