[The Pack Knight]

I'm skeptical of Cook's conclusion, but not a lot of people are talking about state and local races, and those are at least as important as federal elections.

What Cook calls a "vacuum" resulting from "the inability or unwillingness of Washington to deal with so many problems," I call "federalism," but most policy, and certainly most conservative victories, occur at the state level. It is absolutely critical to anyone who cares about liberty that we hold onto as many state governments as possible.

[God luvs America]

they’re backtracking to CYA...the national blue wave is now just going to be a blue wave in the states...

[thoughtomator]

This guy made POLITICO’s list of “worst political predictions of 2016” with multiple entries.

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555

They know it too, which is why they pulled the record of their abysmal predictions off the web: http://cookpolitical.com/story/10113

But the Wayback Machine did not forget: https://web.archive.org/web/20161113073336/www.cookpolitical.com/story/10113

[nikos1121]

I don’t see us losing that many seats. REally don’t.

[Leaning Right]

Cook’s final 2016 election prediction:

Hillary Clinton: 278 electoral votes
Donald Trump: 214 electoral votes

Democrats will pick up five to seven Senate seats.

Just sayin’.

[JLAGRAYFOX]

Charlie Cook & Larry Sabato & many other pollsters and pundits have nary a clue as to the reality of the American voters. Oh...they know what’s about to happen, but....they will try their utmost to make things look bad for Republicans. Of course Cook covers his butt, by yapping about the states, rather then the Federal government Elections.

Bottom line: The Republicans will win & hold both the House & the Senate. Cook chooses to remain mum on the Feds, so he won’t have egg all over his face on the evening of Election Day, Tuesday, November 6, 2018!!!

[fortheDeclaration]

Not going to happen. The Democrats aren’t liked or trusted.

[MNJohnnie]

Why does Cook still have any credibility with anyone? Got 2014 and 2016 completely wrong. Was not even close to accurate.

Really tired of supposed conservative worshiping this guy as some kind of “genius” instead of the Leftist political propaganda bot he actually his.

See his 2016 prediction? Did equally badly in 2014.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard

[pepsionice]

The blue wave will be laughed about for years as they seem to win one single extra House seat, and lose six Senate seats.

[John W]

Another guy wrong more than he’s right.

[ScottinVA]

It appears Cook is using gathered data that was pertinent prior to the Kavanaugh episode. The dynamic has changed, and voting fervor is massively increased on the GOP side.

[ExTexasRedhead]

Tennessee RAT Senate Candidate Veritas video:

http://redstatewatcher.com/article.asp?id=139263

[Nifster]

The fact that he uses Pew as a source......

[rightwingcrazy]

“Republicans have 11 governorships that The Cook Political Report rates as Toss-Up or worse for the GOP, Democrats have one”

“I expect net gains for Democrats in governorships of between six and a dozen”

Do the arithmetic. Based on the first assertion, the second is overly optimistic, to say the least. He may as well have said “between six and 100”. Six seems more plausible, and a dozen doesn’t seem at all plausible.

[SaxxonWoods]

People keep banking on Trump’s win as being the paradigm for all elections now. It isn’t.

There’s going to be shock amongst the kneejerk “Dems can’t win” group.

[Sidebar Moderator]

IOW, Muh blue wave is dead. Now they’re moving the goalposts because the blue wave narrative is too good to let go.

Charlie Cook is a fraud. His 2014 and 2016 predictions were as useless as used tissue paper.

[ncalburt]

Cook has been a Dem hack his entire life .

He is a hard core Lib .

The guy is a Dem joke .

[jmaroneps37]

Yes it COULD but alas it won’t Charlie. Go away and come up with something else.

[Deplorable American1776]

Cook Political Report is fiction...Florida Senate is lost??

[The Pack Knight]

The Republican dominance on the state level, much of it gained in the 2010 and 2014 midterm elections, has resulted in very conservative policy changes on issues ranging from abortion, to Medicaid expansion (or contraction), to voting access.

I posted this story not because I place any particular stock in Cook's predictions, but to draw attention to state and local elections that are being overlooked. The Democrats ignored state government throughout the Obama administration and even before, and have paid the price. Aside from abortion, Medicaid, and voter fraud ("voting access,"), just look at what has happened with gun control:



The Democrats are learning their lesson and want to roll all this back. Stopping them will be hard work. Just like Obama could not stop conservative policies at the state level, Trump will not be able to stop leftist policies at the state level.

[Georgia Girl 2]

They just keep trying to make you believe GA is going blue. Brian Kemp is the next Governor of Georgia. Stacey Abrams is a joke.