Charlie Cook & Larry Sabato & many other pollsters and pundits have nary a clue as to the reality of the American voters. Oh...they know what’s about to happen, but....they will try their utmost to make things look bad for Republicans. Of course Cook covers his butt, by yapping about the states, rather then the Federal government Elections.
Bottom line: The Republicans will win & hold both the House & the Senate. Cook chooses to remain mum on the Feds, so he won’t have egg all over his face on the evening of Election Day, Tuesday, November 6, 2018!!!
Sabatos career should have been over after he made himself part of the George All macaca story.
Cook’s stock in trade is Congressional elections and lower. This is because he tracks precinct returns and has done this for over 50 years. He definitely got the President election wrong in 2016, but so did everyone else, too. Take a look at his results for the House. He correctly called all House seats rated leaning and above. He didn’t make a call in toss up races. Chart at here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2016
Remember that the Dems gained 6 seats in the House in 2016.
I learned not to bet with him years ago and won’t do it this year. The article is Oct 5, my guess that his numbers are lower for GOP losses today. My guess is 12 - 15 seats in the House flipping to the Dems, Charlie will probably have about twice as many. The current trends are encouraging, I think that the Dems have seen their high water mark.