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A Crush Of New Polls Show Democrats In A Free Fall
The Revolutionary Act ^ | 10/08/18

Posted on 10/08/2018 11:18:05 AM PDT by Liberty7732

If there is a silver lining in the tragic farce wrought on the nation by the Democratic Party in the Judge Brett Kavanaugh nomination hearings it is this: Regular Americans are recoiling at the shocking spectacle and Democrat support is plummeting.

Every new poll coming out is uniformly showing middle Americans fleeing from the Democrats while a once-mildly apathetic Republican Party has been ginned up to energetic levels equal to the Democratic base.

Further trouble for the much-hyped blue wave is that black voters are trending against Democrats, participating in the #walkaway movement and viewing the Kavanaugh moment very differently from white Democrats. Given the reliance of the Democratic Party on the monolithic black vote, this portends disaster for blue — but possible salvation for the nation.

An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released last week found that the enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans has been erased. The poll asked registered members of each party if they believe the election is “very important.” The gap was running 10-15 points since mid-summer in favor of Democrats. Now it is at 2 points, well within the margin of error, as GOP enthusiasm increased 12 points.

The most recent IBD/TIPP poll also found that the Democrats’ 11-point advantage in the generic ballot was essentially gone. It’s now down to 2 points. The poll also found that President Trump gained four points in his approval rating, and 7 points in the Presidential Leadership Index. It’s an improvement at least in part by way of contrast with the horrible sight of the Democratic left.

The newest Quinnipiac poll, which leans left, found that the Democratic generic congressional ballot advantage has been cut in half. And since mid-September, the Real Clear Politics average of polls showed Trump’s approval climbing more than three points.

And buried in a Quinnipiac poll are some numbers that should rock Democrats back on their heals: Two weeks ago, white women were favoring Democrats on a generic congressional ballot by 13 points. One week later it was down to five points. In the latest poll, it is at one point. These are the vaunted suburban female voters that Democrats having been targeting because of their supposed discomfort with Trump. But it turns out they have sons and husbands and watching what happened to Brett Kavanaugh has not sat well.

Individual race polls are also tracking strongly the same direction.

In the Missouri Senate race, Republican Josh Hawley now leads incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill — with virtually all of the movement coming in reaction to the Kavanaugh hearings. In North Dakota, Republican Kevin Cramer now has a huge lead over Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in two polls — 10 percent and 12 percent. In Indiana, Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly has a one point lead over Republican Mike Braun. It was six points two weeks ago. (This race includes a Libertarian, which is often a spoiler for Republicans.)

A recent YouGov poll showed Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn with an eight point lead over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen for the open Tennessee seat. This seat was targeted by the Democrats as a pickup possibility.

Republican pollster Chris Wilson says she’s seen Republican polling gains in Arizona, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Texas — just in one week, according to the McClatchy news service.

Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee reported late last week that its small-dollar donations ballooned 175% over the previous week — again, largely based on the Kavanaugh hearings. This means more than just the money increase, it goes directly to the rising GOP voter enthusiasm in the most tangible way.

And finally, what may or may not be being captured is the trend by black voters. Blacks have been warming up to Trump slowly but steadily despite the avalanche of daily racist bromides by the Democrat media establishment.

Trump’s approval rating among black voters in the latest Rasmussen Poll, which leans right, is 35 percent. It was 23 percent at the same time last year, and 17 percent when Trump was elected. An NAACP poll shows a 21 percent level of support among blacks for Trump, compared to seven percent in November 2016. These show real and solid movement.

It turns out that blacks may have watched the #IBelieveHer affair in an entirely different light from other Democrat voters — the light of Emmett Till and a legacy of black men being lynched based solely on the word of a white woman. FYI, all by Democrats.

The surge at every level is apparent. And with only one month until the election, this momentum shift could be very real by the end of the day Nov. 8.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Indiana; US: Missouri; US: Montana; US: Nevada; US: North Dakota; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; 2018polls; bluewave; clairemccaskill; indiana; joedonnelly; joshhawley; marshablackburn; mikebraun; missouri; philbredesen; tennessee
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To: ping jockey

Good news. Thanks.

The left will make up some idiotic thing about why he hired her. But they’ll probably ignore it and not report it at all.


81 posted on 10/08/2018 2:11:37 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: TBP

E-mail him suggesting just that and stress the danger of Salem Witchcraft Trials


82 posted on 10/08/2018 2:16:54 PM PDT by arrogantsob (See "Chaos and Mayhem" at Amazon.com)
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To: Theodore R.

If you are right we can console ourselves with the knowledge that no seat changed hands.


83 posted on 10/08/2018 2:18:30 PM PDT by arrogantsob (See "Chaos and Mayhem" at Amazon.com)
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To: Capt. Tom

The alternative was Romney.


84 posted on 10/08/2018 2:26:10 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Liberty7732
A recent YouGov poll showed Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn with an eight point lead over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen for the open Tennessee seat. This seat was targeted by the Democrats as a pickup possibility.

Cue the Price Is Right tuba!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Jz1TjCphXE

85 posted on 10/08/2018 2:29:53 PM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: technically right

“I submit that the Trumpster has the October surprise in his back pocket. Perhaps the AG has something to reveal a couple of weeks from now.”

Or that the reason he’s taking Rosenstein to Florida is to use him to bait sharks!


86 posted on 10/08/2018 2:34:49 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Beagle8U

And I see that on the Five they are shuffling the House Ne*ros. They had replaced Juan Williams with Donna Brazile, and it was an improvement!


87 posted on 10/08/2018 2:37:12 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: USNBandit
Hopefully this doesn’t peak too soon. I figure we have one more week of dem freak out, but after that it is time to hit the message hard.

Trump knows how to keep a storyline going and how to make it Topic One for the MSM. They still haven't figured out when he's stirring the pot, trolling, or playing "any publicity is good publicity." They fall for it every time, devoting segment after segment and chyron after chyron to teeth-gnashing and "fact checking" and outrage competitions, broadcasting and amplifying his message with every action.

Tonight they're agonizing over his tweet that the Kavanaugh accusations were all "a Democratic hoax." Whether by design or not, that's kept Democratic treachery on the front burner instead of Now Resuming Our Regular Programming of "Russia! Russia! Russia!"

88 posted on 10/08/2018 2:41:40 PM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: DungeonMaster; Buckeye McFrog
McCain and Romney lost on purpose.

When I heard McCain say in September 2008 that "the fundamentals of our economy are strong," I knew he didn't want the job.

89 posted on 10/08/2018 2:51:55 PM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

"KAVANAUGH STRONG, SIR!"

90 posted on 10/08/2018 2:54:20 PM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: jiggyboy

The GOP game was to nominate people the rank and file couldn’t stand.


91 posted on 10/08/2018 2:56:33 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: Capt. Tom

It’s not the voters so much...I don’t trust the voting machines.


92 posted on 10/08/2018 3:08:55 PM PDT by TrueFact (Critical thinking about EVERYTHING.... tough but required.)
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To: Liberty7732

“Conviction by Accusation” is just one step short of “Conviction by Execution” -the privilege of all the uber tyrants of the 20th century.

The financiers of the liberal left fools in the USA know exactly what it is they’re gunning for.

And they’re only one SC Justice and 2 Senators shy of it

Fortunately America appears to be waking up to the threat!


93 posted on 10/08/2018 3:10:44 PM PDT by mo ("If you understand, no explanation is needed; if you don't understand, no explanation is possible")
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To: Liberty7732

Good. It’s about time. We need to see arrests for perjury.


94 posted on 10/08/2018 3:11:48 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: oldbill

The current 10th district has been held by the GOP for 38 years, not 46 (I worked as a precinct captain in Arlington in 1980 for the election of Frank Wolf; the previous congressman was a ‘Rat, “Pink Joe” Fisher. Wolf had run twice before, and won on the third try. He then got re-elected in the next 16 elections before retiring at the end of 2014.

Barbara Comstrock got herself in deep trouble by her brass knuckle tactics against Shak Hill in the GOP primary. 40% voted for Shak. Many of his voters will not support her in the general election. We are about to be “Wexton’d” by this commie babe high taxing pro MS-13 radical liberal.


95 posted on 10/08/2018 5:32:24 PM PDT by nd76
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To: Yo-Yo

.
Look for a brief dem deadcat bounce, but GOP will win big in both houses.


96 posted on 10/08/2018 5:38:48 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: redfreedom

.
Only if you try to drag them out of their dens.


97 posted on 10/08/2018 5:41:04 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: oldbill

Stewart gets the Roy Moore treatment.


98 posted on 10/08/2018 6:23:30 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: nd76

People in VA can’t figure out much of anything political.


99 posted on 10/08/2018 6:24:53 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: vette6387

I think Juan was just off that day that BoBo Brazil was there.

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=bobo+brazil+wrestler&atb=v80-4__&ia=web


100 posted on 10/08/2018 6:41:52 PM PDT by Beagle8U (Free Republic is one stop shopping...It's the super Walmart for news.)
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