Why Blasey Ford's Accusations Against Kavanaugh Are Not Credible

I'm 3 years younger Christine Blasey Ford. I grew up in an elite Seattle neighborhood, hanging around country club type places, going to tennis camps, and living in the culture of a girl coming to age in a wealthy enclave in the 1980's. That is not said to impress anybody. It just goes to show that I have an idea what kind of circles she walked in. Having read through the Holton-Arms yearbook pages from that era, I can say that the level of partying among those girls makes the Seattle 80's scene look mellow by comparison. They seemed to be doing college level partying while still living with their parents.

I am not predisposed to blame the victim, or to believe that women should not be heard. While I'm not going to out the survivors in my life, they include several women whose entire life was marred by the horror of sexual abuse. I myself did have several #MeToo moments, which I also don't care to detail here. Suffice to say that my perspective on this is broad, and contains no pre judgement on what a woman should or shouldn't be able to say about her own experiences. And I know what not being believed can do to a woman.

But rather than making me rush into a #MeToo default postion on Professor Blasey's accusations, these experiences lead me to believe that she is lying. I don't just think she is embellishing a little, I think she is outright lying.

Her story contains just enough details to suggest the following horrific elements were present (and emblazen them in the minds and hearts of many #MeToo followers):

"Kavanaugh physically pushed me into a bedroom as I was headed for a bathroom up a short stair well from the living room. They locked the door and played loud music precluding any successful attempt to yell for help."

She states that it was Kavanaugh, pushing her from behind, and not Mark Judge. That's an interesting detail for such a murky memory, and the fact that people don't have eyes in the back of their heads. This is an accusation of kidnapping and assault, as well as attempted rape. These elements from her story reinforce this claim:

1- she was pushed physically forced into a room
2- a door was locked to prevent her escape
3- the music was turned up to prevent others from stopping the assault

In order for Kavanaugh to have committed the above, he had to have possessed both the desire to hurt a woman in such a way, and the awareness beforehand that this was his intent, otherwise the kidnapping scenario don't make much sense. Why would you need to push a girl into a room against her will, lock the door, and turn up the music unless you intended to harm somebody? You would need to do none of these things if you had a willing participant. So clearly, Kavanaugh had to have intented to commit this act from the get go, in order for the allegations above to be true.

As a psychologist, Blasey Ford knows very well that the crime of rape is about violence, not a crime of opportunism. Men who commit rape are more interested in hurting their victims and gaining power over them, than achieving any kind of sexual satisfaction. Make no mistake about it: she is accusing Brett Kavanaugh not of 1 bad moment of judgement; but of being fundamentally, a bad man.

Many women in the #MeToo movement have talked about their awful experiences with dates gone bad, and guys who didn't want to take NO for an answer. These guys are assholes. But they are different than out right rapists. A guy like Harvey Weinstein, for example - took his actual pleasure out of treating women in an awful manner. Many of his victims were already willing to hook up with him - but that wasn't what got Harvey off. He took pleasure from their pain, their fear, the fact that he could do whatever he wanted to anybody. Nearly everybody on the planet agrees that Weinstein is a bad man.

Since there doesn't appear to be any actual corroboration for this alleged crime, we have to parse through her statement, her actions, and her life to see if we find the necessary corroboration for these claims.

"Kavanaugh was on top of me while laughing with REDACTED, who periodically jumped onto Kavanaugh. They both laughed as Kavanaugh tried to disrobe me in their highly inebriated state. With Kavanaugh's hand over my mouth I feared he may inadvertently kill me."

1- laughing during the alleged attack
2- highly inebriated
3- had a friend jumping on and off of him while he committed this crime

At the same time these actions were occurring, she claims music was music blaring loud enough to thwart any potential help from coming to her aide. It's too bad I'm not a very good or quick animator, as I'd love to pull this into my animation software and try to build this scenario. I think you'd see pretty quickly just how unlikely this sequence of actions would be. Also, she claims that she only had 1 beer. That is not in her letter, so I assume this is information she gave to Democratic representatives. The idea that a girl would only drink 1 beer, while others proceeded to get slobbering drunk - is also unbelievable. I've read she said that Kavanaugh and Judge had been drinking long before she got there, which seems like a piece of evidence as to who invited her to the party.

In addition, the idea that a person can be "inadvertantly" murdered is ridiculous. Murder by suffocation is a highly violent, difficult thing to do. Think about the "Preppy" murder by Robert Chambers, and how that guy's face looked. And he was twice her size, they were both drunk and/or on drugs, and she fought like hell. She is trying to put Kavanaugh on Chambers' level - and don't think it's not intentional. She would have lived through that murder being in the news every day in the mid/late 80s.

1- How do you know it was Kavanaugh and not Mark Judge who pushed you into the room?
2- Who locked the door?
3- Who turned up the music?
4- Was Judge already in the room, or did he come in later?
5- Did Kavanaugh lock the door, then unlock it to allow Judge in the room?
6- How did you hear Judge talking through the music? Was he yelling?

Her story requires both men to have been intending to commit kidnapping, at the very least. Two highly inebriated guys, who had to have acted in concert here. Does that seem plausible? In my experience, two wasted "laughing" guys at a high school party were more likely to spill beer on you, or even pee on you, than kidnap you. But maybe I never met 2 guys as skilled and determined as Mark Judge and Brett Kavanaugh.

I wonder what the statistics on teenage boys kidnapping girls would be? How about "highly inebriated" kidnapping? Then you have the real clincher in terms of credibility, and its importance cannot be overstated.

1- Christine Blasey Ford's therapist wrote down that there were 4 boys in the room during her attack

Ford says the therapist got it wrong, and only Kavanaugh and Judge were in the room. Therapists are required by law to report crimes against children are revealed during therapy to authorities. So while Blasey Ford's therapist was not required to report this crime from 36 years ago, she or he would have been trained to be extremely careful in taking notes about crimes. To write off the therapist's account as being different due to a mistake on their part is not credible. And it's very convenient if one wants to create an irrefutable allegation against Brett Kavanaugh.

Here are the elements that help create a watertight allegation against Kavanaugh:

1- she cannot remember who invited her to this party
2- she cannot remember how she got to this party
3- she cannot remember a date, or a good approximation
4- she cannot remember where this party took place
5- she cannot remember how she got home (no witnesses to verify or dispute her account)

I don't think not telling anybody in and of itself means it didn't happen. I don't know if I ever told anybody about my situations, as they occurred abroad and I left relatively soon for home. It seems quite believable that few 15 year old girls would tell their parents. But it does make it more likely that this attack did not take place as described. Why? Because if the attack took place just as she described, she should have had a very good motivation to tell a few friends: to protect them from this pair of predators. Many girls keep a diary (I did) - especially girls oriented towards academia and writing. Did she keep one? Does she remember writing it there? I'm guessing not.

She claims this attack psychologically derailed her for up to 5 years. So basically for the entire rest of her teenage years. Ok. So we'd expect to see some evidence for that. The women I've known who suffered teenage or earlier attacks did in fact go through some really hard times. Some things affected:

1- bad grades
2- withdrawing socially (not joining teams, etc)
3- hanging out with bad crowd
4- using drugs/alcohol
5- bad behavior at home with parents, trouble with siblings
6- promiscuity or total abstinence

While Christine Blasey Ford did such a thorough job of scrubbing her internet trail that we don't know much about her at all - we do know that she was a cheerleader at Holton-Arms, an extremely elite private school. We also know that she didn't abstain or stay away from the social scene, and in fact bartended at some point at a hip spot in a summer hotspot for teens. So she didn't go the route of avoidance of the party lifestyle that lead to her own kidnapping and attempted rape.

We know she had good enough grades to get into the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill - where the minimum grade average for acceptance was probably a 3.5 or above. She went on to get an MA and even a PhD - so obviously her ability to study was not derailed. She went on to marry a successful, professional guy with a PhD from Stanford - and had 2 sons, and now spends her time between mothering, teaching, and surfing at her 2nd home in Santa Cruz.

Sorry if that doesn't match up very well to a person whose life was so badly derailed, that they would now feel it their "civic duty" to destroy another person's life. Her story in fact reeks of having been very carefully crafted to maximize both the ability to destroy the accused, and the inability to refute it. Her recent comments to friends about a fear of flying due to this event, and her claustrophobia being a product of this 36 year old hazy trauma, all point to a very calculated scripting.

We are left with one and only one conclusion: Christine Blasey Ford is lying.

What an awesome essay !! I wish all vanities were this well written and insightful! Thank you! There is much I would like to write, but it is very late for me. That said...

I too am around the same age as you, Brett, and Dr. Ford. But I grew up in the Midwest. While our parties and social events probably had a distinctly different ambience than soirees on the coasts, there are many situations I witnessed and was the victim of, which I wish I could blot from my history and mind.

People forget, or maybe don’t acknowledge, that many men have had there own #metoo moments. I’m NOT going to go into it - so no worries there - but despite the hush-hush nature of such things when they happen to guys, I did always confide what happened to someone - my brother. I kind of don’t buy the idea of not telling anyone at the time or within a year or so of the event. Teenage years are a time of openness and expression. Considering there was no blood, no actual violence and no nakedness, it surprises me she never discussed it with anyone.

And that brings me to one aspect of this story that strikes me as odd. In any other #metoo moment recollections I can think of - including my own - there is some aspect of the experience that is shameful. There is something you were or you did that repulses you and makes it hard to share with others. In Dr. Ford’s story, there is none of that. She did nothing embarrassing. Was never naked, or disrobed, or exposed. In fact, she had 2 layers of clothes on - a bathing suit and regular clothes !!! She is, psychologically speaking, wrapped in figurative armor. Maybe I am thinking about it the wrong way. But, on the other hand, if you set about to concoct a story specifically to make someone else look bad, a story that wasn’t true, you would be inclined not to include in your invention something almost universally true of reality - a detail embarrassing to yourself.

Thanks for your kind words and let me say how sorry I am for your MeToo moments. Seems human nature is such that almost everybody either has one, or is close to somebody who does.

You know I should have mentioned that aspect! My husband and I have discussed this exact topic a lot this week - embarassment & its role in hurting a person. I think shame is one of the strongest emotions - and it’s got to be a huge factor in why you don’t share things.

But in this story there isn’t 1 embarrassing or shameful thing. She

1- drank far less than others
2- didn’t come on to anybody
3- didn’t even kiss a guy voluntarily

She should be super proud of this event to show how strong she was in the face of evil! And sharing about this awful pair of guys who go around throwing girls into a room and attempting abuse - well that would be really natural. She’s even come out tonight (Katz has) saying that it’s NO surprise the other woman, Leland Keyser - has NO recollection of the party and says she doesn’t even know Kavanaugh. If I had ever met a guy who was up for the Supreme Ct - I’d know it. I remember just about every guy I even liked from that era.

Thanks very much for sharing.

Me neither! They keep saying “what motivation would anybody possibly have” on TV for a reason why her allegations must be true, but that totally defies what we know about the fact that many people put agendas like this above their families. She could be a narcissist. Or just an uber passionate liberal who thinks she will save tens of thousands of lives due to some delusional Roe v. Wade fear. There are plenty of people who choose fame over family too. I lean towards thinking she is motivated by abortion, but I could be wrong.

Excellent point by point analysis of the charges, the possible scene scenario, and psychological issues pertaining to “victim/witness” recall after so many decades.

However, we must remember that OJ got off because the prosecutors screwed up on a bloody glove, so anything is possible.

And lastly, all I will say to Ford’s supporters, “Hey Stupids - you believed Tawana Brawley and her con-artist pimp, Al Sharpton”.

She needed to say she was clothed over the suit to explain why there was no penetration... which would otherwise be easy with just a suit...and would make people question why she didn’t seek a doctor. So she needed an explanation.

Conveniently enough there’s no description of what the boys were wearing... or whether their clothing would have been in the way of anything really happening or would have been cumbersome for a drunk guy to strip off or unzip while holding down a writhing woman and trying not to get bit while putting his hand over her mouth. Was he naked, in trunks or fully dressed? How many hands did he have?

Agree. Without a location, a date, or contemporaneous witnesses to question, how is someone supposed to defend themselves?

How can you prove you were somewhere else if you don’t know WHEN this supposedly occurred.

How can you deny that you have ever been to a place if you don’t know what place this supposedly happened?

How convenient for her.

You made some good points.

She doesn’t “remember” the house, but remembers the stairwell, the upstairs bathroom, and the bedroom at the top of the stairs?

All this suposedly came about in 2012 when she was in counciling, and not a peep about it then? He’s been vetted by the FBI six times and they never came across this story?

On a side note:

When I was in high school, a senior raped a sophomore girl at a party, and by that Tuesday morning pretty much everyone at school knew about it and that senior was shunned from the various social circles, and was forced off the football team (those of us on the team dealt with him harshly). Not sure if charges were ever filed against him. Even to this day nobody from his class talks to him.

I don’t buy that she kept this to herself all this time.

And I agree with your assessment that this is a fabrication.

Questions Blasey Ford wasn’t asked:
15 year old girl goes to a home that has no parents or adults to attend a drinking party. Maybe drugs there too...?
What time did she arrive?
She made it a point to get to that party, so one would think she liked such events...?
How often was she known to attend such soirees?
How long did she stay at the drinking party?
Others there are getting drunk but Ford only had 1 Beer?
No peer pressure?
Seeing more boys than girls, she could have chosen to leave quickly if things were getting raucous, unless (just maybe) she was a Wild Child...?
Nope - none of that. The Headline should read “Angelic 15 Yr. Old Virgin Tempted by Debauchery - Gets Pawed by Evil Boys w/ Raging Hormones!” The Horror.
I remember I got barred from riding the school bus for 1 week. Many kids got the same punishment after a rubber band war on the ride home. After getting grilled by the Vice Principal, I finally admitted that I shot “just 1”.
Yeah, right!!!!

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