Hurricane Florence Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence	Isaac	Invest 95L
		No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L at publication deadline
Florence Public Advisory	Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion	Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence	Buoy/Observations near Isaac	Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I

[HollyB]

He’s pretty much stuck with it going W NW even after all the other pros changed it to W SW.

[NautiNurse]

It’s a naked ferris wheel. Some big cranes are being allowed to swing freely through the storm too.

[Black Agnes]

I think after the gulf coast biggies those walls are mandatory on at least the first floor (maybe second floor too right by shore) of every new building.

[NautiNurse]

The breakaway construction provides an aesthetically finished facade to a dwelling, with very functional structure in the flood zones. Looks so much better than the old stilt homes.

[Black Agnes]

They make great rec rooms and the like.

[NautiNurse]

Yes—and a garage too!

[dirtboy]

Barely moving:

[TADSLOS]

Just a giant pinwheel of deluge.

[mazz44]

Correct! Still has to be repaired, however.

[NautiNurse]

No rest for the weary in Morehead City and New Bern. Relentless piling of water and winds. Just awful.

[Repeal The 17th]

Battleship North Carolina in Wilmington will ride it out.
It has probably seen worse!

[Chickensoup]

Is this New Bern?

[KSCITYBOY]

btt

[numberonepal]

I think after the gulf coast biggies those walls are mandatory on at least the first floor (maybe second floor too right by shore) of every new building.

And you cannot insure that first floor.

[numberonepal]

Battleship North Carolina in Wilmington will ride it out. It has probably seen worse!

Like the Alabama in Mobile Bay. Katrina near about knocked her over, but they fixed her.

[Mr Fuji]

I saw the feed earlier and it’s not New Bern. I can’t remember which NC beach it was at.

[justa-hairyape]

Yikes. Stall ? West turn ?

[Mr Fuji]

You pretty have it down. It’s moving 5 MPH.

[NautiNurse]

It is oceanfront at Topsail Beach.

[NautiNurse]

Life threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds occurring
along the NC coast...
Threat of fresh water flooding will increase over the next several days...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 50 MI...S of Morehead City NC
About 60 MI...ESE of Wilmington NC
Maximum Sustained Winds...90 MPH
Present Movement...W at 6 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...956 MB...

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles.

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