Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
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Regulations are pretty specific, sympathy chocolate only for Cat 3 and above majors. Hope y’ll kept your reciepts.
:-)
What kinda surprises me (and I admit I know very little about the physics of how hurricanes operate) is that I’d have thought there’d be strengthening as it approached the Gulf Stream. I thought “With all the warm water, it will either maintain its strength or grow some”.
I’m not sure what factors are sapping its strength in that its been downgraded from a Cat 4 to a Cat 2.
I suggested yesterday that Flo is a tired old storm, born way back on August 30.
There are some live cams on the Live Storm Chasers site now. https://livestormchasing.com/map
Thanks; we are all on edge.
><
So true.
Best wishes.
Hey you!!!!! Haven’t seen you for a year...
I believe Flo was a 3 when I got the chocolate; )
Eyewall visibly open
Great view of the outer bands reaching shoreline.
Donald Trump has caused the storm to dissolve.
Even the weather gods shrink before the God Emperor.
#Presidentforlife #MAGA
LTNS indeed.
Purchase vs Landfall Intensity is a gray area, I’ll check for a ruling.
Sympathy chocolate purchased at Category 3-4 earns future hurricane offsets.
Here she comes... gotta say, the forecasters have nailed this one from quite a long ways out.
Eyewall IS open but...
From 1402Z thru 1440Z, there is significant development towards full closure.
From 1440Z thru present, the new structure weakens, and the entire eyewall visibly increases diameter.
ERC?
Ima let y’all handle the subclauses and where-aseszz.
Yardwork, setup, and studio client due here at 7pm.
In and out till we wrap at 11p, focus on NROT and tornadic potential, then in solid till coffee quits working.
Cape Hatteras twitter film from an hour ago
https://twitter.com/jeffhampton56/status/1040242850787717120
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