QUESTION: Will the Republicans hold the House? If yes, by how many seats?

09/09/2018 | Blackfemalearmycaptain

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

I want so badly for POTUS to have a majority in the House and Senate in November. I believe we’ll hold both, but I’m a little nervous about the House. Poll watchers, how are we looking? I will be praying!

[cowboyusa]

Yes,by 5 or 6.

[MuttTheHoople]

Check my tag line.

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

I hope you’re right!!!

[tired&retired]

2018 Senate Election Interactive Map
35 U.S. Senate seats to be contested in 2018

https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/

Pretty good analysis with charts

[Husker24]

How big of an advantage do we have in the House now?

[cowboyusa]

23 seats.

[Blue Jays]

"...Senate and House of Representatives seats..."

---

We are doing far better than what is reported.
Conservatives do not wish to be harassed, be fired by leftwinger employers, or have their cars vandalized...so we simply do not respond to pollsters.

[Gasshog]

Pretty sure since BroncObama is daily flapping his jaws we gain seats in the H & S + State seats all around the board.

The People are wise that the “D” Party isn’t For THE PEOPLE.

[SamAdams76]

This morning, after my walk, I fried up four large eggs in Kerrygold butter - over easy. Then I had half a pot of strong, black coffee.

What that forebodes is that GOP will gain a number of seats in the senate AND hold the House.

[CJ Wolf]

Yes at least by 1 or 2. But majority.

[CJ Wolf]

You had me at fried egg but Kerrygold really sold it. :-)

[Mears]

Lordy,that looks good.

.

[Para-Ord.45]

Democrat enthusiasm is high. Unless there are bombshell revelations of Deep State sedition,

Dems gain +33 seats, possibly 55 or more.
9 more than needed for majority.

[lonestar67]

This is the latest poll on the question:

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/j4bh7uofb3irmiy/AABoJo0BTunwf_dtbcRxMKura?dl=0&preview=Grinnell+College+National+Poll+-+A+Challenging+Road+to+2020+Release+with+data+EMBARGOED+UNTIL+SEPTEMBER+5+2018.pdf

The poll finds a 2 percent advantage for Democrats.

If that is anywhere near true, the Democrats are absolutely doomed in both the House and the Senate.

The poll is fairly good news for Republicans because the same poll says that Trump’s approval rating is 43.

That is a rather low estimate and shows that even with a skewed polling base, the poll still finds that in Congressional preferences the public prefers democrats by only 2 percent.

Because democrats are concentrated in urban area and house districts are definitively NOT— it is imperative for Democrats to have an at least 6 percent advantage to have a chance to flip the house.

it looks very unlikely right now.

It seems quite possible that the Republicans could gain senate seats—perhaps two.

[poinq]

If Trump fans show up they will hold the house. If we are complacent, we lose the house.

[Bryan24]

The question is:

If the GOP Leadership had not intentional tanked the election and left Trump hung out to dry, how much more of a majority would the GOP have?

[tired&retired]

The magic states are:

Tossup
NV
AZ
ND
MO
IN
FL

Tilted Dem
MT
WV

Tilted Rep
TN
TX

[DIRTYSECRET]

A knockout punch would cream my pants.

[InterceptPoint]

Check my tag line.
65 House and 12 Senate pickups
+++++++
If you are correct, you should be installed as a permanent member of the Freeper Hall of Fame. But methinks you are at least a bit optimistic. I’d settle for a 20 vote margin in the House and a 54/46 Senate.