Posted on 06/30/2018 7:57:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
For the past several years, political pundits on both sides of the aisle have been predicting a future with a permanent Democratic majority in the United States. As evidence, they point to increasing immigration of races that consistently vote over two to one for Democrats, and to the fact that young people overwhelmingly lean left. Republicans have won the popular vote only once in the past seven presidential elections, and Texas, the jewel in the Republican crown, is forecast to go blue in a decade or two because of its growing Hispanic population. These predictions have led to jubilation among Democrats and foreboding among Republicans.
So is the Republican party doomed? Not necessarily. A permanent Democratic future is preconditioned on all demographic groups continuing to vote for the two main parties at the same rates they do currently. I don't think this will be the case. Specifically, I believe that white voters will begin voting for Republicans in larger numbers than they do now. The reason why is simple: identity politics.
Since the 1960s, the white share of the Democratic vote has steadily been decreasing. Just over half of Hillary Clinton's votes in 2016 came from whites. The Democratic vote will probably be majority-nonwhite in the 2020 election and onward.
In the past, Democrats couldn't afford to alienate whites, because they couldn't win elections without either a majority or near majority of the white vote. Times have changed, and now they can. Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton lost the white vote, but by small margins. Barack Obama lost the white vote by much larger margins – first by 12 points, then by 20. This shows that Democrats can now win elections without the white vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Maybe you should investigate the birth rates of various groups, the white populations is not even replacing themselves which means we as a ground are declining. Guess which groups are not.
Interesting theory.
But we still need to get out the Republican vote. We can’t sit on our hands and do nothing!
Along the way, for whatever reason, whites will start to have more children.
Then watch that next generation vote Republican!
I notice the Muslim dominated countries regularly elect Christians and Jews to political offices. </s>
Maybe we could find evidence of your assertion in South Africa or Zimbabwe.
Let’s pray for that!
We can find evidence of my assertion right here in America where they were talking about. The GOP was the party of Lincoln and owned the black vote for decades because of it. Now the Dems get over 90%. But with black joblessness dropping that might not be the case anymore.
B$. They are black but the black culture would not be recognized by the blacks of Lincoln's day. Besides you ignore all the evidence to the contrary of your assertion.
Actually you just proved me right. Culture changes. Subculture changes. Thus demographics change their voting habits. The black culture will change again, and with it their voting habits.
Considering that you said it didn't matter
it makes perfectly good sense if you’d bother to pay attention to what’s said rather than look for your next opportunity to throw an insult. But of course we both know you can’t do that. Think, for once, you might like it.
If thinking was involved in your position then no thanks.
If you are insulted by someone critiquing your position then you are on the wrong forum.
You don’t critique, you take individual sentences out of context, throw shade, and pretend you’re not a pathetic waste of flesh. My posts were simple to follow, plainly true to anyone that’s smart enough to tie their own shoe and can remember how many times in the 21st century “permanent majorities” have been predicted and evaporated in under 6 years.
Demographics don’t matter. You actually PROVED my point, but your arrogance can’t admit it. Goodbye.
>>Doesn’t sound like a party in trouble, to me.<<
I agree with you, but on the other hand the demographic trends portend good news for the Left and bad news for the Right. So, in my view the GOP will gradually tack to the left in order to have a fighting chance to win elections. The timeline for these trends will depend on how rapidly the non-white population and its white leftist allies increase relative to the conservative white population and its non-white conservative allies.
Nothing is permanent because change is inevitable, except when it comes to liberalism and libertarians.
You used the black population to assert that demographics did not matter and I pointed out the fallacy of your assertion by saying that black is not a demographic culture is the demographic which you ignored.
If you think the demographic of white Christians of 1940 will reappear with a Spanish population you are just plain nuts.
No YOU used black people to disprove me, but in the process you pointed out that their core beliefs and political allegiance has changed drastically over the years. Which proved my point. Demographics don’t matter in long term politics because demographics change like that all the time.
Don’t need some old view to reappear. What matters is that whatever political allegiance the Spanish population has now will change. Over and over and over.
Maybe we have a different view of what demographics means.
I suppose we could keep importing Muslims and hope they adopt our Constitutional government but I sure don't want to find out. Do You?
Outside the scope of the conversation. The question was do demographics say the GOP is dead. They do not. Because whatever trend is going against them now will be balanced with other trends.
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