Posted on 06/30/2018 7:57:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
For the past several years, political pundits on both sides of the aisle have been predicting a future with a permanent Democratic majority in the United States. As evidence, they point to increasing immigration of races that consistently vote over two to one for Democrats, and to the fact that young people overwhelmingly lean left. Republicans have won the popular vote only once in the past seven presidential elections, and Texas, the jewel in the Republican crown, is forecast to go blue in a decade or two because of its growing Hispanic population. These predictions have led to jubilation among Democrats and foreboding among Republicans.
So is the Republican party doomed? Not necessarily. A permanent Democratic future is preconditioned on all demographic groups continuing to vote for the two main parties at the same rates they do currently. I don't think this will be the case. Specifically, I believe that white voters will begin voting for Republicans in larger numbers than they do now. The reason why is simple: identity politics.
Since the 1960s, the white share of the Democratic vote has steadily been decreasing. Just over half of Hillary Clinton's votes in 2016 came from whites. The Democratic vote will probably be majority-nonwhite in the 2020 election and onward.
In the past, Democrats couldn't afford to alienate whites, because they couldn't win elections without either a majority or near majority of the white vote. Times have changed, and now they can. Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton lost the white vote, but by small margins. Barack Obama lost the white vote by much larger margins first by 12 points, then by 20. This shows that Democrats can now win elections without the white vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
I think the big shock for the Democrats in 2020 will be the increase in Asian voters for the GOP. Asian kids are being punished for being too successful and now you’re seeing them being excluded from schools like Harvard because those administrators want more blacks and Hispanics attending their school. Never mind that they’re acing their SAT’s and the AP exams and are more than qualified to attend schools like Harvard or Yale. Gotta have that racial diversity even if that means admitting other nonwhites who don’t have the academic credentials or abilities to handle the huge workloads.
When Baby Boomers die off, whites will be a minority. There’s nothing we can do at this point to fix it.
When that happens it’s going to be interesting times as the Chinese say.
If the worldwide MSM, the entertainment world, government controlled schools, colleges, and universities, pro-Leftist dominated worldwide jobs, the pro-Left dominance of worldwide cities, and worldwide judicial activism didn’t exist, then this article wouldn’t exist. There would be actual political dominance of conservatism throughout the entire world!
This doesn’t help the pro-conservative side.
We can blame Democrats for their desire for illegal aliens, but we cannot forget the GOP’s role as well. They want the cheap labor for their chamber of commerce friends. Why this does not concern them for the future of the party I will never know. Perhaps they think they will not get hurt. I’m sure the California GOP of years ago thought that way. Well, we know how that worked out for them.
As far as future trends go, that assumes everything stays the same. Start deporting illegals, those who overstay their VISAs, discourage future illegal immigration, restrict legal immigration so that the population assimilates and cut off all welfare for illegals and watch those trends change.
Plus, there is growing number of Blacks, Hispanics, Asians and Indians that are also against illegal immigration. I know Blacks and Hispanics that never voted GOP before, but voted Trump because they want the illegals deported. If THAT trend continues (and Democrats lose elections because of that), you WILL see Democrats change their tune.
Plus, as Western Europe becomes more Islamic, watch as more Europeans leave. There will be another exodus.
The future is always in motion. Nothing is set.
Only if we listen to Bush League Republicans and abandon the rule of law and surrender the country to illegal aliens.
Don’t forget that many D’s are, also, anti-police and pro-abortion.
Ya gotta love identity politics in the US. This is the ONLY country on earth in which “hispanic” is considered to be an ethnic group. pssssst. They’re not. They’re no more an ethnic group than “Americans” are an ethnic group. Most “hispanics” in the US are....wait for it......White.
One of my friends has a cousin he’s close to who married a smokin’ hot cheerleader in college (lucky bastard). Anyway the cheerleader’s dad is from Indiana...but her mom is from Venezuela. Therefore she is “hispanic”. It doesn’t matter that she was born and raised in the states. It doesn’t matter that she’s a blue eyed blonde who looks like she would be closer to Hitler’s aryan ideal than I would be with my extensive German heritage. She’s “hispanic”. Oh their kids? What box are they going to check? Will they check “White” and be discriminated against on every application, or will they check “hispanic” and get easier admissions, the benefit of de facto diversity quotas etc? They’d be fools not to check the “hispanic” box. btw. They’re both at least as far to the Right as I am.
Lots of “hispanics” are relatively recent immigrants. Recent immigrants have always voted for the Left and have always gone ever more to the Right the longer they are in the US and the more they go native. The Democrats are kidding themselves if they think these people are going to be perpetual votes for Leftist candidates.
In addition to that, quotas and their tendency to work hard and achieve - and to be discriminated against as a result, makes Asians the perfect candidates to also shift to the Right in their voting patterns.
This whole demographic argument is IMO, wishful thinking by the Democrats and their propaganda arm, the MSM.
Yes, northern states with large white majorities such as Vermont, Connecticut, Minnesota and a few others. Wisconsin was in that group for years, but might be moving away from it. I've said for years that such states with large white majorities can send liberals to Congress without having to live with most problems caused by liberal policies. Not PC, but true.
As people move up the social and economic ladder, they’ll become more conservative than their peers are. They won’t want invaders ruining their newly restored neighborhoods or competing for their jobs. Some places can’t be saved. But many can.
There will always be 2 major parties (probably always Dem and Repub) until the country splits. The question is what issues/policies/ideology those parties represent?
They’ll adjust what they stand for as needed to maintain about 50% of the power.
“...the increase in Asian voters for the GOP.”
The most radical socialists in the Dim primaries here in the DC metro were southern Asians. The East Asians are still pretty responsible, but they seldom run for office.
Which, unfortunately, shows how successful they have been to date.
“As the Democratic Party becomes more and more nonwhite, it will essentially become a nonwhite racial advocacy party that is strongly anti-white.”
but recent polls are saying this might not work out all that well for them either:
“Poll: Trump Gains Minority Support from Growing Economy”
I just read on yahoo about the tens of thousands of supposed refugees from guatemala fleeing violent street gangs. The story was utter propaganda. It was so clear these people are being scripted to come up with the reason the have to travel from the southern border of mexico all the way to the US then come in illegally.
The truth is Mexico is a hostile nation to the US and we are under attack. The weapons in this case are human but they will destroy our country just as effectively and even more permanently than bombs.
IMO we need to recognize Mexico as a hostile nation to clear the way to send the full US Military to the border. We must stop this invasion now or we will cease to exist.
I trust our President 100 percent and I know he is doing everything possible but it's still hard to see how things are moving fast enough for us to survive.
I belive that there is hope in the millenials. They will remember living in ma and pas basement for a long time, in the way that the Depression affected generations.
Current data shows President Trump is making YUGE gains with black and Hispanic voters. If this continues, the Dems are DONE.
Exactly. The modern day, “progressive” illegal alien border jumpers are schooled with everything they need to say to the Fed to get on the American free lunch wagon. My jaw hit the floor the other day when I saw this one ditzy illegal on the tube explaining that she came here all the way from Guatemala to seek asylum from her “abusive husband”. ROTFL. The snowflake progs eat that stuff up.
And even more who support President Trump.
When only one message gets out, it looks like this message is the one held by the majority.
Don't think for a minute that the majority of our white wives, sisters, mothers, girlfriends, and daughters want unfettered illegal immigration anymore than we do.
It's easy to publicly oppose President Trump's position on immigration. It's much more difficult to publicly support it when people lose their careers over doing so. It's little wonder supporters keep quiet.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.