Posted on 06/11/2018 5:03:44 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Delusional progressives are powerless to stop it. Ineffective never-trump laughingstock are dwindling into oblivion.
After every curve-ball has been thrown at him from every conceivable direction, Donald Trump will win 40 states, and do so in a most extraordinary way.
He will have made Americans believe in American greatness once again!
He already is.
In 2006 a full two years prior to his election I was the first to predict that Barack Obama would be elected President.
No one believed me, but I based it on five instinctive realities I could see forming. I indicated if as few of three of the five occurred he’d likely be elected. Four of the five came true.
Here’s why I feel similarly as to President Trump’s re-election.
(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...
But will he win enough votes in Kalifornia and New York to win the popular vote?
It will be interesting to see the level of doctoring the first presidential preference polls go through. Imagine a poll of Trump vs. Warren. The pollsters will have to poll not-likely voters by phone and make sure democrats outnumber repubs 2-1 and most polling will have to take place in New England. Then, maybe Warren will be within 5 points.
And here’s one reason why Trump will not win 40 states in 2020:
The Democrats did not take Trump seriously in 2016. Hillary did not even bother to seriously campaign in several swing states.
The Democrats will take Trump seriously in 2020. Ballots will be stuffed, and money will be spent to get out every last voter. And a few days before the general election, the mainstream media will blast out some well-crafted, fake Trump story.
It’s early, of course. But I predict a squeaker in 2020, just as we saw in 2016.
All well and good.
But lets hold onto the House and increase the majority in the Senate in the 2018 elections. President Trump needs all the help he can get.
Love this article, it’s very upbeat and pretty spot on.
Only thing I worry about is the wall. If there doesn’t seem to be much progress, it may be harder for Trump to get reelected. I hope we see something starting before his reelection. Of course I know it’s not his fault, it’s the worthless do-nothing Congress. But still, people won’t see that and he will get blamed.
Yes, it’s not just about his reelection – we desperately need that wall and for the illegals to get the hell out of our country!
I’m holding Kevin to that.
“But lets hold onto the House and increase the majority in the Senate in the 2018 elections. President Trump needs all the help he can get.”
and how exactly has having both houses of Congress helped Trump? They have been pretty adversarial.
But I know what you’re saying, it’s better than a democrat congress. Actually, perhaps not – is pretty good at negotiating plus he could say that since he has a split Congress that’s why he couldn’t fulfill all his campaign promises. Right now people don’t see that it is the Republican Congress holding him back.
And a few days before the general election, the mainstream media will blast out some well-crafted, fake Trump story.
...and the American people will be of two minds - It is fake news or so what?
We have seen nothing but 24/7 hate from the news media and the entertainment industry. At what point do people just tune it all out.
Accept for those in the bubble, no one is really paying attention to the opinions of the media.
1. Massachusetts
2. Rhode Island
3. Vermont
4. Connecticut
5. New York
6. New Jersey
7. Maryland
8. Illinois
9. Washington
10. Oregon
11. California
12. Hawaii
I'd like someone to tell me which three of these states Trump could possibly win in 2020. And that only gets him to 40 states if all the other states that voted for Clinton in 2016 also go for Trump -- including New Hampshire, Delaware, Virginia, Minnesota, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada.
Can’t argue with your conclusion. He wil not carry any of the states on your list. They took Trump as a jooke last time. They will stop at nothing to get Trump next time. Why he abanded his vote fraud commission is beyond my understanding, big big mistake.
Yes...and that you describe is a factor in why the beest lost! Low information voters are just that. Lots of them believed the hype and didn’t wake up to vote. That, plus when I saw Trump at a rally on TV I never saw any candidate that revered....people were freaking out...in a good way! I got on a political gambling site called PredictIt and threw down as much $$$ I could on Trump winning...even before the primary. Won $9k...Yeah!
2020 doesn’t matter. Only 2018, and at least one more SCOTUS justice. If the dims get the House or Senate Trump will not get another justice appointment.
Exactly correct.
Replacing Kennedy or Ginsberg is key to reinstating the Republic.
Lose the Senate, it does not happen.
While I agree that the left didn’t take Trump as seriously as they should have in 2016, many on the right also sat home, or didn’t expect much out of him.
He’s accomplished a lot, and has convinced many on the right that he is worthy of the office. He’s also great at getting those in the middle on his side.
My gut was right about the last election 2 weeks before it took place, and it tells me things will go better for him in 2020. (so, entirely scientific, haha)
At least Warren can count on the Cleveland Indians to vote for her... causing their all Indian fans regardless of your “race” for president. Why not have someone running for president who lied on their college admissions applications, published a plagiarized book of recipes from Injun’s.
1. Healthcare. Trump owns it now and it's getting worse.
2. Trade war. Trump has said that they're easy to win. Well that may be a bit of an exaggeration but still, winning will take time and in the mean time there will be a lot of pain in terms of higher prices for imported goods and lower demand for our exports. That's going to cost businesses and jobs, and could cause an economic downturn.
3. Deficit. We're on track for a trillion dollar deficit. Taming that requires deep cuts, and while Trump has recognized the need for slashing spending in his budget proposals all of those cuts in discretionary spending gores someone's ox. If he can get Congress to go along then who bears the pain will play into the election. If Congress doesn't go along then Trump is saddled with trillion dollar deficits in a time of tremendous economic strength.
4. Immigration and the wall. Still one of his biggest campaign promises and still not happening. Not to the extent his base wants.
5. He has his base, he needs to keep the rest of his voters. I think it's very optimistic that Trump will do that well among African-Americans. He needs to keep the traditionally Democrat voters he flipped last time, or at least keep them home. That's what got him Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin last time. Democrats will be just as motivated as Trump's base will be so it depends on who attracts those who voted for him last time.
I'm a firm believer that you can't beat somebody with nobody, and right now the Democrats have nobody. But say, for the sake of argument, that they actually settle on a candidate who could win then these are at least five reasons why Trump could lose 7 to 10 states in 2020.
His five reasons for the 40 state win prediction
1. Jobs
2. He Will Garner Record African American Support
3. His Base Is Strongest Of The Era
4. Stronger Might, Less War, Safer World
5. Foreign Policy Dominance
************
Not if the author’s #2 prediction holds:He Will Garner Record African American SupportHe writes in terms of an increase in Trump's AA vote of 15-20% of the total AA vote. IOW, Trump takes at least 20% of the total AA vote. What Democrat politician is competitive if s/he doesn’t draw even 80% of the AA vote???The wild card is “impeachment.” I put it in quotes because what it actually is differs from what it claims to be. So long as Trump controls the narrative on the economy (and the nervous nellies who are panicked about a trade war breaking out) and Trump negotiates improved trade deals and keeps the economy humming, “Ain’t nobody got time for that (impeachment).”
But if nobody has time for impeachment efforts, the Republicans win the Congress again this year, and IMHO at least some of the suckers will notice that the whole Russia3 bit was a con and they can’t trust “the News.” And I guess I think that’s as big a wild card as anything the author of the article mentions.
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