With Quebec suddenly up for grabs, Conservatives see an opportunity

Canadian Broadcasting Corporation ^ | Mar 14, 2018 11:27 AM ET | Eric Grenier

[Olog-hai]

In an open letter published in La Presse on Tuesday, Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer invited Quebecers to give his party another look, citing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s “incompetence” and the “existential crises” crippling the Bloc Québécois.

The Conservatives spy an opportunity in Quebec. And given the party’s growing support in the province, they might be right. Quebec was the only province in which the Conservatives made gains in the 2015 federal election. Their increase in the popular vote there was modest — just 0.2 percentage points, up to 16.7 percent — but their seat haul jumped by seven to 12, the most seats the party has won in Quebec since the days of Brian Mulroney.

Further gains looked doubtful after the Conservatives lost a seat in a by-election held in Lac-Saint-Jean in October. But recent polls suggest that the party has seen a boost in support in Quebec over the last few weeks.

The CBC’s Poll Tracker, an aggregation of publicly available polling data, puts the Conservatives at 21 percent in Quebec, an increase of five points since the beginning of the year. That still puts them well behind the Liberals — who lead with 40.7 percent — but it does open up some possibilities for them in parts of the province. …

[DIRTYSECRET]

I say independence.

[goldstategop]

The Conservatives will have to do well in Quebec and take Ontario to win the next federal election.

They haven’t won a majority in Quebec since Brian Mulroney’s day.

So this something to watch out for in the future.

[llevrok]

From the article "The leap to the Conservatives might be a leap too far for the NDP's remaining supporters in Quebec to make "

I find it hard to see how a disgruntled NDP supporter would jump to the Grits. That's like a rock ribbed Cuban communist becoming a 1960's Kennedy Democrat in my opinion. A bridge too far.

[goldstategop]

Socialist NDP voters would probably go for the Liberals.

That’s likely to guarantee Justin Trudeau a second term in Ottawa, if nothing else changes.

[DIRTYSECRET]

You mean the Frogs are surrender monkeys?

[goldstategop]

Its complicated.

The socialist separatist Bloc Quebecois has lost much support because independence from Canada never really caught fire.

The NDP took their place because a lot of people in Quebec loathe the federal Liberals because Trudeau pere imposed upon them constitutional repatriation without their consent.

And the provincial Liberals have nothing to do with the federal Liberal Party; they’re conservative in outlook.

[OttawaFreeper]

The Conservatives have done fairly well in Quebec City and Beauce regions (in the eastern parts of Quebec) and parts of the Eastern Townships (L’Estrie, next door to Vermont and New Hampshire). The Liberals tend to hold Montreal and the Outaouais (western Quebec including Gatineau, close to my locale).

[goldstategop]

Elections in Canada are now fixed... the PM can no longer dissolve Parliament and schedule a federal election at a time advantageous to his party.

Next election is in 2020, coincidentally a presidental election year in the US because the term of the House Of Commons is five years.

[Olog-hai]

How far apart are Kennedy Dems from Castro communists, really?

“… [S]houldn’t someone tag Mr. Kennedy’s bold new imaginative program with its proper age? Under the tousled boyish haircut is still old Karl Marx — first launched a century ago. There is nothing new in the idea of a Government being Big Brother to us all. Hitler called his ‘State Socialism’, and way before him it was ‘benevolent monarchy’.”

— Reagan to Nixon, 1960

If NDP and Conservatives are at least that close, then I wonder.

[shanover]

I love Canada, beer and hockey but will never understand how they got so libtarded, elected a Fairy as PM nor understand Canadian politics in general.

[DoughtyOne]

Thanks so much for your support to this point... I personally apprecaite it...
FReepers, it's far beyond time to wrap up this FReep-a-thon.  Lets do it today.  Please chip in.

President Donald J. Trump and the Free Republic of the United States of America
President Donald J. Trump's address to the United Nations on 09/19/2017.

Ramirez political cartoon:  Trade War LARGE VERSION 03/12/2018: LINK  LINK to regular sized versions of his political cartoons (archive).
Garrison political cartoon:  Gun Control Supporters LARGE VERSION 03/13/2018: LINK  LINK (scroll down) to regular sized versions of his political cartoons (archive).

FReepers, 90.606% of the First Quarter FReep-a-thon goal has been met.  Click above and pencil in your donation now.  Please folks, lets end this FReepathon.  Thank you!
...this is a general all-purpose message, and should not be seen as targeting any individual I am responding to...

Just $347.00 dollars to 91.00%

[BillyBoy]

>> That's like a rock ribbed Cuban communist becoming a 1960's Kennedy Democrat in my opinion. <<

"At no time in our history have so many tens of millions of people been so completely enthusiastic about an Inaugural Address as about yours." -- rock ribbed Communist sympathizer and former "Progressive Party" nominee Henry Wallace at JFK's inauguration, 1961.

[Impy]

If Maxime Bernier had been elected Leader I would be more optimistic about Tory prospects in Quebec.

Where they are polling now is not good enough for any kind of significant gain, and they lost a QB seat in a by-election.

Ontario is where the lion’s share of potential gains will have to come from. The PCs are poised to win the provincial election (though they’ve blown it before), Rob Ford is the new leader there, he beat some “moderate” lady.

[OttawaFreeper]

Actually, do not mean to be picky, the next election should be next year. We’ve more or less adopted the every four years for an election (barring minority government situations) and five years would likely be a sign of desperation on a sitting government’s part. I would not underestimate him, but Justin’s popularity numbers are not any great shakes now because of all sorts of false missteps combined with promising so much, but failing to deliver big time.

[Olog-hai]

Wallace was so far left that even the Dems insisted on Truman for VP back in 1945. But then he went to a different position in which he could do more damage, Secretary of Commerce, a position that Truman canned him from.