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Scripps: 5% Chance of ‘Catastrophic’ Global Warming by Century’s End
Times of San Diego ^ | September 15, 2017

Posted on 09/15/2017 9:34:02 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

A new study by Scripps Institution of Oceanography finds a 5 percent chance that rapid global warming will be “catastrophic” or worse for the human race.

The study led by Veerabhadran “Ram” Ramanathan, a distinguished professor of climate and atmospheric sciences and adviser to Pope Francis, found that an average global temperature increase greater than 3 degrees centigrade could result in “catastrophic” — and over 5 degrees “existential” — threat to humanity.

These categories describe two low-probability but statistically significant scenarios that could play out by the century’s end according to an analysis of different models of global warming by Ramanathan and Yangyang Xu of Texas A&M University.

“When we say 5 percent-probability high-impact event, people may dismiss it as small but it is equivalent to a one-in-20 chance the plane you are about to board will crash,” said Ramanathan. “We would never get on that plane with a one-in-20 chance of it coming down but we are willing to send our children and grandchildren on that plane.”

The release of the study coincides with the start of Climate Week NYC, a summit of business and government leaders to highlight global climate action.

(Excerpt) Read more at timesofsandiego.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: climatechange; climatechangehoax; globalism; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; hoax; popefrancis; ramanathan; scripps; socialism; texasaandm; texasam; thebiglie; yangyangxu
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To: dfwgator

fifty percent of the time...


21 posted on 09/15/2017 9:58:36 AM PDT by PTBAA
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

5%?! I think I’ll drop everything and join the anthropological global warming religion.


22 posted on 09/15/2017 9:58:50 AM PDT by Reno89519 (PRESIDENT TRUMP, KEEP YOUR PROMISES! NO AMNESTY AND BUILD THAT WALL.)
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To: dfwgator; All

“78% of all predictions are made up on the spot.”

Yeah, but 78% of all predictions are made up 95% of the time....


23 posted on 09/15/2017 10:03:59 AM PDT by areukiddingme1 (areukiddingme1 is a synonym for a Retired U.S. Navy Chief Petty Officer and tired of liberal BS.))
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To: DiogenesLamp; Oldeconomybuyer

Goebbels Warming

That would be a better caption


24 posted on 09/15/2017 10:07:12 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Lurkinanloomin
Goebbels Warming

That would be a better caption

I agree. That is a quite good suggestion.

25 posted on 09/15/2017 10:08:36 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: Red Badger

Yeah. And a 95% chance that it’s all a bunch of hooey.


26 posted on 09/15/2017 10:10:14 AM PDT by Mrs. Don-o (They said what's down is up, they said what isn't is, they put ideas in his head he thought were his)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

better odds that planet X will destroy the earth before global warming will


27 posted on 09/15/2017 10:10:17 AM PDT by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . . .)
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To: dfwgator
78% of all predictions are made up on the spot.

9 out of 10 Experts say that most "Experts" are wrong.

28 posted on 09/15/2017 10:10:53 AM PDT by Zeneta
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To: Kozy

surely it’s winding down


29 posted on 09/15/2017 10:16:01 AM PDT by morphing libertarian (Imprison Obama, Clintons, Holder, lynch now.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer; All
Concerning the integrity of global warming alarmism, its telling that the Scripps prediction of climate doom indicates that the “evasive maneuvers” that some European countries are planning to take with respect to reducing global warming are not going to work. (The left hand doesn’t know what the right hand is doing.)
30 posted on 09/15/2017 10:17:14 AM PDT by Amendment10
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

95% chance that everything will be just fine.


31 posted on 09/15/2017 10:29:31 AM PDT by Gamecock ("We always choose according to our greatest inclination at the moment." R.C. Sproul)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Hurry! Do everything they tell you to do and give up your money before it’s late!


32 posted on 09/15/2017 10:30:32 AM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: Red Badger

Didn’t we hear the same thing last century?


33 posted on 09/15/2017 10:33:59 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Only their self-aggrandizement matters.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Catastrophic Global Warming = Super Nova


34 posted on 09/15/2017 10:38:03 AM PDT by DarthVader ("These lying tyrants are about to get hit with a tsunami of destruction on their evil reign." Gaffer)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

BTW, didn’t they say that last century?

Nuclear annihilation, Deforestation, Oil depletion, Food shortages, Population explosion, the Ozone layer, and now “Climate change.”

It’s always some over-the-horizon catastrophe that can only be averted by giving up your money and your freedom. Always.


35 posted on 09/15/2017 10:38:48 AM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: DiogenesLamp
I think you should add something like "Nazi Minister of Propaganad Joseph Goebbels" or something.

or perhaps some cryptic caption, such as "he had his foibles"

36 posted on 09/15/2017 10:43:55 AM PDT by TheRightGuy (I want MY BAILOUT ... a billion or two should do!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Why not 5.3456%? Oh that’s right, use round numbers when you’re making up stuff.


37 posted on 09/15/2017 10:45:32 AM PDT by Moonman62 (Make America Great Again!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

What are the chances of an ice age?


38 posted on 09/15/2017 10:45:50 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Single payer is coming. Which kind do you like?)
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To: TBP
Didn’t we hear the same thing last century?

Actually, last century the odds were like 80% by 2015.

So the probability is dropping.

39 posted on 09/15/2017 10:47:04 AM PDT by Fido969 (IN!)
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To: rktman

And what are the odds that the temperature won’t change at all? Hmmm...?

For Scripps, the odds are zero, because a rise is programed into their models.

This is not science.


40 posted on 09/15/2017 10:52:21 AM PDT by Chaguito
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