Scripps: 5% Chance of ‘Catastrophic’ Global Warming by Century’s End

Times of San Diego ^ | September 15, 2017

[Oldeconomybuyer]

A new study by Scripps Institution of Oceanography finds a 5 percent chance that rapid global warming will be “catastrophic” or worse for the human race.

The study led by Veerabhadran “Ram” Ramanathan, a distinguished professor of climate and atmospheric sciences and adviser to Pope Francis, found that an average global temperature increase greater than 3 degrees centigrade could result in “catastrophic” — and over 5 degrees “existential” — threat to humanity.

These categories describe two low-probability but statistically significant scenarios that could play out by the century’s end according to an analysis of different models of global warming by Ramanathan and Yangyang Xu of Texas A&M University.

“When we say 5 percent-probability high-impact event, people may dismiss it as small but it is equivalent to a one-in-20 chance the plane you are about to board will crash,” said Ramanathan. “We would never get on that plane with a one-in-20 chance of it coming down but we are willing to send our children and grandchildren on that plane.”

The release of the study coincides with the start of Climate Week NYC, a summit of business and government leaders to highlight global climate action.

[PTBAA]

fifty percent of the time...

[Reno89519]

5%?! I think I’ll drop everything and join the anthropological global warming religion.

[areukiddingme1]

“78% of all predictions are made up on the spot.”

Yeah, but 78% of all predictions are made up 95% of the time....

[Lurkinanloomin]

Goebbels Warming

That would be a better caption

[DiogenesLamp]

Goebbels Warming

That would be a better caption

I agree. That is a quite good suggestion.

[Mrs. Don-o]

Yeah. And a 95% chance that it’s all a bunch of hooey.

[Godzilla]

better odds that planet X will destroy the earth before global warming will

[Zeneta]

78% of all predictions are made up on the spot.

9 out of 10 Experts say that most "Experts" are wrong.

[morphing libertarian]

surely it’s winding down

[Amendment10]

Concerning the integrity of global warming alarmism, its telling that the Scripps prediction of climate doom indicates that the “evasive maneuvers” that some European countries are planning to take with respect to reducing global warming are not going to work. (The left hand doesn’t know what the right hand is doing.)

• France's new 'climate plan': Sales of petrol and diesel vehicles to end by 2040

• California should phase out gas-powered cars (Europe mentioned)

[Gamecock]

95% chance that everything will be just fine.

[BradyLS]

Hurry! Do everything they tell you to do and give up your money before it’s late!

[TBP]

Didn’t we hear the same thing last century?

[DarthVader]

Catastrophic Global Warming = Super Nova

[BradyLS]

BTW, didn’t they say that last century?

Nuclear annihilation, Deforestation, Oil depletion, Food shortages, Population explosion, the Ozone layer, and now “Climate change.”

It’s always some over-the-horizon catastrophe that can only be averted by giving up your money and your freedom. Always.

[TheRightGuy]

I think you should add something like "Nazi Minister of Propaganad Joseph Goebbels" or something.

or perhaps some cryptic caption, such as "he had his foibles"

[Moonman62]

Why not 5.3456%? Oh that’s right, use round numbers when you’re making up stuff.

[Jim Noble]

What are the chances of an ice age?

[Fido969]

Didn’t we hear the same thing last century?

Actually, last century the odds were like 80% by 2015.

So the probability is dropping.

[Chaguito]

And what are the odds that the temperature won’t change at all? Hmmm...?

For Scripps, the odds are zero, because a rise is programed into their models.

This is not science.