Posted on 08/31/2017 2:01:31 PM PDT by Ray76
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM AST Thu Aug 31 2017
...IRMA BECOMES A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.3N 34.8W
ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1780 MI...2865 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 34.8 West. Irma is moving
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion is
expected to continue today, followed by a westward turn on Saturday,
and a west-southwestward motion by Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength,
both up and down, are possible, but Irma is expected to remain a
powerful hurricane for several days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
Bastardi mentions some US models show it heading much farther north sooner. Bastardi’s projection includes the Gulf.
Wow, this early on, I think it’d be hard to even project the path of a storm like that. Maybe by Labor Day, we’ll have a better idea.
IIRC, Joe Bastardi does have a pretty good track record of predicting the paths of tropical storms.
Like I said, maybe we’ll all have a better idea by Labor Day. Hopefully, Irma will take a spin northwards and hang out more in the Atlantic Ocean and affect only ships.
Look at the path. If it continues, it’ll traverse Puerto Rico, Haiti/DR, and Cuba. It could be terrible for them, but the storm might break up. But, mygosh, what if it turns a little and gets into the Gulf of Mexico unscathed?
“IIRC, Joe Bastardi does have a pretty good track record of predicting the paths of tropical storms.”
Joe is among the best and does have a good track record.
Muther nature’s dis functional family, first Harvey NOW Irma, OH BROTHER!!!!!
I feel guilty complaining about our very hot summers. NO MORE!!! That is nothing compared to these hurricanes.
Could it go up the Atlantic coast?
At this point its anyone's guess... I hope it does do that... far off the coast.
It could easily track to the Carolinas.
There are tracks that show it all along the Eastern Seaboard!
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/irma-intensifying-eastern-atlantic-big-long-range-questions
At this point, no one knows for sure.
Evacuate all of Florida. Now.
Don’t make the mistake Houston did.
Hurricane Ping! : (
There is no need to panic. Just keep an eye on it.
Scroll down, see Joe Bastardi’s Icon, underneath click “The Daily Update”. At about 3'52” he talks about Andrew.
How much more money will the The Clinton Foundation rake in for Haiti that they will use, up to 10% to help out friends and a few people and keep the other 90%?
G-d’ll suck up all the water in the world
like a kid with a McD shake,
then spit it out at Donald Trump
for the sin of beating Hillary.
He won’t show any empathy for the victims of his spree,
excepting for the KKK, ‘cause he beat Hillary.
While Mueller probes into his past, connecting every dot,
The globe will warm,
and the GDP
will rocket up from North Koree (sorry)
and antifa will swarm.
Most of these show it turning north.
I pray it does.
Well, when Cumbre Vieja goes, they'll only have eight hours to drive to Atlanta. All those Lamborghinis in Miami might actually prove useful if they can help some people hit the freeway on-ramps first. :)
Where it makes landfall depends on which side of Port-au-Potty it passes. North of it, and it crawls up the Atlantic. South of it, it could veer along the same track as Harvey.
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