I agree. A nuclear first strike would be a foreign policy disaster.
I’m not trying to minimize the danger of a nuclear NK. But even the MiniKim has to know that a nuclear attack by him would also be curtains for his regime. Certainly his Generals know it.
“A nuclear first strike would be a foreign policy disaster.”
On the other hand, an NK nuclear first strike would a REAL disaster of enormous long-term magnitude, in human terms, in economic terms, psychologically...in any way you can think of. The act of Kim pushing the button, would end the Trump Administration and send the government into complete chaos. Do we want to take any chance that he might successfully hit something when the consequences are so great?