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ABC News/Washington Post Poll Does It Again, Oversamples Democrats
Rush Limbaugh.com ^ | July 17, 2017 | Rush Limbaugh

Posted on 07/17/2017 7:12:03 PM PDT by Kaslin

RUSH: There’s an ABC poll out. You will not believe… Well, you will when I tell you why this ABC poll is so damned distorted. You know what this polling stuff is doing?

This misrepresentation… They take and put together a faulty sample that oversamples Democrats. This ABC/Washington Post poll that has Trump’s approval number plummeting? Do you know what the plus Democrat number is? It’s 12%! There was a plus-12% additional Democrats sampled in this poll. Well, hell’s bells! And if you look elsewhere, you find that barely 9% of Trump’s base is having some problems with him. He is having practically no falloff at all, which is frustrating. But here’s the thing about these polls. Look at what polls are doing to Democrats and the left.

They think they’re winning everything because of the polls. Hillary was gonna win in a landslide because of the polls. Trump was barely gonna show up because of the polls. Now there are polls saying that Trump’s popularity is vanishing, and he’s quickly becoming a nonentity. But it is not true! So the media believe their own polls and conduct business accordingly. Their deranged audience, the lunatics on the left, believe the polls. They’re losing everywhere except in the polls, and so they think they’re winning and that everything else is fraudulent.

And it’s a disservice that the pollsters are doing to their own people, and it’s large… I think the polls have a major role in creating some of the discord that exists. Not fully. I mean, there are many elements to this. But if you’re a deranged lunatic leftist and you’re part of the Democrat base — and you’re a victim or you’re offended and you’re constantly angry — and you see poll after poll after poll that shows a majority of American people agree with you, and yet everywhere in real life you’re losing, what would you do?

When I first got a sample of this, I thought of the exit polls in 2004. At five p.m., they had John Kerry winning the presidency, and of course, he didn’t. He lost it, and he lost it sizably, and leftists at that time thought that the exit polls were accurate and that the real vote count had been tampered with. The exit polls were what? “Kerry won! Did you see?” Well, this is just a microcosm of what’s been happening since, and it’s creating… I mean, they’re already off balance and off kilter, and this just contributes to it even more.

BREAK TRANSCRIPT

RUSH: On this ABC/Washington Post poll, it probably would be more accurate to say they did not oversample Democrats. They vastly under-sampled Republicans. The split: 35% Democrat, 23% Republican. Do you know what Gallup said that the Republican turnout was? Gallup says 38% of the United States ID’d as Republican or Republican-leaning after the November election, leading into and afterwards. Thirty-eight percent. You know, many more Americans identify as conservative than liberal.

Do you know what the number of Americans who identify as liberal in this country is? 25. Twenty-five percent. It may be 22%. I mean, you may have a more recent figure than I do. The number of conservatives around 35, 38%. So in this ABC poll, a 12-point deficiency: 35% Democrat, 23% Republican. Now, in no universe is that a representative sample. It doesn’t even come close. I think they try to sneak it in by using a number for the Democrats that looks pretty normal. If they had, for example, done 35% Republicans, 48% Democrats, that would have been noticed. It took a while digging into this thing to find this out.

So they’re under-sampling Republicans by 12 points — or, if you want to say, oversampling Democrats by 12 points. Let me ask you: Have you ever seen a poll that oversamples Republicans? I haven’t. I mean, not one of these. Not one of the Drive-By polls. NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post, CBS/New York Times, I’ve never seen one. But this is how you get the result you want. So these people that vote Democrat, these left-wing lunatics out there, they see this, and they get more frustrated, because in every poll they’re winning! In every poll, everybody agrees with them — and then, when it’s put to the real test, they always end up losing, and they’re going insane.

BREAK TRANSCRIPT

RUSH: I just got an email. “Did you just say that Gallup announced that 38% of the country identified as Republicans after the November election?” I said “Yes.” Okay, so 38% of the country identified as Republicans last November, and the ABC/Washington Post poll samples Republicans at 23% in their poll showing Trump is losing popularity and favorability. That is a 15% deficiency.

Folks, that’s not an error. That is so big, that isn’t an error. That is purposeful. That means they’re doing this survey in New York and Boston and Washington. You’d have to limit your sample to where there are no conservatives or Republicans in order to get a sample like that, unless you just arbitrarily decide to under-sample.

Fifteen percent fewer Republicans today than last November? And I guess that’s part of the — they want people to find this and say, “Yep, yep, that’s how bad Trump is. He’s forcing people to no longer even admit they’re Republicans.” That’s probably what ABC polling experts are waiting to say when they’re next invited on CNN and a panel.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: newsyesterday; polls; rush; trump; washingtoncompost

1 posted on 07/17/2017 7:12:04 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Bill Mitchell also cited on his twitter that this poll was conducted by asking to speak to the YOUNGEST voter in the household.


2 posted on 07/17/2017 7:18:53 PM PDT by edie1960
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To: Kaslin; All

“Do you know what the number of Americans who identify as [LibTard] in [America] is? Twenty-five percent.”

They’re as entrenched with The Enemy Media as are the 2% homosexuals!

WHY does ANYONE listen to them? Why?

Everyday ‘normal’ people outnumber homos and liberals in America, hands down! It’s a Communist TRAP to believe this claptrap!

Let’s Start Acting Like It!


3 posted on 07/17/2017 7:20:14 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set!)
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To: Kaslin

I am always looking for ways to boycott extremist companies.

The Washington Post in owned by Jeff Bezos who has all his wealth from Amazon. I am boycotting Amazon by finding alternatives. One nice alternative is Jet.com. Jet.com was bought out by Walmart late last year. You can find most anything you want on Jet.com that you can find in Walmart of Sams.

Other than bottled water and a few heavy delivery items, the price is the same as what I find in Walmart or Sams. And I don’t pay shipping cost if my order is over $35. Delivery is usually 2 business days.

I am not a huge fan of Walmart but they’re not attacking President Trump every day of the week. Bezos, Amazon, and the Washington Post can rot.

I am sure there are plenty of other great websites that can take the place of Amazon. We should start listing them here on FR and make sure everyone we know knows to boycott Amazon.


4 posted on 07/17/2017 7:30:45 PM PDT by boycott
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To: Kaslin

Polls are educated guesses when conducted in good faith, but are usually fraudulent and so should be ignored (except for pointing out the fraud to others).


5 posted on 07/17/2017 7:32:00 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: Kaslin

The response rate for people with cell phones is about 3% IIRC.

Cellphones may kill off the polling industry. I have turned down a good number polling attempts.


6 posted on 07/17/2017 7:37:13 PM PDT by buffaloguy
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To: Kaslin

Why do they show the internals at this point? Why not just go full lie with no internal data?


7 posted on 07/17/2017 7:41:28 PM PDT by CommieCutter ("Trump is god emperor and he will win." -- some hacker)
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To: Kaslin

Loser leftist lying media have nothing but fake polls and WE just enjoy winning elections with our votes and they can’t handle it! ;)


8 posted on 07/17/2017 7:42:19 PM PDT by djstex (The REAL News of The Day ... Trump is Our President EVERYDAY! :))
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Double amen!


9 posted on 07/17/2017 7:43:09 PM PDT by WaterWeWaitinFor ("We will be one people under one God, saluting one American flag". DJT 9/12/16)
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To: Kaslin

To do it right they need to poll each state. In each state they need to have a representative study. Thats like 1% of each state. In each state they just have to figure out if the state is in play for Trump. If not. They cna forget it. So California they can forget. It does not matter if 99% of California votes against Trump. Just count them against Trump. Then Oklahoma is for Trump. And just like California you just put them in the Trump column and forget about them. Now you have to pay close attention to the ones who are in the swing or leaning state. If those guys move one way or the other that is news. Measure them closely. They matter, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire.

If someone is actually interested in giving us real news they will survey the swing and leaning states and tell us how they feel. That is what matters. All New York, New Jersey, Hawaii, California, Connecticut don’t matter. And neither do Oklahoma, Wyoming. Utah, or the Dakotas. We need to know if Trump is losing one of his states.


10 posted on 07/17/2017 7:44:54 PM PDT by poinq
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To: Kaslin

The Poll agrees with the media, what were the odds of that?


11 posted on 07/17/2017 8:09:13 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: Kaslin

Pollsters are supposed to try to minimize this bias, but conservatives make it harder each year. When less than 10% of republicans will respond to a poll, it takes a real professional to know what to do. Throw in the detail that their customers want a certain result, and many pollsters allow that response bias to show up in their results.


12 posted on 07/18/2017 5:11:13 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: poinq

P.T. is at 53%/43% in Ohio.


13 posted on 07/18/2017 7:29:35 AM PDT by cowboyusa
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To: edie1960

REVEALED: How Approval Polls and ‘Junk’ Journalism are Fake Views Pushed by Fake News
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/07/17/kassam-approval-ratings-public-polling-and-the-junk-journalism-from-the-propaganda-press/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=daily&utm_content=links&utm_campaign=20170717
Then we go into the data tables. Since this time last year they have over-represented Democrat voters in their studies. For this latest one, 35 per cent of their respondents were Democrats, 23 per cent were Republicans, 35 per cent were Independents (who in turn lean towards voting Democrat), six per cent said ‘Other’, and two per cent had no opinion on the matter.

AbtAssociates board members include former Bob Dole, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Planned Parenthood, World Bank, and Deloitte staffers. In other words, it is a microcosm of the party of Davos.


14 posted on 07/18/2017 7:41:14 AM PDT by GailA (Ret. SCPO wife: suck it up buttercups it's President Donald Trump!)
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