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The Republicans should hold his seat in the midterms (when he first retired, the GOP put up a weak retread candidate in 2008), but this run is baffling, since he comes in as the underdog.
Of course, 2008 turned out to be a bad year and he also emerged damaged from a brutal primary, all of which didn’t help his Senate candidacy. I expect 2018 to be a better year. Since the GOP will have a heavyweight running for Martinez’s seat, that may scare away any challengers. The problem for the Dems is that there’s a free-for-all on their side, and Pearce may be betting that a brutal internecine battle will see the Dem emerge as damaged as he was going up against Tom Udall.
I give him about a 45% shot at winning. Getting that extra 5% will be tough, but not impossible.
Cedar Dave already wrote pretty much what I would have.
When I opened my email this morning and saw the email with the “I want you to be the first to know” subject line with his name next to it, I knew what it was going to say.. I thought “Oh Crap. Did he learn nothing from his disastrous senate run?.”
Unlike when he ran for Senate, which I didn’t support at all, I support his decision to run for Governor. He definitely has a shot at winning. Unfortunately, his congressional seat will probably go to some far left socialist for a term, given how animated/organized all the ‘resist’, ‘Indivisible’, and other libtard groups have become in CD2 since Bernie’s loss.
I’m disappointed too. Steve is one of the really good guys.
Well you live there but...I don’t think his odds are that bad, he’s not running against Bill Richardson. Probably that witch Lujan, GOP poll had that matchup at only 4 points, this should be a competitive race.
As for his seat, Trump won it by 10 points, Romney by 7, that’s not a “majority rat” seat. It would only fall in a rat landslide, like 2008 was.
I hope this means Lt. Governor Sanchez will run for the Senate. I think he lives in Lujan’s house seat, I don’t think we can win back that one.