Posted on 12/15/2016 6:46:16 AM PST by expat_panama
Those who oppose outsourcing work to other countries -- or to robots - usually justify their opposition as a desire to protect Americans. But it actually reflects a lack of respect for working Americans, and for people in general - a failure to realize that skilled people, not the jobs they happen to occupy, are among the most valuable resources an economy can have.
Think of an economy as a double-entry balance sheet, with columns for assets and liabilities. Many look at the balance sheet and see jobs on the asset side of the ledger, in effect consigning people to the liability column. That is why so many favor infrastructure spending as a make-work program - "let's create some jobs for people who don't have them.'" In fact, a proper accounting would be the other way around: People are one of our most important assets. Jobs, on the other hand, are simply tasks that need to be performed. Eliminate a job, and you free up people to perform other tasks. Fewer welders and shippers equals more potential computer coders and aerobics instructors. Rather than cling to jobs we no longer require, we should shed them, freeing up people to perform other tasks.
If we try to resist shedding jobs, we can't create them. That is partly because employers won't hire unless they can fire, which is why countries with the strongest restrictions on layoffs have the highest unemployment rates, such as Spain (18.9 percent unemployment in the third quarter) and Italy (11.6 percent in October.)
Moreover, if we refuse to shed existing jobs, we won't have enough people to perform new ones. We won't have enough actual assets (people) to balance our real liabilities (tasks we wish to see performed).
A quick look back in history illustrates this. At the beginning of the 20th century over 40 percent of Americans worked in agriculture. By the end of the century, it was just 2 percent. Imagine if you could travel back to 1900 and explain to people that someday agriculture would provide jobs for only 2 in 100 Americans. What would be the reaction? Probably the same we see today when people learn that technology will make an increasing number of jobs redundant. After initial disbelief, the fact that farm jobs were disappearing would ignite fear and horror: Half of our jobs eliminated? How will we survive? But we haven't just survived, we've thrived - largely because we no longer require half the population to provide our daily bread, freeing them up to build cars and the roads they use, manufacture airplanes and fly them, cure the sick and care for the elderly, develop computers and invent pharmaceutical drugs. If half the population was still working the farms, who would have populated our factories, offices and laboratories? If half of us were still needed to till the fields, where would we find the people we need to make a modern economy function?
We can't look just at the jobs that are being shed, but also at the ones that are being created in their stead. When blue-collar jobs are made redundant in the Rust Belt, that means new-collar jobs have been spawned in the Sun Belt, performed by the people who create the job-displacing technologies. According to the Department of Labor, there are more than a half-million open technology-related jobs in the United States. Between 2010 and 2020, the department forecasts, the U.S. economy will see a 30 percent increase in jobs for software developers and database administrators, 25 percent for computer systems analysts, and more than 20 percent for information security analysts, web developers and computer network architects. These are jobs we couldn't have imagined just a few years ago. How many of us had grandparents who were web masters or information security analysts? But many of us have grandchildren who will be. In a dynamic economy, work doesn't disappear, it just changes form.
Our challenge is not to hang on to jobs we needed in the past; it is to give people the skills they need to perform the jobs we actually require today and in the future. Convincing people that redundant jobs will reappear only dissuades them from acquiring the skills they need to fill the jobs that exist. Clinging to outdated jobs undermines our ability to perform necessary ones. Shedding obsolete jobs frees up more human resources to perform vital ones.
You can hate a robot all you want. It doesn’t care.
Depends on what “gender” classification it gets assigned.
Work in my field is picking up.
I’m a Blade Runner.
I “retire” robots.
********************
This works if people all have the same intelligence, talent and ability. In fact, it's clear that they don't. What about the bell curve?
>>You can hate a robot all you want. It doesnt care.<<
This generation, anyway.
I’ve thought the same thoughts, but you are just shooting off your mouth. No real analysis.
Trump’s image of the “Forgotten Man” is absolutely accurate. the excising of 70,000 factories is truly destructive to this country to the extent that the Dept. of Labor has to be refining their methodological lies about unemployment repeatedly in order to arrive at their phony picture of full employment. Sorry, when you are approach 1/3rd of the nation not in the workforce, something is clearly, seriously wrong; more wrong than picking on automation and robots can do.
A society has its own natural evolution of innovation and technological advancement. America’s has been accelerating at a considerable pace. But at the same time government regulation has clearly throttled much innovation in order to preserve the existing order of markets and major corporations. — Their concern, other than protecting the 1% is that allowing any given markets technology to evolve without regulation will inevitably be a dive to the bottom where market forces ultimately savage wages and produce truly impoverished workers.
I’ve thought the same thoughts, but you are just shooting off your mouth. No real analysis.
Trump’s image of the “Forgotten Man” is absolutely accurate. the excising of 70,000 factories is truly destructive to this country to the extent that the Dept. of Labor has to be refining their methodological lies about unemployment repeatedly in order to arrive at their phony picture of full employment. Sorry, when you are approach 1/3rd of the nation not in the workforce, something is clearly, seriously wrong; more wrong than picking on automation and robots can do.
A society has its own natural evolution of innovation and technological advancement. America’s has been accelerating at a considerable pace. But at the same time government regulation has clearly throttled much innovation in order to preserve the existing order of markets and major corporations. — Their concern, other than protecting the 1% is that allowing any given markets technology to evolve without regulation will inevitably be a dive to the bottom where market forces ultimately savage wages and produce truly impoverished workers.
I’ve thought the same thoughts, but you are just shooting off your mouth. No real analysis.
Trump’s image of the “Forgotten Man” is absolutely accurate. the excising of 70,000 factories is truly destructive to this country to the extent that the Dept. of Labor has to be refining their methodological lies about unemployment repeatedly in order to arrive at their phony picture of full employment. Sorry, when you are approach 1/3rd of the nation not in the workforce, something is clearly, seriously wrong; more wrong than picking on automation and robots can do.
A society has its own natural evolution of innovation and technological advancement. America’s has been accelerating at a considerable pace. But at the same time government regulation has clearly throttled much innovation in order to preserve the existing order of markets and major corporations. — Their concern, other than protecting the 1% is that allowing any given markets technology to evolve without regulation will inevitably be a dive to the bottom where market forces ultimately savage wages and produce truly impoverished workers.
I’ve thought the same thoughts, but you are just shooting off your mouth. No real analysis.
Trump’s image of the “Forgotten Man” is absolutely accurate. the excising of 70,000 factories is truly destructive to this country to the extent that the Dept. of Labor has to be refining their methodological lies about unemployment repeatedly in order to arrive at their phony picture of full employment. Sorry, when you are approach 1/3rd of the nation not in the workforce, something is clearly, seriously wrong; more wrong than picking on automation and robots can do.
A society has its own natural evolution of innovation and technological advancement. America’s has been accelerating at a considerable pace. But at the same time government regulation has clearly throttled much innovation in order to preserve the existing order of markets and major corporations. — Their concern, other than protecting the 1% is that allowing any given markets technology to evolve without regulation will inevitably be a dive to the bottom where market forces ultimately savage wages and produce truly impoverished workers.
Author is an idiot.
Something tells me that the author wouldn’t believe his own manure if he was among the long term unemployed.
Now we have to worry about robots’ feelings?
“Those who oppose outsourcing work to other countries — or to robots - usually justify their opposition as a desire to protect Americans.”
Allan Golombek was once accused of patriotism but charges were dropped due to lack of evidence.
The writer is conflating automation with off-shoring. Its actually a rather dishonest piece.
Automation is a natural progression, and will continue, and should continue.
Offshoring happens when the legal, regulatory, and tax climate drives companies offshore. Trump has promised to resolve those issues, to make companies want to stay. His talk about tariffs is shorthand, but if you listen to the fine print, the real story is his intent to put a bridle on EPA, and the other endless reams of new regulations that make it impossible to start any new enterprise here.
Companies should want to locate here, and if they don’t, there is your problem. Fix that.
And the labor surpluses caused by automation? They will be absorbed by other enterprises... somewhere. If the economic and regulatory climate make it possible to invest in other enterprises *here* in the US, it will happen here.
The problem with this analysis is that not all jobs and people are interchangeable. A farm hand may become a factory worker, but it is unlikely that a laid off factory worker will become a Database administrator. 1/2 of the population has below average IQ. They cannot move up to more value added knowledge work when their jobs are shipped overseas or replaced by automation.
Then part of the solution is exporting all the illegal immigrants and ending legal immigration so that there are more jobs for native born Americans.
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