Posted on 11/13/2016 11:44:29 AM PST by LS
Boy was I wrong. All along I had Trump at between 62 and 64 million votes. Our overly optimistic friend "Sundance" at www.conservativetreehouse.com was completely off the charts unrealistic, with a projection of 73 million.
Yes, Trump won the electoral college---as I predicted---big. As of today I think he is at 304. Another 720,000 votes in seven states would have given him an additional 43 electoral votes.
But unfortunately I was right in another prediction: the margin would be large, but each state would be decided by a small fraction of voters. Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, and Florida all hinged on fewer than 180,000 votes. To appreciate how close that is, Obama won reelection in 2008 by under 480,000 votes, and I thought that was very close. I did correctly predict that the dominoes would all fall in the same direction, and, more or less, they did. We lost VA and NH in the east, and NV and CO by larger margins in the west, but the battleground tier of OH, WI, MI, PA, IA, NC, and FL all fell to Trump.
So it's time to put good feelings aside for just a moment---we'll have plenty more in the coming months---and appreciate just how close . . . how MIRACULOUS . . . this election was.
You begin with Hillary Clinton, the equivalent of a new coach being given a Super Bowl team with All Stars at every position and a free agent budget the size of Jupiter (less the emigrating Cher). Cankles had 90% name recognition, a sitting president more or less behind her, a docile party obedient to her whims, and a fawning media such that Saddam Hussein or Napoleon would have been fortunate to have.
And with all that she got six million fewer votes than Zero in his second election (where he got millions fewer than in 2008). It's darn near unfathomable, looking at it objectively, to figure out how she lost, given the numbers.
She'll likely end up winning the popular vote by 500,000 to 1 million, held the expected liberal vote treasures of New York, Illinois, and California, held Obama's western states without exception, eked out a narrow win in New Hampshire, and got Virginia as expected.
Yet she was crushed in the electoral college by a guy who spent HALF as much as she did. How?
*She didn't make any inroads at all with females---supposedly Cankles' calling card. White women went for Trump. There was no big "gender gap," except with men, who couldn't stand her.
*She lost millions of black and hispanic votes. Pew's research is unreliable---these guys did polls, remember? ---but they say Trump only got 8% of blacks. (I find that very unlikely, especially when every other poll was showing him at nearly double that.) But if blacks didn't vote for Trump, they sure didn't vote for Cankles. In FL and NC, when all is said and done she probably lost several hundred thousand African-American votes.
*"Da Yuts" were repelled by her. They stayed home.
*She lost the northern tier of rust belt states because she just didn't care. Cankles made NO visits to Wisconsin, only a couple of desperation trips to Michigan and Pennsylvania in the end. That message got out.
*Trump was indeed hurt by the tape, and vote counters in Ohio found that erstwhile R absentees dated right after the tape release suddenly had a very high percentage of Johnson votes. I'm guessing the tape cost Trump NH, possibly MN.
Still, the tape cannot account for the lack of turnout for Trump. NeverTrumpers? Some. For whatever reason, though, Trump did not turn out the large number of new voters that was expected by his supporters such as myself. (The limited data we have says that 90% of Republicans voted for him).
That leaves us with one explanation: Trump's election was a miracle. Some 60,000-70,000 voters in MI and PA saved the country. WI was a nice addition, but without one more state, WI's 10 electoral votes wouldn't have put Trump over. No, this was divine intervention.
And, in a way, it is perfectly in keeping with the Bible, for it was Gideon who prepared to go to war with 30,000 men . . . "the old fashioned way." God told him many were not committed, and to winnow them out. When only 3,000 remained, Gideon was told to cut the number further. Finally only 300 fully committed men remained. The message was that God wanted Gideon to know that it was His power, not numbers or the skill of the troops, that would bring victory.
So in the end, our "monster vote" never materialized. God cut the number down to under 180,000 in five states so that no one could doubt Who really won this one.
MANY of were praying for God to intervene in this election, to swirl his finger and stir the pot. He did.
I agree on the motivations, but the fact is, about 130,000 voters in two states saved the election. As I say, you can throw out WI and ME CD2 because without either MI or PA, we would have been short.
And yes, there was fraud, but still. This was almost as close in real votes as Bush’s 2000 victory of 937.
Yes. I believe Trump was indeed born again during the primaries, that he has (as much as he can:) humbled himself, and that the Lord supported him throughout.
Yes. When you look at the debates from Bloody Megyn’s first question, and how that stuff just bounced off Trump, you knew something supernatural was at work.
I relied on you, Bill Mitchell and Jack Posobiec on Twitter to get me through Election Night. I could not trust any network from Monday night (11-7) until near midnight on Tuesday (11-8).
You told us in advance that the networks would start calling any Hillary states very early while withholding Trump calls until the very last moment.
Thank you for your wise guidance ...
Agreed! 1000% Divine Intervention! Thank you, Jesus!
Jesus, I Trust in You
Same thing BTW with Trump cabinet choices. Don’t believe ANYTHING until you hear it from Team Trump. They are already lying (as in Kelly Ayotte, NOT getting a gig).
Just remember they lied before, and they will lie more.
Divine Intervention for a divine result. I do believe..
I’m glad now that my son stayed in the army. A lot of people got out because of Obama’s policies.
God gives us a window of time to set ourselves right again, with Him, as a nation.
THANK YOU, LS, for the due credit to the miracles of God.
This was a gift to His people, who troubled themselves enough and who detached long enough from self interests and to instead, pray and fast for the nation.
We must not squander this temporary gift, but return to God, so that He may show favor once again upon America.
It is a true blessing from God, because, you are right, the numbers and circumstances were not optimal.
Hillary blew it in many ways, including the incessant advertising from her and her SuperPACs. It was vomit-worthy airwave packing.
I’m using every connection I have to urge Trump to designate a national day of thanksgiving and prayer as soon as he gets into office.
The hand of Divine Providence was clear. No doubt whatsoever by the way that this played out that God was in charge of the outcome.
Trump worked so very hard and God intervened when needed.
I prayed hard during and went to the Latin mass in thanksgiving.
I agree, it was divine intervention.
There were millions of us praying daily for deliverance from the evil that is the modern DemoCommunist Party.
He heard our prayers.
A spiritual battle too. Look at all satans lil miscreants throwing temper tantrums post election results. We have never seen this degree of rebellion ever in our American history. Satan took a hit and he’s mad- too bad Loser.
Virtually all of the pundits and pollsters were dead wrong, and you, LS, had this right all along. Kudos, and proud that you are a FReeper!
Oh I think the tape cost him easily 50 EC votes give or take on the low end... he was clearly breaking away.... the tape shut that down, and it caused despair among many of his supporters when combined with the insane polling that was released after it...
But they overplayed the hand, it was too much time for it to stay that way... those in despair recognized the reality they were seeing and the polls were garbage, and lies, and they got even more angry... this too about 1-2 weeks to complete, and after that it was ALL TRUMP again going into the final stretch....
Even with this he nearly too MN!!! 2 points!! Unbelievable. The press refusal to even report 1 negative thing about Hillary and to be nothing but 24/7 anti trump was amazing, yet Trump still won.. he literally BEAT EVERYONE! There was no one that was rooting for him besides those that voted for him... And he pulled it out.
This is without question the most astonishing win in the history of the United States. There is no president who EVER faced so much opposition across the board that Trump faced... and through it all he pulled it off.
The tapes also cost him votes in the states he did win... PA performed right where I thought he would... 2.91M votes.. I figured he had about 3M easy... may have cost some but not many.. Hillary definitely did better than I thought she would.. but not good enough... basically I underestimated the D floor in PA... but he still won. WI and MI were way closer than I would have guessed, but I figured MI would be close Detroit like Philly can put a lot of votes in the box... WI wound up closer that I would have guessed as well... But in the end, while it may not have been big margins he won them all.
NOw that Republicans are in complete control, its time to end the voting fraud and prosecute any illegal who was found to vote... We know millions of them are registered, wouldn’t be hard to cross reference the voting rolls to find out which ones voted...Yes, I know a lot probably never actually voted but Dem surrogates showed up to vote for them, but still, documentation says they commited a federal crime... prosecute and deport hem for it.
Thanks brother for your effort and your analysis. Proud you are a fellow FReeper !!
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