Posted on 11/07/2016 2:49:20 AM PST by FlyingFish
With one day to go, Donald Trump extended his lead over Hillary Clinton, 43% to 41%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. That comes after a third bombshell from FBI Director James Comey, who announced Sunday he would not indict Clinton for her email scandal.
Trump's two-point lead now matches his largest so far during the 20 days of polling.
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 6% of the vote, Green Party candidate Jill Stein just 2%.
In a two-way matchup that excludes the two third-party candidates, however, Clinton still holds a 43% to 42% lead over Trump, with 9% of those responding saying they were "unsure" for whom they would vote.
The unrounded poll numbers give Trump a 2.4 percentage point advantage over Clinton in the four-way race, 43.1% to 40.7%. Trump and Clinton had essentially been deadlocked for four days through Friday, but Trump moved into the lead Saturday and widened it on Sunday on a steady drumbeat of news surrounding Hillary Clinton's emails.
Also in the unrounded tally, Johnson now has 6.3% to Stein's 2.2%.
The poll of 1,026 likely voters reflects a weighted response of 319 Democrats, 322 Republicans and 314 Independent and "other" voters. It has a margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points. The results are now based on the latest four days of polling.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
AMEN
This is their last poll right? That would be great. Going into election up 2.4.
It may happen, but I don't believe it will matter.
I think most of the third-party votes are in the deep blue or red states where it wouldn't make any difference if they voted for Trump or Clinton instead.
My state usually has a higher proportion of third party votes than the US, nationally. That's because it's deep red, and voters feel they can safely cast a "protest" vote.
I don't think rational voters will do so in a battleground state.
After this election, I'm going to look at the close states and see if third-party voters could have changed the result. I don't expect to find any.
Short version: I don't think third-party voters could have much effect on the election, even if they voted for Trump or Clinton -- because most of them are in deep red or blue states.
On Wednesday, I'll look through the results and see if I'm right.
The ABC poll was the most accurate last election giving Obama +3, which is what Hillary has now. I don’t think I can handle the blood bath we will see tomorrow.
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