Trump Banks on New Hampshire to Clinch Win

Real Clear Politics ^ | November 3, 2016 | Caitlin Huey-Burns & Rebecca Berg

[Clintonfatigued]

Donald Trump will wrap up his presidential bid where it all began: New Hampshire. The GOP nominee will host his final rally before Election Day in Manchester, where he held his first official campaign event and where he claimed his first primary state victory.

But Trump’s decision to end in the Granite State may be more than nostalgia and symbolism. Polls are tightening in New Hampshire and show Trump within striking distance of Hillary Clinton, whose lead there has been cut in half over the last week in the RealClearPolitics polling average.

The state has just four electoral votes -- but if Trump could run the table in other battleground states, those votes could be mighty.

[Clintonfatigued]

The people of New Hampshire are recalling their state motto, “Live Free or Die.”

[MNJohnnie]

This is looking like 2000. It will come down to FLA.

[Az Joe]

I would not be surprised to see Trump campaigning through noon, or even COB on election day.

He is not a traditional type campaigner.

I can’t see him waking up on election day and then just sitting around until the first exit polls come in late in the afternoon.

Am I wrong?

[JPJones]

“It will come down to FLA.”

Ya know if Trump wins MI and PA he won’t need FL

[goldstategop]

FL, NC, OH, IA and NV will go big for Trump.

PA will decide the election.

[MNJohnnie]

You know the political machine in PA and MI will manufacture enough votes to drag Hillary across the line.

[bgill]

Right now, some moron on FOX is saying Trump cheated on his taxes.

[Clintonfatigued]

I can see that.

[bgill]

The moron is Mark Levine.

[Az Joe]

Of course, thinking about it, it might interfere with the actual process of getting people to the polls. But maybe one last stop mid-morning election day

[workerbee]

I think PA decides it, that’s what makes me queasy.

[DoughtyOne]

Trump is banking on every state to take him over the top.

One state? LOL New Hampshire? Ouy!

[toddausauras]

None of us know what will happen (except perhaps the ones rigging the election) but we’re in a good a position on this final weekend. Yesterday was a blitz of good polling news with PA, NH, MI tightening.

[JPJones]

“I think PA decides it, that’s what makes me queasy.”

PA doesn’t decide it. If he wins PA it makes it very easy, but he doesn’t need it.

He NEEDS Florida OR Pennsylvania.

[Cowboy Bob]

Let’s see what Dixville Notch has to say...

[4Liberty]

Good news -- a high school near me here in Southern NH JUST did a poll of HS students after a debate, "Hillary vs Trump" was held.

TRUMP WON -- 138 to 111!!!

These are young people, here in S. New Hampshire - plus, it probably reflects their PARENTS' views.

GO TRUMP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[FreeReign]

State polls and Trump's campaign schedule suggest to me that Trump is planning on at least one of NH, CO, PA, MI, VA, WI, NM and MN taking him over the top.

And he'll probably get more than one, about half of those states.

[JPJones]

“PA will decide the election.”

No, he can lose PA and still win handily.

[Alberta's Child]

Actually, I'd say it's the exact opposite. PA hasn't voted for the winning candidate in a close presidential election in decades.

PA is more of a "can't lose" for Clinton than a "must win" for Trump.