[goldstategop]

FL, NC, OH, IA and NV will go big for Trump.

PA will decide the election.

[JPJones]

“PA will decide the election.”

No, he can lose PA and still win handily.

[Alberta's Child]

Actually, I'd say it's the exact opposite. PA hasn't voted for the winning candidate in a close presidential election in decades.

PA is more of a "can't lose" for Clinton than a "must win" for Trump.

[InterceptPoint]

FL, NC, OH, IA and NV will go big for Trump. PA will decide the election.

So will the 4 NH votes plus the House of Representatives and a ton of lawyers if he wins the states you listed. Lots of paths to victory for Trump. PA would be the icing on the cake if it happens.

For reference: Nate Silver has Red and Pink Trump states at 265 electoral votes and 273 Blue and Light Blue Hillary states. Switch the 4 NH from Hillary to Trump and he is at 269 and so is Hillary. The House of Representatives breaks the tie.

So we can knock Nate Silver all we want and he is still picking Hillary to win. But if he sticks to his 273 to 265 Hillary Wins Prediction and Trump does win NH then he will be right on 49 out of 50 states. Not bad. Just (from his point of view) a bad result.

[sargon]

FL, NC, OH, IA and NV will go big for Trump.

PA will decide the election.

HamiltonJay has pretty much convinced me that PA will go for Donald Trump, even with the voter fraud which he says comes "baked in" for Democrats in every election cycle. He seems pretty confident about basically the entire "rust belt".

I'm somewhat less certain about my home state of Florida and "fraud central station" Broward county, where I live; I wish there was someone with HamiltonJay's skill set and knowledge, who could reassure me regarding Trump winning Florida.

What's the basis for your opinion on Florida? If I felt as sure about FL and NC as I do about PA, I'd definitely rest easier for the next few nights...

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!