Posted on 11/04/2016 2:09:10 PM PDT by mathprof
Nobody knows what the future holds. That’s what makes it so interesting—and often terrifying. But it’s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight.
Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle™ after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election. But as Silver’s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver’s terrible track record since 2008.
(Excerpt) Read more at paleofuture.gizmodo.com ...
Various Bible Codes sites predict a Hellary win but with complications.
Need to be careful when following a “false prophet.” They can turn your world “upside down.”
Predict loud
Predict often
When wrong never admit it
When correct never let them forget it
He’s Pajama Boy who made a lucky guess and parlayed it into Oracle status.
If count welfare checks and Section 8 housing vouchers I bet I can estimate Dem votes pretty closely too.
didnt he predict once that Donald had a 85% chance? did someone pay him to drop it to 30?
“Terrifying” ... why? Regardless of what anyone predicts, the results will be what they are. If he turns out to be correct, oh well, good for him, and if he turns out to be wrong, whatever.
Well, with a 50/50 proposition he could just as well flip a coin.............
As Mr. Miyagi said, “ Occasionally some can be blessed with LUCK.”
red
Here’s what we need to win:
http://www.270towin.com/maps/6JxwE
Then we’ll need the two extra votes in Nebraska and Maine. It’s tough, but quite achievable. We need FL, OH and NV for sure.
This reminds me of environmentalists saying there’s be no snow by 2016, cannibalism in the UK by 2000, and other over-hyped disasters of a mostly environmental nature and all borrowing heavily from Christianity’s Book of Revelations.
” I’ve always thought that Nate Silver was over-rated.”
Been saying that since 2012. Right after the prezy elections, wonder guesser her GUESSED ALL FOLLOWING MIDTERMS ALL WRONG afterwards. This is what gets you a job on BSPN.
Exactly. He can think clearly when his choice is clearly winning. When they are not, the poor dear grasps at statistical straws.
No - This is about as high of a chance as he’s ever given Trump.
Believe it or not, he has one of the highest % out there for Trump at the moment. His and RCP’s maps look very similar (and mine).
It does seem the momentum for DT stopped today with Rasmussen reversing itself. I hope this is a motivator. It is too close and all must go to the polls like their lives depended on it.
Words, opinions and all the rest of the political BS will all be for naught next Tuesday. It will be what it will be. These “predictions and polls are nothing more than ways for those providing them to get their name (plus make a few bucks) spewing their opinions. Like I said, “it will be what it will be”.
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