Posted on 10/31/2016 7:29:57 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
|
|
10/31 |
10/30 |
Change |
|
Trump |
46.6 |
46.0 |
+ . 6 |
|
Clinton |
43.2 |
44.1 |
- . 9 |
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
Election day Hillary is stuck at 43ish max.... always has been, only shot at a win was to suppress the Trump vote... Trump should easily be in upper 40s, if not low 50s.
There is no guarantee Hillary will hit her max.
This election has always been about suppressing Trump voters from showing up.. its the only way Hillary had any shot at a win, and it ain’t working... Even without the FBI Letter, Trump was up and has been.
Hillary, as predicted, is underperforming O in every single demographic.. Trump is blowing the lid off of this... the media is LYING to you. GA will remain solidly Red. TX will remain OVERWHELMINGLY red... but they were hawking as recently as last friday morning, that Hillary may win both..
Its all garbage folks.. JUST VOTE... GET OUT and VOTE...make sure you get everyone you know to vote... etc... This thing was never going to be close.
Pat Cadall (jimmy carter’s pollster) just said the tracking polls are having to re-weight their polls to reflect level of interest between the democrats and republicans. He expects by Wednesday Trump will be moving out to a landside victory. He senses the dam will begin to break starting Wednesday.
Excellent news. GO TRUMP GO
Ignore all media
Get Out The Vote
Rasmussen not exactly known for accuracy and I think he is out of the polling business as well. Not sure why his name is associated with this. Zogby has been MIA also.
More reflective of reality.
Improved polls for Trump today: USC/LA Times, WaPo (they went to D+10 from D+9 to hold Clinton to a 1 point lead!), and IBD (narrowed to 1 point lead for Crook). Rasmussen is not fully reflective of WeinerGate. They don’t poll weekends. Watch the PPD later, where Trump already trending upward.
From your mouth to God’s ears.
msm working triple time to spin that ####ing monster as a victim in this.
I can’t even type it’s name anymore. it’s disgusting and so is bill.
More importantly, both are almost out of the margin of error.
Just saw Pat Caddel on Varney and Company. He says that it was obvious that polls were shifting Trumps way last week and that even without the FBI he was expecting to see Trunp open a lead this week and expand it.
Step back off the ledge, the Rasmussen poll was taken Wed, Thur, Sun so it does not reflect HumaWienergate. Give it a couple days and it will show the same trend.
Trump is trending upward FAST! he not only has the 3 point spread shown here, but ABC has gone from 12 points just a week ago to only 1 point today.
Good news—thanks!
How many days do they include in their sample, and so how great was the difference in last night’s contribution?
USC and LA Time are in da Nile
Pat knows his elections.
Its beginning to look a lot like Trump! :-)
Hope this answers your question:
"Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election panel to answer three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in, we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week’s responses."
Rasmussen polling as it states on their website only includes one night of the release of information on the FBI opening the investigation again on the Clinton emails. This means that only Friday following is included in the results reported today. Rasmussen does not go on Saturdays or Sundays. The results you see this morning reflects what they have only up through Friday evening.
And this is the poll that people are given 1 week to respond to:
“We update the data each day based on the weighted average of poll responses over the previous week. That means results have less volatility than some other polls, but also means the poll lags somewhat in responding to major events in the campaign.”
60% unfavorable?
STOP THE PRESSES!
Bottom line is Hillary is getting a max of 40%.
You don’t win an election with those kinds of unfavorables.
Her percentage in Dornsife is a few points too high.
7 days, so the difference between the day falling off and the last day must have been 1.5% * 7 = 10.5% advantage for Trump.
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