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ABC Changes Party ID weighting from D+9 to D+10 in Latest Poll
ABC ^
| 31 Oct 2016
| oblomov
Posted on 10/31/2016 6:10:15 AM PDT by oblomov
Still, the poll has Clinton 46% Trump 45% JOHNSON 4% STEIN 2%.
Sunday's Poll Results
Monday's Poll Results
TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; abc; clinton; deceit; elections; handmaidens; media; mediabias; medialies; msm; polls; rigged; trump
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I don't think it should be D+9 in the first place. Many new Is this year, and R turnout is above 2012, and D turnout is below 2012 (so far).
1
posted on
10/31/2016 6:10:15 AM PDT
by
oblomov
To: oblomov
2
posted on
10/31/2016 6:11:37 AM PDT
by
rdl6989
To: oblomov
Try R+1 this election - will be a lot closer to the truth. Oh wait, this is the presstitues poll - never mind, the truth is not the objective.
To: oblomov
There will be more independents and republicans and wayyyyyy less Hillary democrats voting this year. It should be at max +3 for D.
4
posted on
10/31/2016 6:13:20 AM PDT
by
Phillyred
To: oblomov
It’s the only way to keep Hillary ahead. They will go D +20 just like the poll in AZ last week if necessary to keep her ahead.
5
posted on
10/31/2016 6:13:44 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: oblomov
Looking at the absentee ballots, the opposite is happening. ABC needs to explain themselves.
Comment #7 Removed by Moderator
To: oblomov
It should not even be D+1.
They might as well make it D+70 so she can maybe get outside the margin of error.
8
posted on
10/31/2016 6:14:42 AM PDT
by
VanDeKoik
To: oblomov
I think it will be D +3, at best. The early vote to date is not showing anything like a 2012 or 2008 voter turnout model.
9
posted on
10/31/2016 6:14:54 AM PDT
by
mrs9x
To: oblomov
Does the poll also assume that all Dems will be voting ‘Rat...?
If so, I’d like some of what they’re smoking.
Bwah hah hah hah hah!!
10
posted on
10/31/2016 6:16:50 AM PDT
by
mewzilla
(I'll vote for the first guy who promises to mail in his SOTU addresses.)
To: oblomov
What are the results if you manually plug in D+2?
11
posted on
10/31/2016 6:18:11 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: All
12
posted on
10/31/2016 6:19:45 AM PDT
by
onyx
(VOTE FOR TRUMP or DON'T VOTE AT ALL! DONATE MONTHLY or JOIN CLUB 300!)
To: mrs9x
Don’t know what state you are talking about
Many states are having record early voting
13
posted on
10/31/2016 6:20:15 AM PDT
by
Nifster
(Ignore all polls. Get Out The Vote)
To: oblomov
Nate Silver just gave Trump 24% chance of winning.
14
posted on
10/31/2016 6:22:21 AM PDT
by
MNDude
(God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat)
To: oblomov
They figure she’ll get the “outlaw” vote now?
Changing the makeup of a tracking poll destroys the whole point of a tracking poll.
15
posted on
10/31/2016 6:22:45 AM PDT
by
mrsmith
(Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
To: oblomov
Just another attempt to save a sinking ship. No wonder The MSM is called the Lame Stream Media.
16
posted on
10/31/2016 6:23:14 AM PDT
by
Commander X
(TOTUS...destroying the USA one lie at a time.)
To: oblomov
17
posted on
10/31/2016 6:24:06 AM PDT
by
jimfree
(In November 2016 my 16 y/o granddaughter will have more quality exec experience than Barack Obama)
To: oblomov
Lol! At this rate the Compost will have a D+20 sample by election day to keep that Hillary 1 point lead. a D+10 is completely and utterly ridiculous, Obama only had a D+6 in 2012 which was considered a banner year for democrats, the Compost is claiming that Hillary is going rally minority voters and get almost DOUBLE the democrat margin than even Obama could!
18
posted on
10/31/2016 6:26:51 AM PDT
by
apillar
To: MNDude
Nate Silver just gave Trump 24% chance of winning. That good because Silver gave Trump a 19% chance in the primary and he won easily, so slowly but surely Silver is moving closer to the truth....
19
posted on
10/31/2016 6:29:06 AM PDT
by
apillar
To: oblomov
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